The politics of war

Is this war legal? John Howard wouldn’t release his legal advice on Monday, but changed his mind overnight and released it yesterday. You can read it at smh.

The date of the advice is March 12, last Wednesday (the date on the link is incorrect). Surely Howard must have got advice before then – a UN refusal to endorse has been a possibility for quite a while now. Indeed, you’d think he would have got it before he predeployed troops, because that act committed him to Bush’s war regardless of what the UN did.

The second interesting thing is the junior level of the advice. Such important advice is usually given by Australia’s top law officer, the Solicitor General, or the top legal officer in the Attorney-General’s department, the Chief General Counsel. This advice is by a middle ranking Attorney-General’s officer (three rungs below a Department secretary) and a legal officer in the department of foreign affairs and trade. Why?

Perhaps because a more senior lawyer would not have put his name to such unequivocal advice? The “yes’, no-ifs-or-buts nature of the advice has seen it shredded by Australia’s most senior international law experts (Experts at odds as PM releases legal advice) and the Secretary General of the UN confirmed this week that the war’s legitimacy was in question.

Th political difficulty of Labor’s position on this issue was exemplified on The 7.30 Report tonight.On Sunday, Labor’s foreign affairs spokesman Kevin Rudd said a war without UN sanction would be illegal. Yesterday, Simon Crean said he was getting legal advice, but tonight he refused to answer Kerry O’Brien’s questions on the matter, and when pressed, said it was not important (7.30 Report).

Why? Because now that we’re at war, the public will naturally rally behind our troops. To argue the illegality of the war would be portrayed as treacherous.

Last night, smh.com.au reader Bryan Palmer sent me a brilliant political analysis of how Labor will play its politics on the war from now on, and in the process rightly argued that my suggestion that Labor demand an election and block all legislation till it got one was a case of heart ruling head. Tonight his analysis, then other reader comments on the politics and legality of this nightmare.

Jim Snow writes:

A very large survey of Arab opinion conducted by the University of Maryland, apparently under the auspices of the Brookings Institution, was published on March 13. A complete scholarly description of methodology is given in the report which is given as a pdf file in the first link: “telhami survey ” at brookings. A discussion of this (and what went on in the security council) – The Brookings Iraq Series Briefing of March 13, 2003 – is at the second link: “transcript”. I have been surprised that this has apparently not surfaced in Australian media, as it is evidence from an unlikely source, a right wing republican think tank.

***

Bryan Palmer

You said: “I believe Labor should seriously consider demanding an immediate election, and refuse to pass any legislation unless John Howard submits himself to the Australian people.” (A question of legitimacy)

While your passion may be admirable, your suggestion is electoral suicide for Labor.

Blocking legislation only enables the Coalition parties to build a war chest (excuse the pun) of double dissolution election triggers. The only method that might force Howard to the polls at an inconvenient time is to block supply (as occurred in 1975). However, this trigger can only be unleashed (under the new budget timetable) in May/June each year. Blocking additional estimates (in February/March each year) is close to meaningless, and the normal business of Government would survive such a block.

By May or June 2003, the Iraqi war outcome should be resolved. If it is a short war that exposes duplicity by Saddam (the most likely outcome), I believe that the people who were opposed to the war without UN support (but not opposed enough to indicate a change in voting preference) will forgive Howard, and embrace him for his courage against the tyrant. Winners are grinners, and the punters love winners. Call it the Thatcher/Falklands or Bush/Kuwait afterglow.

So, if Labor blocks legislation now, it creates a set of double dissolution triggers, but has little other effect. It would not force an election.

Second, if the war is short and Howard wins, he can cash in these dissolution triggers at a time of his choosing in order to maximise a Liberal win. This has the added benefit that double dissolution triggers can be turned into legislation quickly and without parliamentary debate (as Whitlam showed in 1974). No pesky greens or democrats to worry about.

Third, a double dissolution deals a deft blow to the transition to Costello side show.

Finally, in the lead up to the double dissolution poll, Labor’s opposition to the war can be painted as ill informed carping from the sidelines, and dark (dog-whistle like political) inferences can be drawn about Crean’s implicit support for Saddam.

While you may hate the impending war, you should recognise the politics probably plays 100% Howard’s way for at least another three months. For Labor to act pre-emptively (another unforgivable pun) would only be detrimental to Labor’s subsequent electoral chances. For the next three months Labor must play a difficult waiting game. Crean has a high wire act of some skill to pull off: support the soldiers but not the war nor Saddam’s past excesses.

If we are still at war in three months, or if something horrible happens before then (numbers of Aussie deaths, a nuclear explosion, an escalation in militant Islamic terrorism, etc.) then Crean has a chance of becoming an accidental Prime Minister. Otherwise, Howard will be the winner from his all the way with the USA approach.

Conclusion: in recommending advice to Labor, you Margo Kingston should not let your heart rule your head.

Margo: I sent this email to Bryan:

Did you think Crean’s focus on subservience, loss of independence, etc from the US is the right way to go politically? It scares me a bit, because we are so dependent on the US for our security. I wonder if voters will lose their confidence.

Brian replied:

What ever the language, whether its Crean’s subservience or Latham’s lickers and suck-holes, I think it has limited appeal with the punters, and that appeal is limited largely to Labor’s core voters. I do not believe the theme of subservience and loss of independence shifts voting intention. Not at this stage in the war. In the future, maybe, but not now.

I suspect that Crean is playing the long haul and the long odds on this war. If the war is long, goes badly, or if Australians become the target of another Bali like event, his arguments will be a strong rallying cry in the next election. Conversely, if the war goes well for Howard, Crean does not want to be left with words that are regrettable.

For Crean, one down side of this hedged bet approach is that it is unlikely to generate much electoral traction for Labor in the short term. Another is that it reinforces the perception that Howard and Brown are the real conviction politicians of Australian politics.

In summary: Crean seems to have chosen a low risk, low gain strategy. If I was to bet on the outcome, I would put my money on Howard. The other winner will be Bob Brown. For Crean, I think the odds are against this being the career reviver he needed.

***

Mark White

You wrote: “Some people are so angry at the sheer contempt their leader has shown them that they’re emailing the Governor-General to demand he veto Howard’s war. This is ridiculous. Australians bear the responsibility for electing this man, and this Parliament.” (A question of legitimacy)

A better move is to email the leader of the ALP, Democrats and Greens demanding they refuse to pass a budget bill containing appropriations for an illegal war. This will then create a replay of 1975, Crean will be appointed PM and can pull the troops out immediately.

This is the fastest, cleanest constitutional way out of this mess.

***

John Thornton in Doonside, NSW

The government is in the process of preparing a budget to be delivered in May. Wouldn’t it be deliciously ironic if John Howard, a member of Malcolm Fraser’s government, were to lose government after Labor, the Democrats, the Greens and the Independents blocked supply in the Senate and forced the Liberals to an election which could fought on one issue.

***

Damien Hogan

Surely our fate rests with Liberal voters. Only they have any leverage over the Prime Minister.

Even then it will be a hard case for them to make – they must convince the party pollsters that they are really willing to elect a Labor government – headed by Simon Crean!

They will surely be disbelieved. Polling will show that whilst certain sections of the faithful are against the war, very few will actually vote against John Howard in a future election when broader issues come into play.

And that seems to be be John Howard’s real gamble – not on the outcome of the invasion – but on the sustained moral outrage of Liberal voters.

He seems to assess his chances as quite good. Is he right? Only Liberal voters can tell us.

Steve Wallace

Looks like it’s a waste of time contacting the Libs about this war. They come back at you with this sort of trash.

I emailed this to federal Liberal politicians:

Subject: May God forgive you

Senators and Members,

Lest we forget that you did nothing to stop your PM from committing murder upon Iraqis by his illegal, immoral, unjustifiable, unprovoked attack. Australia’s first war of AGGRESSION. Our first shot at STARTING a war. The first time ever we broke the peace and ATTACKED another country.

And not one of you had the courage to speak out. Not a Christian voice in your whole number. Nobody with a strand of morality. Not one law abiding soul. May God forgive you for not having the guts to speak out against this war. The blood is now on your hands.

I received this reply from Ross Cameron, the Liberal member for Paramatta:

Dear Steve,

It must be nice having perfect moral vision but so frustrating for you to have to live with lesser beings. Enjoy the warm inner glow.

***

Tim Gillin in Sydney

It is ironic that 21st March, which may be the first full day of fighting in Iraq, has been proclaimed “Harmony Day” by the Feds (harmonyday). As a friend says, “Harmony here, chaos everywhere else”.

Of course this coincidence is not as odd as you might imagine at first sight. All the really great empires have embraced universal ideals and have pushed “multi-culturalism” since the time of Xerxes and Alexander the Great. It’s only those unreconstructed xenophobes in the provinces who give the Emperor headaches!

***

Stephen James

I’ve read the Letters to the Editor and I’ve read the contributions to your site, and most of them are good, worthy and thoughtful. I still think they are skirting around the obvious.

Not even John Howard seriously thinks that 2000 of our boys and girls will make any difference. Yet he is determined to send them, and the reason is simple vanity.

John Howard is approaching the end of his political career. He has done nothing of note apart from surviving for an unusually long time. The Americans have picked this up. They know nothing about international relations or diplomacy, but boy do they know how to flatter a sucker. They have convinced Howard that he is important, that he is on the world stage, and that he is made of the Right Stuff.

I make no moral judgment about it. In sexual terms, it’s a bit like a gorgeous 24 year old girl telling a balding, fat, middle aged bloke that he’s a bit of a hunk. Common sense would tell the bloke that there’s something wrong, but common sense is the first thing to go out the window in a case like that. Substitute power for sex, and it’s clear why we are in this mess.

Menzies over Suez and Holt over Vietnam had the same problem. They both wanted to be remembered as important. So do a lot of us. It’s just that most of us don’t get the chance to cause massive damage as a result of a simple and common human failing.

***

Meagan Phillipson

I think this might be the beginning of the end for the Howard government. I mean, they are waging a war in a manner only 9% of Australians support and Costello has already indicated that there will be cuts in May’s budget to “certain programs” (read pesky non-essentials like education, healthcare etc.) to pay for Australia’s military commitment.

When the “mums and dads” and the battlers go down to the medical centre to see a doctor only to find out they have to fork out for private billing, they ain’t gonna be happy. First Johnny doesn’t listen, then he wages war nobody wants and underwrites it by cutting the budget – do you think middle Australia will stand for this in 2004? When it comes to the hip pocket nerve, voters seem to have a long memory.

***

Mark McGrath, Union Sector Manager, Social Change Online

Dear John,

For us voters we have now made up our mind and reached the final days of decision. For more than seven years, many of us citizens have pursued patient and honorable efforts to tolerate your government of lies, deception and corrupt behaviour. Your government pledged to be an honest government and renew people’s faith in our democratic system of government as a condition for being elected by us citizens in 1996.

Since then, many of us Australians have engaged in 7 years of patience and tolerance whilst your Ministerial code of conduct became a sham and a political liability. We have accepted dozens of your assurances in parliament that you are acting in our best interests and have given you the benefit of the doubt. We have voted for you numerous times based on your promises to do the right thing by us and despite your assurances, our good faith has not been returned. Instead we have been given less public services, less share of the wealth we generate and less accountability.

Your government has used diversion tactics, spin and plain lies to deflect attention and manipulate public opinion. It has uniformly defied United Nations resolutions and conventions that ask Australia to be a good global citizen. Over the years, you have derided and undermined those in the public service that have tried to keep your government honest. Honest and genuine efforts to reform your government have been blocked and denied again and again – because we are not dealing with honest men.

Intelligence gathered by us citizens leaves no doubt that your government continues to deceive the Australian people and that you possess motives that run counter to our interests. Your government has already used weapons of mass propaganda to win elections under false pretences such as the Children Overboard affair. Your government has a history of reckless behaviour driven by self-interest. It has a deep hatred of any nation, group or person at odds with your ideology. And it has aided, trained and harbored union busting thugs, including operatives of Patricks in the MUA dispute.

The danger is clear: a prolonged use of your government puts Australians at risk and could kill the faith millions of our people have in democracy. The people of Australia did nothing to deserve this threat. But we will do everything to defeat it. Instead of drifting along toward tragedy, we will set a course toward regime change and reform. Before the day of horror can come, before it is too late to act, this danger will be removed at the ballot box.

The people of Australia has the sovereign authority to use its electoral force in assuring its own national security. That duty falls to us, the citizens, by the oath we have sworn, to uphold the principles of democracy and good government. This is an oath we will keep in spades John.

Recognizing the threat to our country, the people of Australia will vote overwhelmingly next election to force you and your coalition from government. This is not a question of authority, it is a question of will.

Your government has not lived up to its responsibilities, so we will rise to ours. In recent days, some members of your party have been doing their part. They have delivered public and private messages urging you to change your ways, so that Australia can start to get itself out of the mess you have put us in. You have thus far refused. All the years of deceit and disingenuous have now reached an end.

You and your coalition must call an election within 48 days. Your refusal to do so will result in your political destruction, commenced at a time of our choosing. For their own safety, all your political cronies should vacate the bureaucracy immediately.

Many Liberal and National party members can hear me tonight and I have a message for them. If we must begin a political campaign, it will be directed against the spineless men who rule your coalition and not against you. As us citizens take away their power, we will deliver the good government you need. We will tear down the apparatus of political patronage and we will help you to build a new Australia that is prosperous and fair.

In a fair Australia, there will be no more fear of your neighbors, no more detention centres, no persecution of unions or marginalised groups, no more contrived events for political propaganda. The little schoolboy tyrant will soon be gone. The day of your liberation is near.

It is too late for you to remain in power. But it is not too late for the coalition to act with honor and protect their government by demanding the peaceful resignation of your Prime Minister. We urge every member of the coalition, do not fight for a dying regime that is not worth your own political life.

And all the political appointees in the public service should listen carefully to this warning. In any conflict, your fate will depend on your action. Do not destroy, siphon off or privatise any public assets, like Michael Wooldridge did, a source of wealth that belongs to the Australian people. Do not obey any command to use lies and deception against the Australian people. Political crimes will be prosecuted. Political criminals will be punished unmercilessly at the ballot box. And it will be no defense to say, “I was just following the John’s orders.”

John, should you choose blind obstinacy and ignore our protests, you can be assured that every measure will be taken by the Australian people to remove you. Australians understand the costs of having gutless and dishonest leaders such as you because we have paid for them in the past.

If you attempt to cling to power, we know you will become desperate and engage in more deceptive and harmful behaviour that puts Australia at risk. The terrorist threat to Australia will be diminished the moment that you and your Liberals are removed from power.

We are a laid back people – yet we’re not a dumb people, and we will not be fooled by a political charlatan such as yourself. We are now acting because the risks of inaction would be far greater. In one year, or five years, the power of you and your government to inflict harm on all of us would be multiplied many times over. We choose to meet that threat now, making it known that we are consigning you and your flunkeys to electoral oblivion.

The security of Australia requires the dismissal of the your Government at the earliest opportunity.

Unlike you John Howard, we believe the Australian people are deserving of a safe and prosperous future with accountable and honest government.

That is the future we choose. Citizens have a duty to defend our country by uniting against the dishonest that act against our interests for the sake of their own. And soon, as we have done before, Australia and its people will accept that responsibility.

Good night John, and may God save the Liberal Party because the rest of us we will be waiting for you and your pathetic party with a block of four-by-two at the next election.

Yours Sincerely,

John Citizen, somewhere in a marginal seat

***

THE LEGALITY OF THE WAR

Norm Wotherspoon

Margo, I have no legal knowledge or experience, and am seeking an answer to a question of some concern to myself and others:

When Australia sends troops into Iraq as part of the ‘pre-emptive strike’ phase of the war on Iraq, then:

a) Under the legal terms/definitions/conventions of war, would it be an invasion, from the Iraqi viewpoint (which I as a layperson believe it would be), and, if so,

b) under those same legal terms/definitions/conventions, would that therefore mean that any attacks within Australia in reprisal would be simply reciprocal acts of war, (and more justifiable through being a response to attack), and could not be really labelled as ‘terrorist attacks’?

Can any of your readers please enlighten me?

***

Jacob A. Stam

On The 7.30 Report last night, Kerry O’Brien interviewed Prime Minister John Howard on his decision yesterday to commit to war on Iraq. O’Brien questioned the international legitimacy of this war, observing that whereas “the allied coalition against Iraq in 91 … numbered 34 countries … The coalition of the willing this time has shrunk to three”. (abc)

The PM responded that “more than twenty countries are making a contribution”, but conceded that “To my knowledge, there are three making a direct military contribution”. He added, “There could be more, I dont know…” It’s alarming that the man whose decision it has been to embark on this military adventure doesn’t even know exactly who our servicemen and women will be fighting alongside.

When the Prime Minister discussed his government’s legal advice that legality of the war issues from UNSC Resolution 1441, O’Brien pointed out that Britain and America co-sponsored Resolution 1441, and America said at the time that it voted for that resolution: “This resolution contains no hidden triggers and no automaticity with respect to the use of force”. The British said exactly the same thing, both promised to come back to the UN for further discussion before any action.

The PM seemed rattled for a moment, but bounced back with his government’s legal advice that “the failure of Iraq to fully disarm reactivates the authority to use force contained in the earlier Resolutions of 678 and 687”, and that “is really the essence of the argument”.

As commentators in the press have observed today, Resolution 678 in fact provides for the use of collective force to remove Iraqi forces from Kuwait. Resolution 687 sets out the terms of the 1991 ceasefire, outlining Iraq’s requirement to destroy all weapons of mass destruction, and the final paragraph of resolution 687 gives the Security Council the power to decide “such further steps as may be required for the implementation of the present resolution and to secure peace and security in the area”, implying further Security Council consideration will be needed(theage).

Other commentators have observed:

The key to the Government’s legal view is that Iraqs actions have somehow negated the basis of the 1991 ceasefire as expressed in Resolution 687. It has been argued the ceasefire declared by Resolution 687 was conditional on Iraq fulfilling the conditions required of it. However, the resolution makes clear the ceasefire will come into effect if Iraq simply accepts the terms of the resolution.

The resolution states that it is then up to the Security Council to take such further steps as may be required for the implementation of the resolution. No state or coalition of states acting outside the authorisation of the council retains the right to use force, even to punish Iraq for breaches of the resolution or to compel its compliance.

Hence, a further resolution of the Security Council is required… (smh)

That’s where Resolution 1441 enters the equation, but the Prime Minister did not even attempt to respond O’Briens reference to “no hidden triggers and no automaticity with respect to the use of force”. Presumably, the PM knew this was a fruitless direction to take, and so diverted the discussion to Resolutions 678 and 687 (which I suspect O’Brien was ill prepared to discuss).

Greg Hunt (Peter Reith’s successor in the seat of Flinders) argued the legal case for his government in The Age today at theage, saying, “Critically, resolution 1441 declares Iraq “in material breach” of its obligations, offers “one final opportunity” to comply fully not partially and threatens “serious consequences” if it continued to violate its obligations”.

A reasonable distillation, but he then adds: “The term serious consequences is the same enforcement provision that underpinned Desert Storm.” This is incorrect, because Resolution 678 specified forced expulsion of Iraqi forces from Kuwait, and gave a specific deadline for Iraq’s compliance. Aside from defending a flawed legal argument, much of Hunt’s argument for the legality of the war belabours the subsidiary arguments for war with which were all by now quite familiar, but which are frankly irrelevant to this point of law.

Australia: The war within

 

Last call cafe. Image by Webdiary artist Martin Davies. www.daviesart.com

He paused. His eyes hardened. He leant forward. His arm lifted, his forefinger wagged. “WE will determine the foreign policy of this country. We WON’T have it determined for us by the United States of America.”

Simon Crean in Parliament today, in the most important speech of his life – the speech which laid out the battlefield of the terrible division this country now faces – played John Howard on October 28, 2001 at the Liberal Party campaign launch.

John Howard paused. His eyes hardened. His arm lifted, his forefinger wagged. “WE will decide who comes to this country, and the circumstances in which they come.” That line became his election slogan. The crowd exploded, their feet pounded the floor, their cheers deafened the ears of those who sat frozen, appalled.

John Howard carried the majority of the Australian people with him as he thumbed his nose at international norms in handling refugees, as he turned their boats back and excised parts of Australia to avoid our legal obligations to him.

Fortress Australia. Australians loved it.

Now, the same John Howard has dismantled his fortress Australia, with unswerving, overt, unquestioning acquiescence to the United States wish that we help it invade Iraq, and it is he who has defied public opinion to do so. He is charged by Simon Crean, now speaking the people’s mind, handing over our sovereignty to a foreign power in reckless disregard of our national interests. Of committing our troops to a war which will increase the threat of terrorist attack on our nation, make us a target in a suspicious region, and take us outside the protection of a United Nations we helped found to look after us in a dangerous world.

“The Prime Minister today, in a reckless and unnecessary action, has committed Australia to war. We saw capitulation and subservience to a phone call from the United States. This is a black day for Australia,” Crean charged. The threesome – America, Britain and Spain – met in the Azores to decide to go to war, and “one of these countries, Spain, is prepared to commit our troops to war, but not their own”.

“These are the tragic circumstances in which the Prime Minister has placed us…you have turned your back on the Australian people”.

All of a sudden, Crean had the ‘gaul’ to call his team “a Labor government in waiting”, an alternative, he said, which “WILL be prepared to act in Australia’s national interests”. John Howard could have said that, and probably did, during the Tampa debate.

All the dynamics which made John Howard a hero after Tampa now threaten to destroy him as he destroyed Kim Beazley, and to save Simon Crean. Except that just as Howard was prepared to tear up international rules to get his way on Tampa, he is prepared to do the same to get his war on Iraq. But this time, Fortress Australia wants the security of UN endorsement, and fears not the UN, but the influence on him of the most powerful nation in the world.

This vicious debate, to be conducted in an Australia consumed with anxiety, fear and confusion, will split families and destroy friendships. Our troops know some of them will die in a war most of their fellow citizens do not endorse and which some of them believe will threaten our national security. For the first time in Australian history, a Prime Minister has committed us to a war Australians do not want, and that public opinion around the world opposes.

John Howard once charged Labor with subverting our national interest to United Nations refugee do gooders. Now he is charged with outsourcing the most crucial power of any Prime Minister, the power to declare war in the national interest, to a foreign power. America could not get its neighbour Mexico to vote for war on the Security Council, or its neighbour Canada to predeploy troops in advance of UN authority. But it could get Australia, a nation with clean hands in the Middle-East, a nation whose neighbour is the most populous Muslim nation in the world, a nation with its hands full protecting East Timor with UN authority, to follow wherever it led.

In the process, John Howard has destroyed the cohesion of the constituency he built post Tampa to remain in power. He has given Simon Crean the chance to bring back the constituency Labor threw away to protect itself from the power of Howard’s Tampa policy, to take back Howard converts, and to eat into those in Howard’s traditional Liberal constituency opposed to Australia’s participation in its first war of aggression without UN approval or neutrality.

The war on Iraq has yet to begin. Australia’s war – for its identity, it’s place in the world, and the values by which it engages with its citizens and the world – has just begun its final, brutal phase.

Resistance to ‘Brainwashington’

 

My Apollian Memory. Image by Webdiary artist Martin Davie. www.daviesart.com

Der Spiegel writer Jochen Bolsche, whose piece ‘This is a Think Tank War’ is published on Webdiary at A think tank war: Why old Europe says no, sent me a translation of his article about the use of the internet by the anti-war movement.

 

Resistance to ‘Brainwashington’

by Jochen Bolsche (spiegel)

The anger at the war mongers and brainwashers in the White House is increasing world wide. “The disgust at being lied to” even prompts hundreds of thousands of younger Americans to resist. The major weapon of the new peace “international” is the Internet.

Unlike the flower children of the Vietnam war, they are not demanding to “make love not war”. Distrust and anger at Washington’s intentions of breaking international law in order to lead a war of aggression have created a new kind of anti war rallying cry, “Make law, not war”.

The resistance to Bush’s attempt to replace the “power of the law by the law of power” (Gerhard Schroeder) has driven millions out into the streets, even in the United States. The American historian Maurice Issermann recently said that the protest movement in the United States is already stronger than it was during the time of the Vietnam war. “At that time it took several years before it reached the point at which we are now, even though soldiers had already died in the field”.

A terror monger as terror profiteer?

What many of the new “peace demonstrators” have in common is the weariness and disgust at being lied to, remarked the Swiss Wochen-Zeitung. Not a single day goes by on which critical American media don’t uncover facts that makes Bush’s motives appear questionable.

It has long been known that most of the present Administration officials have a verifiable history of mixing political office and business interests. At the beginning of this week, however, Pulitzer winning journalist Seymour Hersch of the New Yorker uncovered a particularly spectacular case of sleaze.

At its center is Richard Perle, the head of the influential “Defense Policy Board” (DPB), who has for years been pressing for a war against Iraq in the ultra conservative Think Tank ‘Project for a New American Century’, of which he is on the Board of Directors.

Correspondence with the Croesus of the Orient

Perle not only has his finger to an unknown degree in the media business, for example as director of the right wing “Jerusalem Post”, writes Hirsch ” but the super hawk is also the managing partner of a company called Trireme Partners L.P., which was grounded in Delaware two months after the tragic events of September 11. The goal of the company: To make money on the fear of war and terror.

In a letter to Adnan Kashoggi, the multi billionaire arms dealer who was born in Saudi Arabia, Trireme wrote in November 2002 that it’s main field of activity was to invest in companies which offer services and products for “homeland security and defense”. “The fear of terrorism”, it says in the letter to the Croisus of the Orient , according to the New Yorker, will increase the demand for such products.”

A war monger as war profiteer, a fighter of terror as a profiteer of terror? And as if this notoriety were not bad enough, Perle reacted by rudely insulting the renowned journalist in a CNN interview: “Hersch is the closest thing to a terrorist that the USA has”.

Freelance journalists as fair targets?

A few days later it became clear how great the fear of freelance journalists must be in the Pentagon, which Perle’s Defense Policy Board advises. The popular BBC war correspondent Kate Adie announced that the US military only wants to see handpicked journalists in Iraq. Independent journalists who do not work within the US framework and who make their reports to their editorial offices on satellite phones have to count with the possibility of being in the line of fire of the American Air Force.

Whenever a fighter plane gets the signal of a satellite phone, Kate Adie quotes “a senior officer at the Pentagon”, they will take the source in their line of fire. Freelance journalists who wanted to go to Iraq have been given this information. “Well, they know this…. they’ve been warned”.

The “news blackout” that the US is aiming for poses a massive threat to the freedom of the press, says the experienced reporter, who had already reported from the last Iraq war. The selection practices of the Pentagon is also aimed at the exclusion of critical journalists; this time war sceptics will be denied accreditation.

“The best and the brightest”

While the confidence in much of the mainstream media is decreasing even in the United States, and the fear grows of being the targets of Bush Administration disinformation, some young Americans – perhaps the “best and the brightest” of their generation – have begun to create an alternative information flow to shoo away all the crows and hawks that are nesting on the Potomac these days.

Their major source of information for the spreading of uncensored information is the Internet.

Tens of thousands of American citizens are accessing European websites like the online editions of Irish newspapers or British TV stations. BBC Online, for example, registers 50% of its readers at present from the US. “The US public turns to Europe for news”, reports the media magazine “dot journalism”.

In German on line editorial departments young Americans like ‘Susan’ email and ask for permission to translate articles critical of Bush and make them available to friends at home “because the American press wouldn’t print a story like this”, or because “American papers mostly represent the Administration’s viewpoint” as pointed out by ‘John’.

When the truth goes on line

While the US users turn away from the easily manipulated local mass media and look for “unadulterated news”, the German professional information service “intern. de” is already anticipating a reversal of the media world: In the formation of opinion about actual events, the US press, which is mostly in step with each other, is apparently beginning to lose “impact”, while the Internet is “playing a much more significant role than has been assumed up to now”.

Germany’s ex Secretary of State Hans Dietrich Genscher even sees changes of historic proportions. “The entrance into the information highway has led to the creation of an international opinion. People in all parts of the world have access to the same information,” wrote the Liberal Party politician in a newspaper column this week.

The result, according to Genscher, is that, “Restriction measures against information are hardly effective anymore”, and that “this explains the continuing demands for further inspections in Iraq, even in countries whose governments have long ago decided for a military solution”.

Of course there are also – and especially – in the US itself numerous websites who have taken on the task of spreading suppressed information. The news-ticker www.buzzflash.com and the web offering of a newspaper with the unusual name “Mother Jones”, which, according to Greenpeace, conceals the “most biting and best magazine in America”, belong to the alternative Online scene in the US.

Like its mother journal, www.motherjones.com is part of an American tradition which is totally different than that of of the oil magnate Bush family, which has gotten richer from war to war.

Mother Jones and the machine gun massacre

The coalminer widow Mary Harris (Mother) Jones, who died in 1930 at age 100, had been an activist in the Democratic party and had fought against child labor, defended brutally persecuted trade unionists, and bravely denounced the “machine gun massacre” in which mine owners had 20 mining strikers murdered in 1914. The motto of the Irish Catholic had been “pray for the dead, and fight like the devil for the living”.

The varied international democratic and radical democratic Bush opponents are networking within the alternative journalism landscape of motherjones.com and other websites – including offerings like the German Feldpolitik.de.

A member of the congregation affronts his own Church

Up to date link lists refer to important copy by investigative journalists, human rights activists, peace researchers and other information which the brain washers in “Brainwashington”, as the Bush Administration is called on these sites, would like to hide from the general public.

For example, while the President is shown as a God fearing Christian by the mainstream media, the web media documents not only the relentless war criticism of the Pope (“immoral, illegal, and unjust”), but also the protests of the Bishops in Bush’s own Methodist Church, which he has been offending for weeks; the unmanageable Bishops have to wait around until he is ready to give them an audience.

Or, while conservative newspapers describe a French UN veto as an unspeakable provocation, the alternative media shows that the United States has used its veto disproportionately more than any other member of the Security Council.

Ex agent warns of “historical insanity”

While conservative pundits, in harmony with Bush, cite Iraq’s disregard for the UN resolution as automatic grounds for war, the truth seekers on the web counter that other countries, even the democratic Israel, apostrophied as “USrael”, have defied the United Nations over many more resolutions than the dictator in Baghdad.

While in most mainstream media war opponents are at best allowed to have their say on the advertising pages, the web allows everyone access, for example, the appeal of the 14,000 writers and academics who condemn Bush’s war as “morally unacceptable”. Equally accessible world wide is British author and ex agent John Le Carre’s opinion that in this “phases of historical insanity” the Bush Administration is handling the fact that double the number of those killed in Vietnam were killed in the first Iraq war, as if it were a state secret.

J.R. Ewing recalls “Dallas” episode 220

Many American and German homepages disseminate information about the dates and locations of demonstrations in addition to popular anti war slogans like ” weapons inspectors in the USA!” and “Saving energy helps avoid war”, while others offer a variety of biting Bush satires or point out brilliant pieces like the virtual interview on the Iraq war with the revolting oil magnate J.R. Ewing, on Telepolis.de. Sample:

Question: Political observers expect the overthrow of the oil monarchs in the Gulf States, for example, Saudi Arabia.

Ewing: I had a similar project once, let me see, I think it was in episode 220 and later. I wanted to sabotage the Saudi oil production at the time, but of course, with more modest means. It went terribly wrong and I had enormous problems with the Justice Department (swears at the thought, but calms down). But luckily, we have our boys in the Administration now.

Question: Oil economists are anticipating a crisis in the oil markets.

Ewing: Europe and China need a damper anyway, they’ve become much too insubordinate lately. And the USA can always use a new challenge.

Question: Many observers predict new terror attacks, like the ones on the World Trade Center.

Ewing: We’re in Dallas, Texas here. New York is more than 1,500 miles away.

Question: President Bush is considered to be a very religious man. What role do you think does Christianity play in his politics?

Ewing: Most Texans go to church every Sunday. We live by the principle that God helps the successful.

Question: The reelection of Bush could be difficult if the predictions of the sceptics came true and there were an oil crisis, the financial markets crashed, and there were new acts of terror…

Ewing: Why? What’s good for the Texas oil industry is good for Texas. And what’s good for Texas is good for America.

Question: Doesn’t the image of the United States suffer under Bush’s politics?

Ewing: Why? What’s good for America is good for the world. (Looks at his watch). Unfortunately I have no more time for you… apppointments, you understand.

The story of Saddam’s flying saucer

Relatively few websites offer the questionable or uncanny, for example supernatural stories about conspiracy illumination or bizarre exposes about the background of the Iraq crisis, such as reportedly appeared in Pravda at one time.

According to that story, Saddam once gave asylum to the alien survivors of a flying saucer who had special genetic know how who helped him create “fighting scorpions” that are “as large as cows” and now help him guard his palaces. This report actually exists, but instead of being on the political pages of Pravda, it was on a Russian fun site. Fun here, jokes there, it’s possible that the rapid growth of the international peace network could contribute to changing the world.

The contacts between war opponents on this and the other side of the Atlantic are already revealing to both sides how dumb it would be to confuse anti Bushism with anti Americanism. America is not only the Texans and the “Stupid White Men” but also Mother Jones and her young fans.

Bush accomplishes what he’s against

The worldwide discomfort with Bush’s war plans, speculates the essayist Oliver Fahrni in the Swiss Wochenzeitung, could possibly even lead to Bush’s unwittingly accomplishing what he’s against: a bit of international community.

The only thing to fear is that the road there will be filled with mountains of corpses. If Bush keeps his promise to incinerate Iraq, among others, with the “mother of all bombs” now demonstrated on TV, then the TV screens will again be filled with enormously suggestible pictures from Baghdad.

“Pentagon employees admit that it is understood that Hiroshima serves as the prototype for Baghdad”, writes the US scientist William La Fleur in the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung. “The new bombs have relinquished radiation, but their unequalled, until now unimaginable explosive power makes up for the loss. The Pentagon hopes to force the Iraqis to capitulate, like the Japanese did in 1945.”

Fireworks like in Hiroshima

“The fire magic on the TV screens will be even more impressive than the CNN spectacle of 1991,” predicts the Japanology professor from Philadelphia. “The sight of simply impressive missiles and exploding rockets will release thrusts of adrenalin in us. Our bodies will prickle with excitement…. we’ll see fireworks that will be almost as good as the famous mushroom shaped cloud.”

But like once in Hiroshima and Nagasaki, an outcry of horror will come later, “when fearless photographers happen on the scenes and open our eyes to that which has remained down there”.

Whatever will have been burned and mutilated – the black gold of Iraq should not come to harm.

Broadcaster threatens with war crimes trial

The New Scientist has recently reported that a mysterious new broadcaster is being heard in Iraq. The anonymous propagandist uses drastic language to warn against “wilful damage” to oil drilling equipment: “The incoming government will prosecute every saboteur as a war criminal.”

Americans, on the other hand, will hardly have to worry about answering to a war crimes tribunal. From the beginning, the USA was one of the few countries in the world to boycott the International Criminal Tribunal which opened this week in Holland.

And a new US law, inspired by George W. Bush, even allows legal steps to be taken against any country which wants to make American soldiers legally responsible – be it in the Hague, the Netherlands, or in Old Europe.

It’s legal, believe me

Yesterday, at the beginning of a week when John Howard admitted Australia could invade Iraq without UN approval, he said this: “It’s very important as we start the week off that people understand that there is adequate legal authority under existing Security Council resolutions for action to be taken without the need for a further resolution.”

Today, he refused point blank to release the legal advice he said proved his claim.

John Howard’s contempt for the Australian people, it seems, has no bounds. His disdain for the morale of our troops, now allowing the fear of illegality to add to their burden of fighting a war knowing most Australians do not want them to risk their lives for this cause, verges on the unbelievable.

As Keir Starmer QC, a British barrister specialising in international human rights law, wrote in today’s Guardian newspaper on the eve of the release of the British Government’s legal advice:

“(British troops), their families and the public have a right to know what the “proper legal basis” for their action is. Engaging in armed conflict in breach of international law is a precarious business. The idea that the prime minister would end up before the international criminal court for participating in a US-led attack is far-fetched. But military commanders on the ground will not thank the government if any action they take is later judged to have been in breach of international law.”

Just last month, forty three of Australia’s most senior international law experts signed a letter declaring that “the initiation of a war against Iraq by the self-styled “coalition of the willing” would be a fundamental violation of international law” which could “involve committing both war crimes and crimes against humanity”. They warned that Australian military personnel and government officials faced the threat of being hauled before the International Criminal Court if they took part.

Sydney’s top barrister, Bret Walker SC, challenged the government to release contrary advice, if it had any. His challenge went unanswered.

Mr Howard said today he had “formal legal advice”, from “the Attorney General’s department and the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade”, but would not release it. He did not say why.

When told that the British government planned to release advice from Attorney General Lord Goldsmith, he said: “I don’t know what the UK will do, and we do what we normally do in relation to these things.”

Here’s what the government normally does in relation to legal advice on politically contentious matters. If the advice suits its argument it releases it, either in full or by showing reporters parts of the text. If the advice does not suit its case, it refuses to do so.

In 1997, the overwhelming majority of Australia’s top lawyers – in private practice and at the Australian Law Reform Commission – advised that its original Wik bill was racially discriminatory and in breach of the Racial Discrimination Act.

The Government repeated, over and over – including in the Parliament – that its legal advice was that the Wik bill did not breach the Act and was not racially discriminatory. One minister, Nick Minchin, even told Parliament that it was difficult to understand how anyone could believe the contrary claim.

The government refused all requests to release that advice and ordered the Australian Law Reform Commission not to give evidence on the matter to a parliamentary inquiry into the Wik bill, triggering an inquiry into whether Attorney-General Daryl Williams was in contempt of the Senate.

Finally, in November 1997, an extract of the Government’s legal advice – by its Chief General Counsel Henry Burmester – was leaked to the Herald. It warned that the Wik bill could run foul of the Racial Discrimination Act on at least three grounds, and could also breach a key international human rights agreement, the Convention on the Elimination of all forms of Racial Discrimination.

This government has form. This is a matter of the highest importance to the Australian people and to our troops in the Gulf. It is Mr Howard’s duty to prove his case.

A question of legitimacy

John Howard has lost it. At his press conference today, he cut off war questions, turned his back and walked away. Then someone said “Steve Waugh”. Howard bounced back to the presidential lectern, grinned widely, showing his teeth for what seemed like an eternity, and settled in for a rave about the great man. Australia is about to go to war, for God’s sake.

John Howard’s government has been lying to the Australian people about his intentions for so long now that even its most senior ministers are fluffing their lines. In an interview yesterday, Peter Costello refused to speculate about the leadership because “We have a war on”.

Today, Howard was asked: “Can you see any circumstances where you would say no to a request from President Bush?”

“Well if I thought that you had the fifteen of them all saying the sort of thing that I was talking about I think that would offer some hope. But I don’t think there’s much hope of that,” he replied.

In other words, he wouldn’t go to war if the security council had agreed to endorse a strike and Saddam had backed down. This means that he had already decided to say yes to an unauthorised US strike if asked by Bush. All his “hypothetical” talk was just evasion, with the consequence that he has refused to take the Australian people into his confidence and tell them why, in his judgement, it would be in Australia’s interests to walk away from the UN and invade another country without UN endorsement. Perhaps he never will.

And the result of his deception? The Prime Minister has not addressed the Australian people’s core concerns about the war.

Question: “A lot of the community support has been based on the idea of whether or not there would be UN backing. Now that UN backing is looking extremely slim what do you say to the Australian people who are probably the majority opposed to this at the moment?”

“Well I don’t think you really know ultimately what public opinion is on this until the final shape of the final decision is known, and there’s some working out of that,” Howard replied. “What I generally say in response to that is that there’s plenty of legal authority on the basis of existing United Nations’ resolutions and any decision we take will be based on the legal authority that’s contained there, amongst other things …”

The legality is not, of course, the only concern. Without UN sanction, Australia stands out like a sore thumb, in the world and most particularly in our region, thereby increasing the risk of an attack on our soil and on our citizens. Without UN sanction, we effectively turn our backs on the body we helped found after World War 11 to help stop World War 111. Where is John Howard leading us, and why? He won’t say.

Some people are so angry at the sheer contempt their leader has shown them that they’re emailing the Governor-General to demand he veto Howard’s war. This is ridiculous. Australians bear the responsibility for electing this man, and this Parliament.

As you know, I’ve always supported Australian involvement in a UN sponsored invasion because of the importance of our alliance with the United States. Without such sanction, the risks – especially given the region we live in – are too great.

I’ve written many times in Webdiary that the decision to go to war is a special case. I do not believe in populism – that governments should invariably, or even mostly, do what popular opinion wants at a given point in time.

But war is blood sacrifice of Australian citizens on behalf of the Australian people. Not on behalf of the Prime Minister – in a democracy, at least – on behalf of the people. John Howard’s very legitimacy is now in question. Last week, he could not think of one credible non-political figure who supported his cause. Yesterday, he dared to claim that the reason he’d not told us he would go to war when George Bush gave the nod, even without UN sanction, was to help the people decide what they thought!

“The only reason I’ve held back and said the final decisions not been taken is I’ve wanted to give the Government and the nation room to make that decision in full possession of all of the relevant facts and circumstances,” he said. This is crazy talk.

And how can he tell what the nation thinks since he doesn’t believe the polls and claims people wouldn’t really make up their minds until he’s told them what he’s already decided? “I don’t think you really know ultimately what public opinion is on this until the final shape of the final decision is known,” he said today.

The Australian people have known for a long time what you’d decided, Mr Howard. (See, for example, Don’t believe the hype, way back in September last year). They just didn’t know why. And still don’t.

I believe Labor should seriously consider demanding an immediate election, and refuse to pass any legislation unless John Howard submits himself to the Australian people. Enough is enough.

***

People power played a part in John Howard’s press conference today. Scott Burchill emailed me today’s Guardian story stating that Britain would release its legal advice on the legality of a non-UN sanctioned war, I briefed our Canberra legal correspondent Cynthia Banham, and she got the question up after Howard said he’d keep his legal advice secret. Howard seemed unbriefed and fobbed it off, but the question raised media interest in Howard’s secrecy ploy. Thanks again, Scott.

For my comment piece on Howard’s secrecy, see It’s legal, believe me. The Guardian article is at Sorry, Mr Blair, but 1441 does not authorise force. The Howard transcript is at pm.)

***

Scott recommends today’s The New York Times for a detailed analysis of what went wrong in the UN, called ‘A Long, Winding Road to a Diplomatic Dead End’. You have to sign on before you can read it.

***

Polly Bush thinks she’s found a Liberal who at least might be toying with dissent, the marvellous Judi Moylan from Western Australia, who had the guts to abstain on the Tampa border protection legislation, and who led the campaign, partly through Webdiary, to pressure Peter Costello to turn down Shell’s bid for Woodside.

Liberal MP Judi Moylan ultimately supported the government’s position, but spent most of her speech detailing the horrible impact of it. “An invasion of Iraq would involve the death of many innocent men, women and children. We hear the use of the term ‘collateral damage’, which seems to have its origins in the United States. It is a convenient euphemism. But we are under no illusions: it simply means that those unlucky enough to be in the way, innocently in some cases, will not escape death and injury. Everything possible must be done to avoid such a conflict,” she said.” (The Age September 9, 2002)

***

Over to you, for more final thoughts before the war.

Venkata Sreegiriraju

I will provide you with a recent set of events to show that America, Britain and Australia need not feel humiliated if they withdraw forces from Gulf.

India had more reason to attack Pakistan, because of support of terrorist activities in Pakistan against India, cross border terrorism emanating from Pakistan, and a terrorist attack on the Indian Parliament. It even stationed over 500,000 military personnel along the Pakistan border.

But it did not attack Pakistan because it listened to the world and put faith in diplomacy. Now it even withdrew some of its forces. According to American logic India should feel humiliated because it thereby lost its bargaining power. If the American administration says it has the right to pre-emptive attack, what right it has to ask India not to make a pre-emptive attack?

I recommend The Arrogant Empire.

***

Welcome to Freedom! (Sorry about the bombs)

by David Makinson

Well, it seems the dreaded moment is upon us. Australia is on the very cusp of its first ever war of aggression. John Howard’s legacy – his place in history.

The government lies to us every day and ignores the will of its people. Now our mostly proud and peace-loving history is about to be stained as we attack for no reason a nation which has never threatened us in the past, is not threatening us today, and is unlikely to ever threaten us in the future.

It all seems hopeless, and the natural response of those of us who have railed against this wrong might be to concede defeat and shuffle disconsolately away.

Don’t do it. Don’t even think about it. SHOUT LOUDER.

If we can’t stop the war, we can end it faster. If we can’t stop the war, we can change its outcomes. We can force the aggressors to take responsibility for their actions and rebuild the destroyed country of Iraq. We have already brought this aspect to the forefront. Going quiet now would be a betrayal of what we’ve tried to say. And it would be a betrayal of the people of Iraq.

Which brings me to the main theme of this piece. It’s the thorniest issue of all. The argument is that the people of Iraq actually want us to go to war in order to liberate them from the oppressor. As I’ve mentioned previously, this aspect did not start to get significant air time in the mainstream case for war until quite recently. Now, more and more of the right-wing pro-war lobbyists are latching on to it. Witness John Howard’s very recent epiphany. (Margo: And witness the extraordinary memo from the summit of three at smh – WMDs hardly rate a mention!)

The hawks know that, amongst all the obvious rank lies and clumsy deceptions of the other so-called causes for war, this one has bite. It is the most confronting for their opponents. We are a motley bunch of bleeding hearts, after all. Would anti-war people like to see an end of the Iraqi regime? Of course. Well then, war must surely be the only answer? No. The end does not always justify the means.

In an awful parody of Patrick Henry’s famous cry, we are saying to the Iraqis that we will “give you Liberty or give you Death!” What obscene arrogance.

Of course we on the anti-war side would like to make oppressed people free. But to do this over their dead bodies is an abomination. Imagine burying your newly-free child. How do you feel? Liberated?

There are a hell of a lot of regimes around the world which perpetrate hideous crimes on a daily basis. Who gets to decide which ones we attack, and when? This way lies madness – a world of chaos, where the rule of international law is replaced by the rule of selective war. And, entirely contrary to what John Howard says, the only message to those other regimes is – you guessed it – “arm up quick, for then they will be afraid to attack us”. North Korea seems to understand this very well.

The whole issue of the oppressed peoples across the world is an aspect that must not be left to the increasingly questionable devices of the governments of America and its vassal states.

If we are (now) serious about rescuing the citizens of oppressed regimes, then let’s make a serious assessment of the ways of doing this. Let this not be a flag of convenience used only to support war on Iraq. Let’s look at Iraq, Zimbabwe, Myanmar, North Korea and all the others and work out the right way forward.

At the moment we have carefully and cynically selected just one country for our righteous moralising, a country where these abuses have been going on for decades with our tacit approval. And we have gone straight to what should be the option of very last resort – bloody war. We have not even evaluated, let alone tried any alternative solutions.

Look past Saddam, people. Stop to think where you’re heading.

It has been asserted by some of those in the pro-war lobby that “most Iraqis” have, in some form of “collective decision” determined that they are prepared to suffer a war if it means the regime is removed. The problem with this is that the assertion is made without proof, and is in fact incapable of being proved. It is no more than a guess. “Some Iraqis want the war” would be an honest thing to say, but that does not suit their line, so they lie by exaggeration. Old trick. Very transparent.

This sanctimonious “We know what’s good for you” attitude is both chilling and sickening. Even worse than the expedient cynics on the right, these are ideological monsters who see killing for their cause as good. Their diamond hard benevolence is cold-eyed, unblinking, and absolutely pitiless.

So pitiless that they can selectively ignore “Shock and Awe”. So cold that they can choose not to think about MOABs and cluster bombs. They choose not to think about depleted uranium and cruise missiles. They choose in their smug, reptilian complacency not to think about the carbonised bodies of the Iraqi dead. And they choose not to remember that over half the population of Iraq are children under the age of 15. So completely obsessed by Saddam, they cannot see the children.

And then they have the gall to accuse us of selectively forgetting the people of Iraq. Their hypocrisy is absolute.

Or perhaps it’s just that they don’t believe Shock and Awe will happen. Perhaps they’ve elected not to believe in MOABs and cluster bombs. Or perhaps they have decided to believe the Americans won’t use them. Perhaps they’re choosing to forget the innocent dead of all of the world’s other wars.

Perhaps they don’t even choose to agree that war should be the last resort. Certainly the propaganda coming out of America is confusing enough – one moment they’re launching up to 3000 missiles in 48 hours, the next they’re carefully targeting only military installations. Whatever – rest assured that by the time the war is done, we will have been party to the murder of a large number of people who need not otherwise have died.

This is not a question of “if”. It is a question of “how many”.

“The Iraqis want the war”. Utter codswallop. How dare these people assume the right to ignore the opinions of all the Iraqis who don’t want a bar of this bloody war? How dare they presume to speak about the desires and fears of 23 million people? Challenge the assertion yourselves: Listen to the radio interviews with Iraqis in the streets of Baghdad. Read the international press. Conduct an internet search. You will very quickly discover exactly what you would expect to discover: Iraqi voices that run the full gamut of opinion. From pro-war, through profound ambivalence, to anti-war. Exactly as you would expect.

The people of Iraq are as divided on this as the rest of us. And they have so much more at stake. I wonder if all those kids under the age of 15 were part of this imaginary “collective decision”?

No decision has been made by the people of Iraq, nor can it be. In the end, we cannot possibly know what the collective will of the people of Iraq is, so as a cause for war, this one fails abjectly. To present this as an established truth is, purely and simply, arrant nonsense. And that’s putting it kindly.

If you see or hear anyone trying to make this argument, hang up the phone, point and click elsewhere, slam the door in their faces. Punch them in the nose. Shout LIAR! LIAR! PANTS ON FIRE! very loudly. Laugh at them. Do what you have to do, but don’t let them get away with this pathetic fraud.

***

Martin Walsh

If any military enforcement of UN resolutions is illegal without UN sanction then why hasn’t the US, UK or allies been prosecuted for using military force in Bosnia and Afghanistan after the UN could not get consensus on any action? I think many of the issues you raise in your Webdiary are irrelevant. I haven’t seen too many discussions about the facts of what the Iraqi regime has done or the facts of the failings of the UN in Rwanda or Bosnia or the self-interest and back room deals between Iraq and Russia, Germany and especially France.

Thank god we have access to US, UK and European media who seem to have a broader, more informative and more balanced approach to reporting, analysis and opinion journalism.

Since Friday I have asked about 22 people from many different backgrounds at work, at the sporting ground, and at the pub, and the majority agree with my view and I think I represent the majority of silent Australian’s supporting this action. Because, sorry to disappoint you, we are intelligent enough to see through propaganda and spin and irrelevant issues and see that this action is the right thing to do at this point in time and fully understand that sitting around on the lounge hoping and wishing the world will be a better place is simply naive.

***

Sandy Thomas

When it comes to “believing” John Howard, am I the only one to wonder about the uncanny parallels?

Winston, at home in the talkback studios on Friday, doublespeaks that the French are using “spoiling tactics to prevent peaceful disarmament” – because they’ll vote against a UN resolution “authorising” Bush, Blair and himself to start their war whenever they like.

The Iraqis are now “right” to flee a tyrannical regime – but the Ministry of Truth is still free, at least metaphorically, to continue to throw these refugees overboard, because we have “a right to defend our borders”.

And the only future Winston’s “logic” can offer, after Iraq, is an endless parade of yet more wars against yet more countries, ostensibly because he “fears” they might aid terrorists, whenever the White House changes their status from “with us” to “rogue state”.

George Orwell never dreamt how literally the plodding would grasp at his satire and translate it into a grim, highly “spun” reality.

On a not entirely unrelated note, you might like to grab a look at Robert Fisk’s latest, and especially his “weasel words to watch for”, at independent

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David Svenson in Brisbane

I’ve neglected reading your Web Diary for some time because it is corrupted by so many subjective thinkers and not enough sensible people like Chris Andrews (Do you believe John Howard?)

As an old footslogger, I agree with John Howard. I have seen enough of it to abhor war and I watched the gutless Americans allow that other murdering tyrant Hitler bluff all the gutless French and British politicians until the pathetic Chamberlain was forced to act (and admit Churchill was right!) Now the pathetic peaceniks want us to repeat the errors of the past and cuddle an even worse tyrant than Hitler.

Margo I don’t like John Howard any more than you do. Nevertheless I must admire the PM’s political skills and his impressive Press Club speech, particularly the way he demolished his detractors in answering their mostly factually baseless questions.

***

Stewart Harrison

Your column ‘Do you believe John Howard?’ highlights what a dangerous legacy he is leaving to Australia. By his cavalier actions he has placed this country in a position of extreme danger for many years to come.

Has he lied? His track record on so many vitally important issues to this country speaks for itself. However, on this occasion, he will cause the death of so many innocent people in this country. Terrorists will target Australia or its interests and whilst the quality of our defenders match any in the world there will never be enough to effectively protect us.

The misguided and zealous actions of one man has changed Australia forever and we have gained nothing.

He will do it because what masquerades for an opposition still wears its union shirts and fails to be credible to the electorate. Here is a golden opportunity to have a dangerous, backward thinking person brought to heel. In an environment where most Australians are totally opposed to his actions and don’t believe his utterances on a large raft of other crucial matters, Labor plays around the edges. The only one to have any credible presence is their Kevin Rudd. There is the next Prime Minister.

What does Howard hope to gain…a trade agreement? At what price? Why does Howard not listen to the Australian people that is purports to represent? This is not our fight when most of the world won’t endorse such a war. So much for his family values. One dictator trying to squash another.

***

Peter Funnell in Canberra

Every indication now that war will commence (officially) in a day or two. I thought they might have started over the weekend, but it seems they are determined to try and face down the French at the Security Council before they give the go signal.

As I write I can hear the news saying our PM will hold a Cabinet meeting tonight, presumably to confirm what he has always intended to say to the Australian people. But of course, there has been no “formal” request. What is “formal” in these circumstances I wonder? A phone call – “John, it’s George here pal, were going in on Wednesday”. A letter? An email or a fax? Talk about real crap – of course the whole damn thing has been “formal”, because our PM has made up his mind, he has a “belief”. I am at a loss to find the words to express my utter amazement and disappointment.

***

Graeme Merrall

Howard may be trotting out his 1991 UN Resolution excuse at the moment but he appears to have forgotten a 1950 General Assembly resolution allows the General Assembly to step in to “maintain or restore international peace and security” in the event that “the Security Council, because of lack of unanimity, fails to exercise its primary responsibility for the maintenance of international peace and security”. How intriguing. See un and look for “Uniting for peace”.

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Jacob A. Stam in Narre Warren, Victoria

The Howard Government’s media cheer-squad (Henderson, Devine, et al.) have recently been crowing about a “pathological hatred” of the government which, they say, is particularly manifest in criticism of its policy on Iraq. Speaking for myself, I would rather characterise my attitude as one of disdain, a visceral sense of queasiness and distaste at the muck we the Australian public are intended to swallow.

All the same, it is true to say that there is a great deal of animus abroad against the Howard Government. It is also true that the aversion felt by broad sections of the community is literally pathological. We might even take a stab at broadly delineating said pathology:

* The regressive GST which was “never, ever” going to be on this Government’s agenda,

* Surreptitious collusion with sectional interests in industrial disputes, notably the Patrick wharves dispute,

* Shaming of Australia over the Kyoto Protocol (at the behest of Australian captains of commerce, who have since done an about face with an eye on possibly lucrative carbon credits trading),

* Backhanded support for the former Northern Territory government’s mandatory sentencing laws on the grounds of states/territories rights, while overturning their right-to-die law on moral grounds,

* Failure to act upon prior knowledge of the impending bloodbath following the East Timorese independence vote,

* Deploying peacekeeping forces to East Timor following an earnest effort at sitting on its hands, only after thousands of ordinary Australians expressed their anger,

* Mandatory detention of asylum seekers fleeing the very Iraqi regime that the Prime Minister admits is a torturer of children,

* Soft handling of the odious Burmese regime which is also a torturer of children (e.g., sending human rights lecturers while demurring on UN/ILO prescribed economic sanctions),

* The Prime Minister’s tricky apologetics for Suharto’s Indonesia, eg “not a democracy in the sense that we understand it”, with Suharto then in power,

* This Government’s fearless denunciation of Suharto’s Indonesia as a “dictatorship”, with Suharto then safely deposed and in disgrace,

* Shaming of Australia over the Tampa incident,

* The mean, tricky and expensive “Pacific solution”,

* Excision of sovereign territory from the Australian “migration zone” (a kind of Wonderland croquet we play with our humanitarian obligations),

* The “children overboard” tricky-fiction which this Government ran with as a rancid morsel to a starving man,

* The Prime Minister’s defence of his talkback demagoguery as statesmanlike articulation of Australian values, while denouncing as “the mob” everyone from peace protesters to critics of his Governor-General,

* Selective application of the “mandate theory of politics”, which this Prime Minister once described as “absolutely phoney”,

* Proposed abolition of media ownership rules, and

* Persistent undermining of Medicare.

No doubt this list is not exhaustive. But overarching all this is the Government’s general and overwhelmingly reflexive kow-towing to US geopolitical objectives (to put it much more politely than, say, Mark Latham).

The Prime Minister and his apologists ascribe his position on Iraq to “conviction politics”, and we are expected to swallow this without gagging as 40 US trade officials arrive in the country to negotiate a possible free trade agreement. Yes, the prospective FTA has been suddenly refloated, after last year foundering in the face of apparently insurmountable opposition from the US farm lobby.

It remains to be seen, after the war we had to have has run its course, whether the US agricultural sector will relent to the “slight squeeze” on its interests that US Ambassador Schieffer this weekend said they might. It also remains to be seen how “slight” a squeeze they will concede. As Australians, we might ponder whether the resurrected prospect of the FTA explains the Australian agricultural sector’s muted response to Howard’s warmongering, with millions of dollars in grain exports to Iraq in the balance.

***

Neil Baird in Williamstown, Victoria

A Portrait of a Sad Man

I observed John Howard’s Press Club Speech broadcast on ABC television Thursday 13th of March. As one of Howard’s former colleagues John Valder, once Liberal Party President commented, it was a very professional speech but that was about it.

From my point of view, Howards speech was not convincing or compelling. I saw a man who is blinded by his own distorted logic trying to convince people who have heard enough already to make up their minds that this war with Iraq is not on, that this is wrong and dangerous and reckless and stupid. The audience of journalists appeared to me to be just going through the motions – knowing the questions they would ask would not be answered.

In these last days before calamity strikes Howard needs to deal with the demons in his own mind,with his internal terrorism – that there is no way out of this uncontrollable mess, that a back down would be catastrophic blow to the ego, his paternalistic leadership and be altogether incomprehensible. Even though the human cost of lives is going to be immense.

During his speech, Howard’s attempts at humour – the cricket connection whilst phoning General Pervez Musharraf in Pakistan (hey, it’s not cricket with a baseball bat is it?) and the Darlinghurst law courts ‘forgive my past Sydney links, old bailey proof’ fell flat. How does he expect an audience to warm to the prospect of war that appears in the hearts and minds of many people to be completely unjustified.

Howard showed he is yesterday’s man caught up in an extraordinarily messy business with world forces completely beyond his illusions of control. A small player seduced by the world’s power brokers and now trying to cling on desperately.

As Howard was describing his attempt to influence Pakistan’s vote at the UNSC through telephone diplomacy with the mutual love of cricket between Musharraf and himself, what was going through my mind wasn’t cricket but, “Isn’t that where they arrested the number two man for al-Qaeda in Pakistan?”

At least Blair has the courage and guts to debate the ordinary citizen. Not Howard though – he hides behind his mean and tricky logic, hoping that braying on and on will brainwash us all into submission.

We have a Prime Minister who has sold the Australian people out over his subservience to the American alliance – particularly with Iraq – whilst trying to save his skin and the realisation of his own ultimate nightmare: the opprobrium of the Bush administration.

***

Meeja Watch

by Jack Robertson

There is some irony in Damian Joyce recommending “Lunch with the Chairman’ in the same Webdiary entry that Peter Woodforde exhorts us to remember the courage of some American soldiers in protecting victims of the My Lai Massacre in Vietnam (‘Do you believe John Howard?’)

Part of what redeemed the US after that episode – and part of what still makes America a vibrant symbol of freedom in the world – was the public exposure of that terrible outbreak of military madness in the heat of confused, bitter combat operations, and the intensely-honest US self-criticism that (eventually) followed such mistakes during Vietnam. The core professional coalition forces are perhaps more disciplined and better-trained, perhaps better able these days to avoid another My Lai.

On the other hand, there is an enormous number of combat-inexperienced Reservists in the main US fighting forces. Also, the risks of this sort of ‘combat madness’ occurring during and/or after the invasion of Iraq are surely unusually high, since the invasion aims remain at best muddled, the invading forces are now highly-charged by the delays and uncertainty, the combatant-delineating Rules of Engagement are still unclear, the response of the local populations is unpredictable, and the Iraqi internal political and ethnic dispositions are conflicting and unstable.

Independent, open journalism will be absolutely crucial in helping friendly forces maintain perspective and keep a check on their own combat conduct over the next months, especially when the various post-Saddam scenarios begin to play themselves out.

Public opinion, support for the soldiers and the overall ‘justness’ of this invasion – what little can now be salvaged, anyway – will be best served by many feisty, independent reporters being permitted, by the military hierarchy, to watch events closely, constantly and sceptically.

Reporters just like the reporter who was responsible for exposing the My Lai Massacre – Seymour Hersch, who won a Pulitzer for it. Reporters just like the reporter who wrote ‘Lunch with the Chairman’ about Richard Perle’s dealings with Khashoggi and Co – also Seymour Hersch. Read more about him here – bostonphoenix.

Now that we are committed to this invasion and occupation, only such independent scrutiny can prevent America’s military-coalition juggernaut from lurching fully into ugly, totalitarian territory.

And yet here is an exchange, on CNN’s ‘Late Edition’ on March 9 (the day Hersch’s story was published in the New Yorker) between Perle and CNN’s Wolf Blitzer. Even though Perle obviously doesn’t speak for the whole ‘pro-invasion’ camp, he has been a major driving force behind the Bush Administration’s adoption of this path. Here is how he responded to Hersch’s latest piece of awkward investigative journalism (my bold):

WOLF BLITZER: …Let me read a quote from the New Yorker article, the March 17th issue, just out now. “There is no question that Perle believes that removing Saddam from power is the right thing to do. At the same time, he has set up a company that may gain from a war.”

PERLE: I don’t believe that a company would gain from a war. On the contrary, I believe that the successful removal of Saddam Hussein, and I’ve said this over and over again, will diminish the threat of terrorism. And what he’s talking about is investments in homeland defense, which I think are vital and are necessary. Look, Sy Hersh is the closest thing American journalism has to a terrorist, frankly.

BLITZER: Well, on the basis of – why do you say that? A terrorist?

PERLE: Because he’s widely irresponsible. If you read the article, it’s first of all, impossible to find any consistent theme in it. But the suggestion that my views are somehow related for the potential for investments in homeland defense is complete nonsense.

BLITZER: But I don’t understand. Why do you accuse him of being a terrorist?

PERLE: Because he sets out to do damage and he will do it by whatever innuendo, whatever distortion he can – look, he hasn’t written a serious piece since My Lai.

BLITZER: All right. We’re going to leave it right there.

So there we have it: an admirably open deployment of one of the pro-invasion camp’s less admirable tactics. Pass the word about, Margo: if any pesky journalist should get a little too awkward at this delicate stage of the Bushies’ Manifest Destiny vision for the Persian Gulf, then the way the Chairman of the highly-influential Defence Policy Board sees things, you’re not merely a ‘terrorist-lover’, or a ‘Western self-blamer’, you are a terrorist yourself.

This does not bode well for any investigative reporters who try to present to us the truth – as opposed to an officially-airbrushed version – about how the fighting in Iraq proceeds. We will see, I suppose. Or not, more likely.

***

Kerryn Higgs in New York

I agree that George bush’s rose garden move last weekend is very possibly intended, in part at least, to allay suspicion that Bush is “captive to a Zionist cabal”. (Do you believe John Howard?)

At the same time, seems to me he’s having two bob each way. It it is not clear that he is offering the same “roadmap” put together in September by the “Quartet” of the US, UN, EU and Russia, a plan which was put on hold for six months at US instigation while the Israeli election – and then the formation of the new government – took place.

I refer you to James Bennet’s article in the New York Times on Saturday March 15 (nyt),which casts specific doubts on Bush’s good faith:

In announcing today that he was prepared to move ahead with a “road map” to peace and a Palestinian state, President Bush appeared to diverge sharply from the allies who helped him draft the map over what, precisely, it represents.

Mr. Bush pleased Israelis and dismayed Palestinians by describing the draft proposal as open to amendment, saying, “We will expect and welcome contributions from Israel and the Palestinians to this document that will advance true peace.”

The three other members of the diplomatic quartet that drew up the plan – the United Nations, the European Union and Russia – regard it as fixed, demanding immediate concessions from both sides, according to diplomats involved in the process. Israel has criticized it as potentially threatening to its security and has sought many changes.

Even as he made his announcement, Mr. Bush altered the document. He said he would present it as soon as the Palestinians confirmed a prime minister with “real authority.”

Mr. Bush’s intention may be to box in Yasir Arafat, the Palestinian leader, and force him to install a powerful prime minister. But according to the plan, which the quartet agreed on in December, the prime minister is supposed to be appointed as part of the first phase, which also demands difficult steps from Israel.

After postponing action on the plan for months, Mr. Bush has chosen to act at a moment of some diplomatic possibility and great American leverage here. Mr. Arafat has begun to move on a prime minister, while Ariel Sharon of Israel has said the only way out of Israel’s deep recession is an end to the conflict. Israeli officials also are seeking a multibillion-dollar emergency aid package from Washington.

Mr. Bush’s wording was far less precise than that of the plan itself. He may be trying to remain ambiguous enough to create room to maneuver for Mr. Sharon, whose rightist government rejects key aspects of the plan. If so, that is a gamble. Over the last two years, other plans to restart talks have collapsed in negotiations over exactly what the wording of the documents meant

“It’s not meant to be a negotiated document,” one Western diplomat said. He said other members of the quartet would construct their own interpretation of Mr. Bush’s comments. “We will understand President Bush to mean, when he says ‘contributions,’ ‘additional details to be added,’ ” rather than changes to the existing plan, this diplomat said.

But Israeli officials interpreted Mr. Bush’s remarks more broadly. Prime Minister Sharon has said he accepts the plan, provided that it strictly fulfills the terms of a speech delivered by President Bush last June 24. Compared with the plan, that June speech was interpreted by both sides as placing more burdens on the Palestinians in the short term.

Israeli officials said they heard nothing tonight to conflict with that approach. Gideon Meir, deputy director general of the Foreign Ministry, said any plan that would “reflect precisely the presidential vision will be an important tool to implement the speech” of June 24.

He said a Palestinian prime minister who was “totally disconnected from Arafat” and who would be “acting decisively against terror and incitement” and rebuilding the governing Palestinian Authority would be a partner who “together with Israel will give its response to the road map.”

Saeb Erekat, the Palestinians’ chief negotiator, was clearly alarmed, saying, “If we’re going to introduce the road map for discussions, it means at the end of the discussions there will be no road map.”

Palestinian officials have said that like the Israelis, they dispute aspects of the plan but accept it as a whole in the belief that it is to be imposed on both sides.

Prime Minister Tony Blair of Britain has pushed for President Bush to announce the plan, but even Mr. Blair seemed to have a different idea than his ally of what the plan stands for. He did not emphasize possible changes, but instead spoke of “specific steps that we are committed to.” He said Israel was expected to institute “a freeze on all settlement activity” as part of the first phase.

Mr. Bush offered a more elastic formula on settlements. “As progress is made toward peace, settlement activity in the occupied territories must end,” he said.

Mr. Sharon, an architect of the settlement movement, has built a governing coalition that includes two parties closely identified with settlers, as is his own faction, Likud. He would almost surely have to form a new government with leftist factions to sustain a major move to restrain settlement.”

There’s daggers in men’s smiles

Everybody would like to win the lottery. Everybody would like their own plasma TV. Everybody would like to pay less taxes, banking fees and bills. Everybody would like to hang-up on direct marketers calling late in the evening.

Everybody would like bulk billing at their doctors. Everybody would like to see a little less of Steve Liebmann, Eddy Maguire, Shane Warne and Kylie’s bum. Everybody would like the drought to end.

Everybody would like cheaper fuel. Everybody would like to shed that extra tyre around the belly. Everybody would like less dog doo in their parks. Everybody would like peace in the world. Or would they?

Would everybody welcome the probably public injection of death juice into the world’s most wanted man (no, the other one), Osama bin Laden?

“I think everybody would,” a gratingly grinning Prime Minister John Howard told the American Fox Network’s Neil Cavuto last Friday week. Howard insists his call was not one for the reinstatement of capital punishment in Australia, but one of respecting United States law and the ‘war on terror’. Perhaps that’s why David Hicks is left to chill out and rot in Guantanamo Bay.

But did Howard have to appear so cheery when answering the question on welcoming bin Laden’s execution? Why couldn’t he just wear his normal uncomfortable constipated expression?

Amrozi, one of the Bali bombing suspects who may face the death penalty, also had a smile on his dial when interviewed by Indonesian police last year. During the interview, he reportedly pointed at Western journalists, remarking, “Those are the sorts of people that I wanted to kill,” cracking up a roomful of Indonesian police. Funny har-har.

Talk of death accompanied with smiling and laughter has never been a good look. As Shakespeare wrote in Macbeth, “There’s daggers in men’s smiles; the near in blood, the nearer bloody.”

So when Amrozi appeared gleeful in the face of the Bali attacks, many Australians didn’t warm to the body language, with talkback and letters to the editors clogged up with outrage over flashing ones pearly whites. Some even argued the images of Amrozi smiling shouldn’t have been published out of respect to victim’s families.

But when Iron John grins about executing someone – however evil – is it more acceptable if he’s supposedly on the good side of the good versus evil new world?

When comforting a Bali victim, the Deputy Sheriff was reported to have said, “We’ll get the bastards who did this.”

Not surprisingly, Mini-Me’s tough talking response to Bali was similar to that of the World’s Policeman George W. Bush, post September 11.

Shortly after the attacks, in a conversation with Vice-President Dick Cheney (recorded by Ari Fleischer), Bush said, “We’re at war, Dick, we’re going to find out who did this and kick their ass.”

Likewise, US Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld was also for kicking their ass, but not necessarily finding out “who did this”.

According to CBS, hours after one of the planes hit the Pentagon, Rumsfeld made notes stating, “Judge whether good enough to hit S.H.”, and “Go massive. Sweep it all up. Things related and not.”

And here we are now. Not related to either September 11 or Bali, Iraq is still good enough to hit, with a good enough bastard to get and a good enough ass to kick. Meanwhile Osama’s still recording messages rallying a world jihad.

By mass destructing Iraq, Howard’s argument is we will perhaps prevent weapons of mass destruction reaching terrorists.

Howard recently linked Bali with Iraq, when he said, “I will, amongst other things, be asking the Australian people to bear those circumstances in mind if we become involved in military contact with Iraq”.

Howard’s connection with Bali and attacking Iraq is yet another case of his talented use of the dog whistle. Sure it doesn’t matter they weren’t connected, but one day, according to Howard, another attack could be. Putting the two incidents together in a sentence is enough to prick up perhaps a couple of ears. Job done.

But many relatives of Bali victims didn’t appreciate the comments. As Maria Elfes said, “I don’t think you can use the memory of 89 people as an excuse for war”.

But would an Iraqi invasion prevent another Bali? It’s all very maybe. Are we really going to involve our troops in a war just because of a maybe?

Our head of state and man of cloth Governor-General Peter Hollingworth had a reason when waving off the departing Australian Servicemen and women. He was filmed saying, “Look, this is something that has to be done.” What? Like rape?

It’s a bit like one of the mob’s protest signs in the Melbourne march that read “Bombing for peace is like f…ing for virginity”.

If Howard’s national address on Thursday was supposed to provide some magical answers to Australian involvement in Iraq and its connection to bin Laden and Bali, surprise surprise, it didn’t.

The timing of the address, moments before giving the inevitable go ahead, is a gutless effort. Whether Tony Blair’s position is agreeable or not, at least the British PM has endeavoured to try to explain it.

In Howard’s speech, he said: “Australia is a Western nation, nothing can, will or should alter that fact, as such in this new world we are a terrorist target.”

But will our involvement in Iraq accentuate this situation? Will attacking Iraq rub the smile off Amrozi and the likes? Or will it merely put more daggers in men’s smiles, encouraging the wider use of a “fatal cocktail” of weapons, the very thing Howard says were supposedly fighting?

As the recently resigned Office of National Assessments analyst Andrew Wilkie said, “A war is what is most likely to force him (Hussein) to act recklessly, to possibly use weapons of mass destruction himself and to possibly play a terrorism card”.

Do you believe John Howard?

Why is the government being so nice to Andrew Wilkie? One theory floated in the weekend papers is that it’s trying to avoid a damaging leak. That makes sense – a few days before Wilkie’s resignation, I published an article from ‘Jane’s Defence Weekly’ which discussed widespread unease in intelligence circles about the rationale for war (Tony Blair: The whole world’s in his hands), and a steady stream of leaks from intelligence and foreign affairs sources in Britain and the US attests to the unease.

But the obvious reason for the kid gloves is that murmuring sweet nothings about Wilkie’s right to speak hides the fact that the Government is not actually engaging with what he’s saying, let alone confronting his key claim – that the Office of National Assessments (ONA) does NOT assess that without war Saddam is likely to give WMDs to terrorists, and assesses that AN INVASION is likely to have that effect. That claim leads to Wilkie’s conclusion – that our decision to go to war has nothing whatsoever to do with Saddam’s WMDs, ie that the government is lying to the Australian people.

I analysed Howard’s answers to questions after his Thursday address to the nation in Deconstructing JW Howard. Fran Kelly asked:

You said today that this judgement, Australia’s judgement, reflects the intelligence community’s professional assessment. Well, in recent days we’ve had an ONA officer quit his post, saying that ONA had given the Government advice that the more Saddam Hussein is pushed, the greater the chance of him using his weapons of mass destruction or linking up with terrorists. Will you release the ONA reports on Iraq, just as you released the ONA report on the children overboard, here in the National Press Club address 16 months ago?

Howard replied:

Well that particular ONA report, as you know Fran, in relation that I mentioned 16 months ago, merely repeated press reports. I’m not going to release ONA assessments which, almost of all of which remain classified. What I said to you today represented their general view. As far as Mr Wilkie is concerned, I respect his right to have another view. It’s not surprising in a large public service and a reasonably large intelligence community, that you’re going to have a range of views. In the end, all of these things involve questions of judgement…

Get it? Wilkie has a right to another view, end of story. But Wilkie did not say it was HIS view, he said it was ONA’s ASSESSMENT. Howard oh-so-gently gently asserts the opposite but runs a mile from proving it.

There’s something else Howard won’t release either – the government’s legal advice to back his claim that a non UN sanctioned invasion of Iraq would not breach international law. Thus Howard refuses to prove the two claims which are essential to making the case for war to the Australian people.

Trust him? Howard has form. On Thursday, he admitted to misleading the Australian people just before the 2001 election by claiming an independent ONA assessment – which he read out – backed his claims that children were thrown overboard. The admission served to bat away Fran’s request that he release the ONA assessment backing his claim that ONA believed Saddam was likely to give his WMDs to terrorists unless we invaded Iraq. ONA assessments were not made public, he said – the children overboard ONA assessment was OK to releasesbecause it merely summarised media reports.

There is another recent example of Howard misleading the Australian people to serve his political interests. Just after we heard of the sinking of SIEV-X and the deaths by drowning of hundreds of asylum seekers, Howard closed down debate on Australia’s responsibility by stating categorically and repeatedly that SIEV-X sank in Indonesian waters. Despite documents gradually forced out of the bureaucracy which all said the opposite – that SIEV-X likely sank in international waters – he refused point blank to produce the advice he said he relied on. The actual advice that went to him at the time recently surfaced – it too confirmed the documentary trail of advice contradicting Howard’s claim.

To me, Howard’s address to the nation made it crystal clear that his stated reasons for joining the war are false. I believe he has made the judgement that because the United States is on the rampage, and will continue to be so, the world will become a more dangerous, unstable place, and that the best spot for Australia amid the turmoil is under America’s skirts. It’s that simple. He really is a puppet, by choice.

Tomorrow negotiations will begin in Australia on a free trade agreement between Australia and the United States, the one the Yanks got excited about last year after Howard said yes to its plans to invade Iraq, and the one Howard made a point of pressing when he met Bush recently.

Howard wants us so tied to the United States militarily and economically that the US would feel compelled to defend us if our security was threatened. Backing the US in its adventure, of course, adds to the risks we face. He must have judged that the balance of risks favours us going with the United States anyway.

The Australian’s Paul Kelly said this of Howard’s position on Saturday:

First, Australia is going to war because of the US alliance, not because Iraq represents a direct threat to Australia. Second, the Australian public, like much of the world, does not accept his argument that the risks of doing nothing outweigh the risks of war.

… Most of the global community disagrees with Howard about the risk. Howard argues, in effect, it is so great that Australia must play a high profile role with the US, if necessary outside the Security Council, to attack Iraq pre-emptively at the possible cost of breaching the Western alliance, marginalising the UN, risking Hussein’s use of his weapons and fanning the hostility of the Islamic world.

… He has failed to mount a persuasive argument that a war to disarm Iraq is an imperative now when the risks are so vast and the national interest could be prejudiced.

I’d add only that Howard hasn’t even bothered to admit the risks Paul mentioned to the public, let alone assess their weight. He’s treated the Australian people like fools. No wonder so many of us are so anxious. He’s left Australians to try to make sense of what’s happening without his guidance.

Oh well. War it is. And what a war it could be. Scott Burchill sent me a couple of recent articles on the mess Northern Iraq could quickly become once the invasion begins, on the new “pre-emptive strike principle” America would just have created the precedent for.

In Kurd-Turk rivalry threatens US plans for Iraq, The Christian Science Monitor’s Ilene R. Prusher writes:

If war begins in Iraq, it could look like this: Turkey’s troops move into autonomous Kurdish areas in northern Iraq; Kurds view it as an act of war and open fire.

It could also look like this: Kurds move on the oil-rich Iraqi cities of Kirkuk and Mosul; Turkey views the advance as a casus belli and launches an attack to prevent the cities from falling into Kurdish hands.

In either scenario, two of Washington’s key allies could wind up fighting each other instead of the forces of Saddam Hussein – not exactly what the US had in mind when it drew up plans for regime change in Iraq.

She says the US envoy has warned Turkey that if the deal to let Turkish troops follow the Yanks did not proceed because Turkey didn’t allow the US to use its territory as a base for attack, the Turks should stay out. His warning prompted this rejoinder:

“He said the Turkish military cannot enter Iraq, as if he can dictate to Turkey what Turkey can do,” says Egemen Bagis, Mr. Erdogan’s foreign policy adviser. “If the US feels they need to come 10,000 miles away to Iraq to protect their citizens from another Sept. 11,” he asks, “isn’t it right that Turkey, which is right on Iraq’s border and a longstanding ally hosting US forces, should be concerned? If Saddam is armed [with] weapons of mass destruction, Turkey has a right to be in Iraq.”

Pre-emptive strike time for Turkey, too, although not under US auspices. Oh dear. Yesterday, the Washington Post reported that the US had given up on Turkey and was re-routing its ships accordingly:

As a result, the U.S. diplomatic effort in Ankara has shifted to ensuring that Turkey keeps its troops out of Iraq…

Over the vocal objections of Iraqi Kurds, the administration had agreed to let Turkish troops follow U.S. forces into northern Iraq and take up positions about 121/2 miles past the border to help prevent a flow of refugees and maintain security and stability. But Khalilzad told the Turkish government that the agreement was void because Turkey had not approved the U.S. deployment.

“The situation now is that it’s all off,” the official said. “We don’t have an agreement, and we don’t want them to go in unilaterally. The mission now is to discourage and deter them from going in, and to reach an understanding with them on legitimate issues of concern.”

The paper also reported yesterday:

Kurdish militia leaders in northern Iraq have begun intense preparations for participating in a war against President Saddam Hussein’s government despite repeated pledges to heed U.S. appeals to stay out of the way…

Turkey fears that a prominent Kurdish role would lead to a permanently autonomous Kurdish region in Iraq, possibly reawakening similar aspirations among Turkey’s own Kurdish minority. To avoid that, Turkish officials in Ankara have said Turkish troops will occupy part of Iraq’s Kurdish zone, ostensibly to prevent a flow of refugees into Turkey.

Turkey has also threatened to march on Kirkuk and the rich oil fields that surround it if the Kurds try to take it for themselves. Against that background, the Bush administration has put Kirkuk off limits to a direct assault by Kurdish militiamen, called the pesh merga, meaning “those who face death.”

But a senior Kurdish official said the civilian Kurdish underground, composed mainly of residents with hidden arms, is preparing to seize control of some Kirkuk neighborhoods and attack the city’s defensive perimeter from the rear when U.S. troops draw near. “It’s not just us,” he said, predicting that Iraqi Arabs and members of Iraq’s Turkmen minority also will rise up against Hussein’s government. “Be sure, there will be Arabs helping us, Turkmen who are helping us. All the people inside will take the city.” The plan is rarely talked about, he explained, because “we don’t want to embarrass the Americans.”

***

Today, some final thoughts by you before the war. I’ve just published John Wojdylo’s latest piece on the people’s instinct, Loving the farthest, and Polly Bush’s first piece on the war, There’s daggers in men’s smiles. I’ve also published the Press Council judgement upholding the complaint against The Daily Telegraph’s coverage of last year’s civil disobedience forum in NSW Parliament at the bottom of Press Council to reader: We’ll choose your friends then close the door.

***

Recommendations

I got a shock last night while watching the news when George Bush put out his roadmap for peace between Israel and the Palestinians. You’ll remember I floated the idea of a UN sanction for war in return for a binding commitment from the US to get peace in the really big war in the Middle East on February 28, in Incompatible values. This was in response to Bush’s big speech on democracy in the Middle-East and his personal commitment to a Palestinian state. In the last few days I’ve been sent quite a few US articles focusing on the fact that many leading neo-cons are Jewish, a ticklish topic, to say the least. Yesterday John Bennettsent me a piece by Republican Christian fundamentalist Pat Buchanan in the latest issue of The American Conservative magazine, Whose War?. Buchanan makes the incendiary claim that certain Jewish powerbrokers in the neo-con club are more loyal to Israel than America. The puff reads: “A neoconservative clique seeks to ensnare our country in a series of wars that are not in America’s interest.” Amid the mess the world’s in, the last thing anyone needs is an upsurge in anti-Semitism, especially, from Bush’s perspective, from the Republican fundamentalist moral majority so supportive of his presidency. I wonder if that’s part of the reason for Bush’s move yesterday, to dispel the perception in parts of his core constituency that he’s captive to a Zionist cabal.

Unlrich Adami: “If you want to see the real agenda of this war, read George Monbiot’s A wilful blindness. An extract:

Last year, the Sunday Herald obtained a copy of a confidential report produced by the (New American Century) Project in September 2000, which suggested that blatting Saddam was the beginning, not the end of its strategy. “While the unresolved conflict with Iraq provides the immediate justification, the need for a substantial American force presence in the Gulf transcends the issue of the regime of Saddam Hussein.” (Rebuilding America’s Defenses: Strategy, Forces and Resources For a New Century)

The wider strategic aim, it insisted, was “maintaining global US pre-eminence”. Another document obtained by the Herald, written by Paul Wolfowitz and Lewis Libby, called upon the United States to “discourage advanced industrial nations from challenging our leadership or even aspiring to a larger regional or global role”.

On taking power, the Bush administration was careful not to alarm its allies. The new president spoke only of the need “to project our strength with purpose and with humility” and “to find new ways to keep the peace”. From his first week in office, however, he began to engage not so much in nation-building as in planet-building.

The ostensible purpose of Bush’s missile defence programme is to shoot down incoming nuclear missiles. The real purpose is to provide a justification for the extraordinarily ambitious plans – contained in a Pentagon document entitled Vision for 2020 – to turn space into a new theatre of war, developing orbiting weapons systems which can instantly destroy any target anywhere on earth11. By creating the impression that his programme is merely defensive, Bush could justify a terrifying new means of acquiring what he calls “full spectrum dominance” over planetary security.

Immediately after the attack on New York, the US government began establishing “forward bases” in Asia. As the assistant Secretary of State Elizabeth Jones noted, “when the Afghan conflict is over we will not leave Central Asia. We have long-term plans and interests in this region”12. The US now has bases in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgystan, Tajikistan and Georgia. Their presence has, in effect, destroyed the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation which Russia and China had established in an attempt to develop a regional alternative to US power.

In January, the US moved into Djibouti, ostensibly to widen its war against terror, while accidentally gaining strategic control over the Bab Al Mandab – one of the world’s two most important oil shipping lanes. It already controls the other one, the Strait of Hormuz. Two weeks ago, under the same pretext, it sent 3000 men to the Philippines. Last year it began negotiations to establish a military base in Sao Tome and Principe, from which it can, if it chooses, dominate West Africa’s principal oilfields. By pure good fortune, the US government now exercises strategic control over almost all the world’s major oil producing regions and oil transport corridors.

It has also used its national tragedy as an excuse for developing new nuclear and biological weapons13, while ripping up the global treaties designed to contain them. All this is just as the Project prescribed. Among other enlightened policies, it has called for the development of a new generation of biological agents, which will attack people with particular genetic characteristics14.

Why do the supporters of this war find it so hard to see what is happening? Why do the conservatives who go beserk when the European Union tries to change the content of our chocolate bars look the other way when the US seeks to reduce us to a vassal state? Why do the liberal interventionists who fear that Saddam Hussein might one day deploy a weapon of mass destruction refuse to see that George Bush is threatening to do just this against an ever-growing number of states? Is it because they cannot face the scale of the threat, and the scale of the resistance necessary to confront it? Is it because these brave troopers cannot look the real terror in the eye?

Lloyd Mcdonald: “This piece, by musician Brian Eno, is in the European edition of Time but apparently not fit for its intended audience so it’s missing from the US edition. The US needs to open up to the world

Damian Joyce recommends Lunch with the chairman in The New Yorker, a piece on how prominent neo-con Richard Perle is not only on a government advisory panel telling the government to wage war on Iraq, but has a stake in a company seeking to profit from homeland security contracts. Apparently it’s the done thing in America.

A reader advises of a new campaign to stop the war, from the culture jammers network Abusters:

Dear Jammers,

In spite of opposition from the world – proven in poll after poll – > Bush’s oil-thirsty war machine marches on. Feeling frustrated? It’s time to take a new stand and hit Rogue Nation USA exactly where it counts – right in the economy. It’s time to Boycott Brand America. Are you ready? The Boycott Brand America pledge is already up at adbusters – check in to sign it, find out more, and help circulate the pledge. Let’s build this boycott into an international mass action on par with the peace marches!

Ever since the Tampa transformed Australian politics, someone has sent me the “Marine Digital maritime newsletter’. In the latest issue:

“Shipping Industry Anxious About War Premiums: South Korean shipping companies and exporters are locked in a growing concern over the issue of war premiums charged for vessels operating along the Middle East routes. According to the Korea Shipowners Association, the war premiums are expected to increase by at least 200 percent from the usual rate of 0.01 percent, if a war between the U.S. and Iraq breaks out in the region.”

***

Jonathan Toze in Canberra (this is Jonathan’s debut on Webdiary)

Death of the Liberal Party

A bit of an extreme declaration perhaps, but one that I have been watching develop with increasing dismay over the last few years. Not a sign of dissent has appeared as the rules of standard political party behaviour in a Westminster system have been torn up and discarded.

This War is the most important and divisive issue to have hit the political and social landscape since, I would argue, 1975. While Tampa split the body politic, it fell in Howard’s favour. But with Howards current behaviour, this is not the case, and it confirms what I have been suspecting for quite some time. Australia now is run by an Autocracy: There is no divergence of opinion from within the leading political party, where it seems only those who think and feel like John Howard are given the leading roles.

It is impossible to believe that there is only one faction within the Liberal Party, that there is on such an important issue no divergent belief or value on the issues of violation of International Law, or the subjugation of Australian Democracy to blind personal allegiance to the American Neo -Conservative Agenda,

The state the parliamentary Liberal Party finds itself in is one of grave concern, and displays tremendous weakness. With Shane Stone in place it is not likely to be seen to or even recognised, but the corruption of the party from within could well spell a long term problem for not only the Liberal Party, but Australia as a whole as long as the Libs are in power.

One can only hope for Australia’s sake that those within who are opposed to Howard are capable of showing some spine?

Margo: I know of two Coalition politicians who have broken ranks, both because of the core demands of their constituencies. Federal Liberal MP Peter Lindsay, who holds the marginal north Queensland seat of Herbert, has spoken against the war more than once in the party room. His electorate includes defence barracks and many defence force families, and he would kiss his seat goodbye if he did not publicly oppose the war. This sort of thing is tolerated in both parties – on the Labor side in Government, MPs in seats where voters are affected by aircraft noise were given the nod to speak out publicly against the third runway. Don Page, the National Party member for the NSW state seat of Ballina on the north coast, told his voters recently – at a meeting and then through the local paper – that he opposed a war without UN sanction. Page is a seat where anti-war feeling runs high, and Page is in danger of losing his seat. Can anyone add to this tiny list of dissenters?

Gina Bowry

I am beyond hearing any more arguments pro or anti war. It has all been said. If you are pro war, let’s go in there and get the job done. If you are anti war, there are still options.

This is a war of brinkmanship. Will there actually even be a war? The USA has stationed troops around Iraq as a means of pressuring them into some form of disarmament or compliance. This has to some degree worked, even though each step “forward” is still derided by the US administration.

It has come time for GW Bush to step up to his line in the sand. He, however, has just seemed to move it again. Will there or will there not be war on Tuesday?

Saddam Hussein will not remove himself from power. The US has put itself in the invidious position of either being seen to start a war, for no clear reason, or of putting its military might and world power at risk and then stepping back without following through, after only minor resistance.

The big question for me is, will the US actually risk war with world opinion against it? Do they really want it in the first place, or were they only hoping for quick compliance (and to what end?)

That Iraq is obviously destroying some weapons is interesting. To me, it indicates that there is some anticipation that compliance will reduce or remove the chance of war. Yet each step they take is followed by an announcement from Mr Rumsfeld that says they are doing too little too late.

Iraq is actively destroying weapons which are it’s most obvious means of attack (or defence), in an attempt to be seen as complying to the UN resolution, at least in part. This is different to the Russians agreeing to destroy hundreds of obsolete nuclear warheads. This is a nation which is destroying what I can only see as part of it’s national defence assets only weeks before what could be a war for regime change in Iraq. Why would any ruler of such a country agree to destroy a weapon which could be used defensively if it truly thought it would be invaded, with or without those weapons’ capability?

Saddam seems to assume that there will be a limit to the aggressive rhetoric of the US, and they will at some point, not too far removed, come to the table and let Saddam continue to rule.

Are the American’s waiting for a pre-emptive strike on their own forces to justify an attack? How else can they force world opinion to swing enough their way to endorse their latest resolution?

If this war is just and necessary, can Bush and his allies keep letting the tide of public and world opinion wash back his line in the sand? They cannot keep letting this rogue state dictate its own terms for survival. They must invade unless there is total compliance, and soon, and accept the cost of adverse world opinion for the benefit of the world. Otherwise, it’s just a bluff.

***

Chris Andrews

Disclosure: My partner is currently one of those pre deployed to the gulf in OP Bastille.

I am writing in reference to some of the dribble I have been reading in the comment pages and Webdiaries. Honestly people, we are talking about a man (Saddam) who has no regard or respect for the value of human life. He is a vicious killer, someone who under Australian laws would never see the light of day again.

Yet you defend him so that he may go and kill yet another human being in cold blooded murder. He still uses torture, yet you defend him. Since he came to power he has declared war with 2 countries, yet you defend him. He is willing to use his own people to protect his palaces and military installations, yet you defend him.

For Christ sake, he ordered the so called human shields from all around the world to guard his palaces, not his hospitals. This is a man who will put a Surface to Air missile Launcher on the roof of a hospital so when the coalition blow it up protecting themselves he instantly jumps up and down saying we’re murdering innocent civilians.

Why should we have to prove that this man no longer has weapons of mass destruction, should he not be the one trying to prove it instead? He has defied the world for 12 long years – can someone honestly say when enough is enough. Saddam is a lying, deceitful, evil man.

Making speeches may not be the PM’s strong point, but at least someone in this damn country has some back bone to stand up for human rights. Let’s end this now. Saddam could end this now, but he chooses not to. In the couple of months the UN weapons inspectors have been back in the country how many times they have caught him out lying already, and yet you defend him and what’s worse, you damn believe him.

Open your eyes people, the PM can not just come out and tell you all the intelligence they have. If he did he would signing the death certificate of our own men and women, What is the first thing everyone did when September 11 and the Bali bombing occurred? They immediately asked why did we not know about it and if we did then why did we not do anything to prevent it.

Well ladies and gentlemen, we know Saddam has WMD and we know he has links to extremist groups. Do you really want someone to drop a biochemical bomb on someone before we do anything?

I sure as hell don’t. Instead of fighting amongst ourselves and providing Sadam with encouragement let’s stand united and when he sees he has no choice only then will diplomacy have a chance.

***

Shawn in Arkansas( The home of Bill)

Let’s have a little bit of a fact finding mission here. I live in America, my father fought the second world war, I married an Australian, we met in London. To the best of my judgement, these were the freedoms my father fought for. I could travel, I could meet someone, they could meet me. The world wasn’t a bad place, was it? Look at it from an American point of view, as much as you hate to!

What are you angry about? What do you dislike? I’ll tell you what you dislike. You dislike that we’re right. And we’re right about many things. Do you remember Chamberlain? Do you remember appeasement? Do you remember Hitler? Do you remember Mussolini? Do you remember Stalin?

Do you remember YOUR GRANDFATHER? Did you think he was a fool? Did you think he was ignorant? Do you remember WW1/ WW2?

THEN, If you remember these things, and you have a knowledge of history, you know that bad men, do bad things, and it takes a greater power, a greater sense of self, to stand, to unite and to fight for what is right.

If you’re not with us, you’re against us. This isn’t a Bush “redneckism”, this a “truthism”.

Finally find the courage within your self to not feel inferior, to stand up against tyranny in the face of evil. And see it as it is – a threat to the Western World, Capitalism, Australia, America , Great Britain.

***

‘Poindexter’

I am staggered by the superficial reportage of John Howard’s latest address. To state the blinding obvious, the PM fully expected to be delivering a Churchillian/Menzies speech with the war already underway. Hence the switch to the ” Great Hall ” – forget the red herring of security – this was about gravitas. He could hardly announce we were in a shooting war from the rooms of the Telstra Press Club.

Unfortunately for JWH, things were delayed – those nasty ” spoilers ” held up the invasion schedule – HENCE, Mango, the PM delivered a re-hash, re-gurgitation word for word of the speech every Liberal MP has been forced to give in the recent Parliaments ” debates “. Check the Hansard – nothing new, nothing that had not already been chanted/shrieked across the Lower and Upper Chambers by the sheep already ( talk about a rubber-stamp Parliament!)

This was patently a substitute speech for the war leader address he planned to be delivering until those nasty French ” spoiled ” his game.

Still, only a few more days before his historic address to the nation telling us what I for one have known since last September, that we are in the largest Anglo-American invasion since D-Day 1944 and the ADF is going in boots and all.

It amazes me that journos still, at this late hour, will not wake up and smell the cordite. JWH, who brooks no dissent, made a firm irrevocable decision committing the ADF to war in September 2002.

***

Jackson Manning (nom de plume)

John Howard is such a coward he has refused to answer essential questions about this war by pretending he didn’t commit to war on Iraq months ago. Even at three minutes to midnight on the war clock he refuses to fess up and give the Australian people the answers they deserve. He has offered no proof, no justification, just month-after-month of rehashed Bushisms.

Such serious breaches of democratic trust should surely prove electorally unforgivable – though one must never underestimate the ALP’s capacity to let its timidity and short-sightedness ensure it snatches defeat from the jaws of victory.

Soon the clock will strike twelve, the war will begin, and in all likelihood it will be over in weeks, days, possibly even hours if Saddam’s people rebel. That much of the Bush administration’s gamble is probably correct.

Immediately afterward, the Government’s formidable Op-Ed and talkback cheer-squad – the Joneses, Ackermans, Bolts, Sheridans and Devines – will surely gloat about the spectacular success of the stars and stripes and urge us all to forget the ‘discredited’ UN and put our faith in the brand new reich – the one financed by corporate crooks and run by unelected zealots like Paul Wolfowitz, Donald Rumsfeld and Richard Perle.

But at that stage – just weeks away – it will pay for us to remember that the long-term consequences of this adventure are yet to unfold. In the longer run the blowback from this folly could well claim the lives of many more Australian kids than Iraqi – though none should be considered more important than the other.

Presuming it would even work – and the jury’s still out – even a Missile Defence Shield won’t protect the schoolkids of, say, Sydney from a smallpox attack or an atomic transit van.

At the very least our world’s only system of almost-democratic global law, the UN, looks likely to fall victim to the might-is-right mindset that brought us two world wars in the first half of the Twentieth Century and millennia of bastardry before it. Don’t believe the line that the UN will have failed its test; if the UN croaks it will be because the sole superpower and its whitebread colonialist cronies pushed it so hard against a wall it splattered.

It’s hard not to worry about this. The total destruction of Hiroshima and Nagasaki should have already taught us the old ways must be overcome if the human race is to have any hope of continuing. It should be obvious that war must be a last resort and that global domination is now a redundant wetdream for psychopathic control freaks.

The sixties were no accident of history as the hardcore conservative rump likes to pretend. The ‘revolutions’ of that decade – pacifism, environmentalism, feminism, anti-racism and respect for human diversity – did not emerge from nowhere. Rather, they are essential evolutionary tools for human survival in a post-nuclear age.

As the global mass demonstrations against this war should indicate ‘the people’ themselves are moving on.

But alas, our prime minister is stuck following the patterns of the past – suck-holing up to the dominant power in the hope he can trade not only international law, the UN and the lives of our soldiers but also Medicare, the PBS and our quarantine laws for an anti-free trade agreement (let’s be honest, it’s ‘special’ trade not free trade we’re seeking) with the biggest bastards on the block — the corporate-owned, televangelist-run US Republican Party.

Time is tick, tock, tick, tock, ticking away, Johnny. It’s too late to turn back the clock.

***

Hannah Newman (nom de plume)

I usually make a point of reading Webdiary everyday but haven’t had the chance to get my daily fix of late. And then bam! I hop on today, after a two week absence, and read John Wojdylo’s attack on Jack Robertson (Against Human Rights in Iraq). Before I know it I feel my blood pressure rising – as it usually does after reading one of John’s hysterical, self-righteous columns. While I applaud your commitment to giving all sides of the war argument a fair go, I have decided that despite being usually tempted by John’s provocative and needling articles, I am boycotting the chunks of (cyber) space you give him in Webdiary for my own sanity and health.

Don’t get me wrong, I do want to read alternative viewpoints. I actually want to be convinced that somehow as we edge closer and closer to war, that there are compelling reasons to do so. I want to be convinced that a blanket bombing of Iraq and its aftermath will deliver liberation to its people. I want to be assured that all alternative avenues have been determined and tried. To this end however, John does the pro-war lobby a great disservice since all he does is try to shame those against war by calling them anti-human rights.

It’s a sick and troubled world we live in when a call for no war is seen as anti-human rights. Although, it just goes to show the perverted means the pro-war right will go to, to drum up support for their war. Yes, call those who want peace evil and against Iraqi democracy so you can all sleep better at night as the bombs fall half a world away.

I guess the truly good thing to come from all this debate so far is that despite having to ride on the back of oil and WMD, the plight of the Iraqi people is finally getting the international attention it deserves and countries like Australia will think twice before sending out our navy vessels to turn back desperate Iraqi refugees.

***

Peter Woodforde in Melba, ACT

Today, Sunday 16 March 2003, was the 35th anniversary of Operation Muscatine, north-east of Quang Ngai City, which, according to a hearty message of congratulation from William C Westmoreland, Commander US Forces: “Dealt enemy heavy blow. Congratulations to officers and men of C-1-20 [Charlie Company, 1st Battalion, 20th Infantry] for outstanding action.”

We should remember the families of Song My (My Lai), from babies to great-grandmas, butchered like sheep in a supposedly successful and praiseworthy military action.

But this is not a time for recrimination against the United States, a country of great institutions and great people, set, like our own, amidst great flaws.

We should also remember the courage and sacrifice of a small group of young American servicemen who put their lives on the line that day to save a small number of the massacre survivors, and who met years of danger, harm and ridicule during the despotic and bloodthirsty Nixon-Kissinger era to expose the evil.

And we should try to remember all the words of Matthew 5:3-12, surely never heard at Dubya and Condoleeza’s bloody awful prayer breakfasts:

Blessed are the poor in spirit: for theirs is the kingdom of heaven. Blessed are they that mourn: for they shall be comforted. Blessed are the meek: for they shall inherit the earth. Blessed are they which do hunger and thirst after righteousness: for they shall be filled. Blessed are the merciful: for they shall obtain mercy. Blessed are the pure in heart: for they shall see God. Blessed are the peacemakers: for they shall be called the children of God. Blessed are they which are persecuted for righteousness’ sake: for theirs is the kingdom of heaven. Blessed are ye, when men shall revile you, and persecute you, and shall say all manner of evil against you falsely, for my sake.

***

Edna Ross forwards this report from the frontline.

Letter from Iraq -an American photojournalist’s letter home

Some of you have written to me with concerns for my safety in Iraq, but this was easily one of the safest assignments I have taken. In all my time in Iraq, in spite of an intense awareness of the threat of an impending attack by the United States, I haven’t met a single Iraqi who had a harsh word for me. Iraqis are very good at distinguishing between the U.S. government and a U.S. citizen.

It seems to me that as a photojournalist, Iraq is where I might best play a role in making a small difference. I’ve done some work in Iraq for Newsweek and Time magazines but that kind of work has really become secondary for me. I do what I can to influence (in admittedly small ways) what kinds of stories those big magazines do, but ultimately their stories are nearly worthless at confronting the inhumanity of American foreign policy in the Middle East. I will continue to work with Time and Newsweek (and with other corporate media) on stories that I don’t find offensive, but the bulk of my efforts are now going into reaching alternative media and in supporting anti-war groups in the states. I hope I can find some time soon to come to the states for a speaking tour of sorts.

There’s a lot of talk about whether or not the U.S. will go to war with Iraq. What many people don’t realize is that the U.S. is already at war in Iraq. I made two trips last month into the “no-fly zone” created by the U.S. with Britain and France in southern Iraq. Actually it would be better named the “only we fly” zone or the “we bomb” zone. “We” refers to the United States who does almost all of the flying and bombing (France pulled out years ago, and Britain is largely a nominal participant). There is another no-fly zone in the north, which the U.S. says it maintains to protect the Kurds, but while the U.S. prevents Iraqi aircraft from entering the region, it does nothing to prevent or even to criticize Turkey (a U.S. ally) from flying into northern Iraq on numerous occasions to bomb Kurdish communities there.

Turkey’s bombing in Iraq is dwarfed by that of the U.S. The U.S. has been bombing Iraq on a weekly and sometimes daily basis for the past 12 years. There were seven civilians killed in these bombings about two weeks ago, and I’m told more civilians last week, but I’m sure that didn’t get much or perhaps any press in the U.S. It is estimated that U.S. bombing has killed 500 Iraqis just since 1999.

Actually I believe that number to be higher if you take into account the effects of the massive use of depleted uranium (DU) in the bombing. The U.S. has dropped well in excess of 300 tons of this radioactive material in Iraq (30 times the amount dropped in Kosovo) since 1991. Some of the DU is further contaminated with other radioactive particles including Neptunium and Plutonium 239, perhaps the most carcinogenic of all radioactive materials, and these particles are now beginning to show up in ground water samples.

I spent a lot of time in overcrowded cancer wards in Iraqi hospitals. Since U.S. bombing began in Iraq, cancer rates have increased nearly six fold in the south, where U.S. bombing and consequent levels of DU are most severe.

The most pronounced increases are in leukaemia and lung, kidney, and thyroid cancers associated with poisoning by heavy metals (such as DU).

But the most lethal weapon in Iraq is the intense sanctions regime. The toll of the sanctions is one of the most under-reported stories of the past decade in the U.S. press. I have seen a few references to the sanctions recently in the U.S. press, but invariably they will subtly discredit humanitarian concerns by relying on Iraqi government statements rather than on the statistics of international agencies.

My careless colleague at Time magazine, for example, recently reported that “the Iraqi government blames the sanctions for the deaths of thousands of children under the age of five”. That’s simply not true. The Iraqi government, in fact, blames the sanctions for the deaths of *more than a million* children under the age of five.

But let’s put that figure aside, for there’s no need to rely solely on the Iraqi government, and let’s refer instead to UNICEF and WHO reports which blame the sanctions directly for the excess deaths of approximately 500,000 children under the age of five, and nearly a million Iraqis of all ages.

We all have an idea of the grief borne by the United States after the September 11 attacks. Employing the crude mathematics of casualty figures, multiply that grief by 300 and place it on the hearts of a country with one tenth the population of the United States and perhaps we can get a crude idea of what kind of suffering has already been inflicted on the Iraqi people in the past decade.

The greatest killer of young children in Iraq is dehydration from diarrhea caused by water-borne illnesses which are amplified by the intentional destruction of water treatment and sanitation facilities by the United States. The U.S. plan for destroying water treatment facilities and suppressing their rehabilitation was outlined just before the American entry into the 1991 Gulf War. The January, 1991, Dept. of Defense document, “Iraq Water Treatment Vulnerabilities,” goes into great detail about how the destruction of water treatment facilities and their subsequent impairment by the sanctions regime will lead to increased incidences, if not epidemics, of disease.” I can report from my time in Iraq that all is going to plan.

Cholera, hepatitis, and typhoid (previously almost unheard of in Iraq) are now quite common. Malaria and, of course, dysentery are rampant, and immunities to all types of disease are extremely low. Even those lucky children who manage to get a sufficient daily caloric intake risk losing it all to diarrhoea. Around 4,000 children die every month from starvation and preventable disease in Iraq – a six-fold increase since pre-sanctions measurements.

Treatment of illnesses in Iraq is complicated by the inability of hospitals to get the drugs they need through the wall of sanctions. In a hospital in Baghdad I encountered a mother with a very sick one-year-old child. After the boy’s circumcision ceremony, the child was found to have a congenital disease which inhibits his blood’s ability to clot, which results in excessive bleeding. The child encountered further complications when he took a fall and sustained a head injury which was slowly drowning his brain in his own blood. In any other country the boy would simply take regular doses of a drug called Factor 8, and he could then lead a relatively normal life. But an order for Factor 8 was put on hold by the United States (prohibited for import), so the doctor, the mother, and I could only watch the child die.

Much is made of Iraq’s alleged possession of weapons of mass destruction, but it is the sanctions, the use of depleted uranium, and the destruction of Iraq’s health and sanitation infrastructure that are the weapons of greatest mass destruction in Iraq.

The situation is so bad that Dennis Halliday, the former Humanitarian Coordinator for the UN in Iraq, took the dramatic step of resigning his position in protest at the sanctions. “We are in the process of destroying an entire society”, Halliday wrote. “It is as simple and terrifying as that.” “It is illegal and immoral.” And Halliday isn’t alone. His successor, Hans Von Sponeck, also resigned in protest and went so far as to describe the sanctions as genocide. These are not left-wing radicals. These are career bureaucrats who chose to throw away their careers at the UN rather than give tacit support to unethical policies driven by the United States.

Being in Iraq showed me the utter devastation U.S. policy (war and sanctions) has wrought there and has given me a vision of what horror a new war would bring. And, of course, an attack on Iraq would be just the beginning of a terrifying chain of reactions throughout the Middle East and the rest of the world. Having worked in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Israel and Palestine in the past year, I am intensely aware of how the fragile politics and powers outside Iraq can be dramatically unsettled by a U.S. Invasion within Iraq.

It’s easy to imagine an impending tragedy of enormous proportion before us, and I ask myself who must step up and take responsibility for stopping it. Clearly the U.S. government is the most powerful actor, but it is equally clear that we cannot turn aside and realistically expect the U.S. government to suddenly reverse the momentum it has created for war. So I feel the weight of responsibility on me, on U.S. citizens, to do whatever we can with our individually small but collectively powerful means to change the course of our government’s policy. I try to picture myself 10 or 20 years in the future, and I don’t want to be in the position where I reflect on the enormous tragedies of the beginning of the 21st century and admit that I did nothing at all to recognize or prevent them.

I don’t know how this letter will sound to my friends and family who are living in the U.S., in a media environment which does very little to effectively question U.S. policy and almost nothing to encourage ordinary people to participate in making a change. I imagine this letter may sound like the political rant of some kind of extremist or anti-American dissident. But that’s not how it feels to me. This doesn’t feel like a political issue to me so much as it feels like a personal issue. I am appalled on a very human level at the suffering which U.S. policy is already inflicting and I am terrified by the prospects for an even more chaotic and violent future.

And let’s be honest about U.S. policy aims. Those in the U.S. government pushing for war say they are doing so to promote democracy, to protect the rights of minorities, and to rid the region of weapons of mass destruction.

But is the U.S. threatening to attack Saudi Arabia or a host of other U.S. allies which have similarly un-democratic regimes? How many of us would advocate going to war with Turkey over the brutal repression of its Kurdish minority and of the Kurds in Iraq? And do we expect the U.S. to bomb Israel or Pakistan which each have hundreds of nuclear weapons? Let’s remember that leaders in the previous weapons inspection team in Iraq had declared that 95% of Iraq’s weapons of mass destruction capabilities were destroyed. And let’s not forget that in the 1980s, when Iraq was actually using chemical weapons against the Kurds and the Iranian army, the U.S. had nothing to say about it. On the contrary, at that time President Reagan sent a U.S. envoy to Iraq to normalize diplomatic relations, to support its war with Iran, and to offer subsidies for preferential trade with Iraq. That envoy arrived in Baghdad on the very day that the UN confirmed Iraq’s use of chemical weapons, and he said absolutely nothing about it. That envoy, by the way, was Donald Rumsfeld.

While Iraq probably has very little weaponry to actually threaten the United States, they do have oil. According to a recent survey of the West Qurna and Majnoon oil fields in southern Iraq, they may even have the world’s largest oil reserves, surpassing those of Saudi Arabia. Let’s be honest about U.S. policy aims and ask ourselves if we can, in good conscience, support continued destruction of Iraq in order to control its oil.

I believe that most Americans – Republicans, Democrats, Greens, Purples or whatever – would be similarly horrified by the effects of sanctions on the civilian population of Iraq if they could simply see the place, as I have, up close in its human dimensions; if they could see Iraq as a nation of 22 million mothers, sons, daughters, teachers, doctors, mechanics, and window washers, and not simply as a single cartoonish villain.

I genuinely believe that my view of Iraq is a view that would sit comfortably in mainstream America if most Americans could see Iraq with their own eyes and not simply through the eyes of a media establishment which has simply gotten used to ignoring the death and destruction which perpetuates American foreign policy aims. While the American media fixates on the evils of the “repressive regime” of Saddam Hussein, both real and wildly exaggerated, how often are we reminded of the horrors of the last Gulf War, when more than 150,000 were killed (former U.S. Navy Secretary, John Lehman, estimated 200,000). I simply don’t believe that most Americans could come face-to-face with the Iraqi people and say from their hearts that they deserve another war.

I believe in the fundamental values of democracy – the protection of the most powerless among us from the whims of the most powerful. I believe in the ideals of the United Nations as a forum for solving international conflicts non-violently. These are mainstream values, and they are exactly the values that are most imperilled by present U.S. policy. That’s why, as a citizen of the United States and as a member of humanity, I can’t rest easily so long as I think there is something, anything, that I can do to make a difference.

(The family asked for the author’s name to be suppressed.)

Loving the farthest

Getting to know another person’s point of view does not mean you agree with them or that you support them. This sounds simple enough. But in minds possessed by the virus of ideology, simple observations about another person become monsters attacking the foundation of one’s existence. There are undoubtedly times when ideology has to be fought with the intellect, with arguments; but there are also times when observations are simply no more than the stuff of reality.

The main point of my Against Human Rights in Iraq was to draw attention to the lack of the Iraqi viewpoint in all of Jack Robertson’s Iraq pieces, which nevertheless express an opinion on what ought to happen in Iraq. He has not “consulted” the Iraqis while presuming to tell them (and all of us) what’s best for them.

As I’ve argued before, this holds, too, for “the people” – those antiwar protesters described in Margo Kingston’s The People’s Instinct on the War. Nothing about seeing the viewpoint of the Iraqi in Iraq necessitates being for the war; but if you’re against the war, and you’re not a scum of a human being, you owe the Iraqis an apology for your choice that this time you cannot support their liberation. “The people” should have apologised to the Iraqis, then been ashamed of themselves.

The elementary fact that getting yourself informed about the Iraqi position does not necessarily mean agreeing with it is what underlies all my recent articles; namely, Why the people’s instinct can be wrongI felt liberated when I saw the bombs falling and That obscure thing called reality. These pieces are therefore neither pro war nor antiwar.

These works are for seeing another person’s reality – this time, that of the Iraqi under Saddam – and for smashing the mental barriers that prevent human beings from seeing other human beings. With these barriers in place – be they rooted in fear or ideology or both – no just future is possible in Australia or anywhere.

In these pieces I’m simply for clarity and truth, and against the obliterating virus of ideology.

I’ve made my case many times over – and Jack proved my point once again in Two letters to the future. His politicised soul insists that ‘Against Human Rights in Iraq’ betrays a political leaning; but in fact he’s hallucinating monsters and goblins, like some medieval religious knave obsessed with grasping onto power no matter what.

In the 21st century so far, two devastating bushfires have swept across the Australian societal landscape, each in turn reinforcing the great Australian inability to imagine in any depth the lot of a stranger, each dividing the world into us and outsiders, whereby what in each case is accepted as “us and ours” is elevated to a special status through heightened familiarity, to the exclusion of the other.

The outsiders are thought of in myth-like ways, images of them are somewhat unreal, because the image of “the other” is a projection of what is necessary for “us” to uphold “our” image of “ourselves”: it has no basis in reality, and its effect is ultimately to falsify and oppress human beings.

In the Tampa and SIEV-X cases, this was called “racism”. It is no different now with the anti-war protests, in the way they shun the Iraqi viewpoint.

I’m saying that when antiwar protesters claim their prejudice is unintentional, they’re not being completely honest: True, they’re not directly intending this consequence, but a destructive intention certainly exists. The viewpoint of the Iraqi seeking liberty – who is supposed to be our kindred spirit, is he not? – is obliterated in the minds of “the people”; for example, by promoting myths such as he or she hates the Americans so much that he or she will fight for Saddam Hussein and not against him.

“The people” naturally believe that Iraqis will willingly fight to save Saddam’s totalitarianism – because if they had it in their mind that Iraqis want to fight with the Americans against Saddam, then they would be confronted with the unsavoury truth that their antiwar protest is denying individual liberty.

Jack Robertson, too, sees Iraqis as an abstraction. He has written so much on Iraq, yet not one word about the Iraqi viewpoint. Not one word of his piece Controil – ostensibly about American Big Oil but it ends up being an antiwar rant on the prophecy that American self-interest is the sole motivation for invading Iraq and that democracy is not worth the risk – sees the situation from the point of view of the Iraqi desiring liberty (as opposed to the apparatchik, and the expatriate conservative Muslim and expatriate socialist/communist, which almost entirely account for Iraqi opposition to the war).

In his letter to me in Two Letters to the Future, Jack admits that he doesn’t have any idea what the Iraqis think. He writes:

I simply don’t know what ‘most’ Iraqis want …. We just don’t know what all the twenty-three million individual Iraqis want, John… there are many Iraqis, here in Australia, around the world, and in Iraq, too, who don’t share your views that we in the West should ‘liberate’ Iraq…

But he’s nevertheless certain that “this debate is dividing Iraqis, just as much as it is dividing the rest of us”.

He projects his image of ourselves onto the Iraqis, as if Saddam’s brutal totalitarian dictatorship makes no difference.

Most striking is that Jack sees no problem with his insinuation that “many Iraqis inside Iraq choose Saddam Hussein’s brutal dictatorship over American liberation”. It’s striking for two reasons:

a) It’s not correct (in any meaningful sense of the word “many”). See ‘I felt liberated…’, ‘Why the people’s instinct…’ and especially ‘That obscure thing called reality’ for the opinion of probably the majority of Iraqis. Also have a look at the open letter from Barham Salih, Prime Minister of Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, in The Age, March 10 (A Plea from the People of Iraq):

No one wants a war in Iraq less than the Iraqi people. But we don’t have the luxury of being anti-war. For the past 35 years, the Baathist regime has been waging war against Iraqis. We know there can be no peace without the military liberation of Iraq. The brutality of Saddam Hussein’s regime leaves Iraqis and the civilised world with no other option.

b) Being capable of taking that insinuation seriously can only mean that despite Jack’s years of doing a lot of good in the Australian community, and years of activism – against Saddam in 1983, as he tells us, too – Saddam’s totalitarian dictatorship is enough of an abstraction in his mind for him to imagine it to be a viable alternative for the Iraqi individual. There’s something making him keep a distance between himself and the reality of totalitarianism. Could it be his ideology?

In ‘I felt liberated when I saw the bombs falling’, I wrote:

Despite knowing tons of information, people don’t have a feel for what a totalitarian dictatorship is – what it actually feels like inside your body, how it makes your body sick (“Hussein is like a cancer eating away at me every moment of the day.”). Often it’s because of preoccupations (eg the obsession with America) – or maybe preoccupations are projections of the mind as it tries to fill the disjointed gaps: a search for meaning.

In summary, Jack has clearly allowed my basic point in ‘Against Human Rights in Iraq’:

Most importantly, and I stress that this is the main point of this Webdiary note, you have failed to consider the viewpoint of the Iraqi people.

Yet he still has the gall to claim:

You’re quite wrong about (Amnesty International), by the way – concentrating on individuals is exactly what our little group does.

But evidently it’s not what he does in the case of Iraq, because he hasn’t bothered to inform himself of what Iraqis think.

I only disclosed my involvement with AI – while making it clear that my views were personal…

So while working for Amnesty in his contact group, Jack suddenly becomes enlightened on the viewpoint of the Iraqi individual? I don’t think so. Ignorance of the meaning of totalitarianism represents a fundamental conflict of interest for Amnesty International workers. Anti-American jaundice is likewise.

This was the point of ‘Against Human Rights in Iraq’. One cannot seriously act for human rights in Iraq if one is ignorant of the Iraqi viewpoint. Moreover, in opposing the war, one is culpable for keeping a dictator in place. One ought to acknowledge that, just as Australians ought to acknowledge that modern Australia is partly founded on the suffering of the Aborigines.

Now, as I wrote above, you do not need to be for or against the war to inform yourself of the Iraqi viewpoint. Getting to know another person’s point of view does not mean you agree with them or that you support them. My recent pieces are neither pro-war nor antiwar.

Despite this, Jack has hallucinated some “monster” of pro-war sentiment in ‘Against Human Rights in Iraq’ – without bothering to read the other three pieces I mentioned above at the start. His phantasms are purely a product of his politicised soul, the cause and symptom of his inability to see what is simply human. He writes:

You’re not the first pro-war ‘Born-Again Human Rights Believer’… pro-invasionists like you get bored by plodding, case-by-case grass-roots work … For all your pompous bluster, none of you war-hawks have a clue what your invasion aim really is … your knee-jerk lefty stereotyping… You warhawks keep wanting to use force to bring stability to the unstable world … I don’t agree with your plans for carpet-bombing Baghdad into freedom; ergo, I must be ‘against Human Rights in Iraq’. … It’s you, I think, who are the real Utopian – vague, assertive, short-sighted, unpractical, seeming to believe that an invasion will magically ‘cure everything’,… You’re blindly hoping for the best, John, and not remotely preparing for the worst. … Do you remotely care…? And my kind of plan is also far, far more likely to achieve a good HR and democracy outcome in Iraq in the long run than yours… You’re the one about to summarily take over the joint, and tell everyone who lives there what ‘free’ and ‘just’ is going to mean to them all, from now on…. What we can’t be so sure of is the ‘big picture’, the ‘sweeping solution’ that people like you – the real Utopians – love so much. … Did you bother to… before you decided to declare me a self-obsessed, Utopian, pro-Saddam ignoramus…? I’m sorry, I’m now all confused again. This is your problem, John.

Oh, is it? I think you still have some growing up to do, Jack. That is your motto, isn’t it? “Leftists must grow up or die.”

It’s extraordinary that Jack has written so many words while completely missing my point. He therefore doesn’t say anything that I need to respond to.

There are, nonetheless, some sentences I will respond to, for various reasons.

Jack writes:

It’s you, I think, who are the real Utopian – vague, assertive, short-sighted, unpractical, seeming to believe that an invasion will magically ‘cure everything’, even if it’s run by, and/or for the partial benefit of, oil ‘parasites’, to use your term.

In fact, I’m reporting the views of Iraqis both inside and outside Iraq. I have taken the time to understand their point of view. Jack’s disdain towards their existence, while making pronouncements about what’s best for their country, is disgraceful.

I think he should now explain to the Iraqis – because I know we have a small audience in northern Iraq – why their desire to be liberated from the most brutal regime on earth is “vague, assertive, short-sighted, unpractical”, despite the effort they’ve put into plans for democracy, and the enormous price the Kurds have paid in creating the freest region in the Middle East.

On a similar note, Jack mentions protesting against Saddam Hussein in 1983. I wonder to what extent Jack was against Saddam Hussein, and to what extent he was raging against Ronald Reagan, and whether obsession with the latter stunted his education about Iraq. (Although Reagan had decided that the US should entice Iraq away from the Soviet Union, it did not come across like this to Reagan haters.)

Jack writes that he lived in Dresden not all that long after the war. I wonder whether – while comprehending in full intensity Allied war crimes in Dresden – he took the opportunity to visit Auschwitz-Birkenau, Mauthausen, Majdanek, Treblinka, Dachau, Sachsenhausen, Warsaw, Krakow, Lodz, or Babi Yar (near Kiev), to name just a few, all of which aren’t that far away from Dresden. It would have been possible, even under the communists.

In any case, let’s get back to Iraq, as these days we’re talking about Saddam’s brand of fascism.

Must I – to prove my (human rights) credentials to your satisfaction – climb heartily aboard your Iraq invasion bandwagon?

Nothing about seeing the viewpoint of the Iraqi in Iraq requires climbing onto any “invasion bandwagon”. This is why I did not mention it. Jack’s claim is just a phantasm inside his head.

But to prove his HR credentials to his own satisfaction, may I suggest he apologise to the Iraqis – thereby acknowledging their existence – for being unable to support their desire for liberation and for taking action whose success would keep Saddam in power, thereby making him partly culpable for the murder of countless Iraqis by Saddam’s henchmen in the years until the fall of his regime.

I don’t agree with your plans for carpet-bombing Baghdad into freedom.

“My” plans? Jack’s hallucinations.

But there’s a worrying slovenliness with the truth in Jack’s sentence, indicative of a wider trend. Stealing certitude they’re not entitled to is completely typical of “the people”. Here is an example of a point I mentioned in ‘Why the people’s instinct can be wrong’.

Even Paul McGeough knows that the Americans are not going to carpet bomb Baghdad. That’s why he’s staying put. See Margo Kingston’s interview with him, Behind the story.

“Carpet bombing” is propaganda. Jack has swallowed it hook line and sinker. Jack uses his army experience – and his family’s involvement in the imminent war – to claim authority on military matters, yet he’s gullible for the most blatant propaganda concerning tactics of war. This particular image of the American invasion seems to dominate his thinking on the issue. Propaganda has obliterated his better sense, and has stopped him from informing himself about the most basic aspects of American tactics.

If there’s any threat of mass destruction, it comes from Saddam Hussein and a possible “Nero” order, a la Hitler, March 1945. (I shall write about this for Webdiary soon).

Saddam Hussein – not the Americans – would be to blame. Jack’s perverse inversion of values would blame the Americans for Saddam’s murder suicide.

Paul McGeough might have got his information on how the Americans intend to minimise civilian casualties from defenselink.

Jack writes:

The first Principle of War is ‘selection and maintenance of the aim’.

Depends on who you read. According to Sun Tsu, it’s something like this:

If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.

Jack writes:

I spent a good deal of my time in uniform finding practical solutions to real-world problems – floods, bushfires, aerial search-and-rescues, the odd delicate ‘crowd situation’, h/c medical evacuations, and so on.

Good for Jack! Evidently, however, Jack ought to spend less time in the great outdoors and more time reading about what the Iraqis think before presuming to advise them on what’s best for their country.

Did you actually bother to read my alternative plan for the use of the West’s power? (Looking for John Curtin)

Actually, I did. I immediately saw that Jack’s idea is a product of naive wishful thinking. As Iraqi vice president Tarek Aziz stated late in February, Iraq would consider a UN force (or “protection” force as Jack puts it) to oversee weapons inspections as a violation of its sovereignty.

Jack’s plan amounts to an invasion of a sovereign country. You’re back to square one.

The bottom line has always been getting Saddam Hussein to cooperate. Without his cooperation, nothing but war is possible – if you’re serious about imposing United Nations “law”. This is the basic reality Jack’s plan misses.

You can’t democratise a country by imposed force, mate, any more than you can smack a child into adulthood.

This folklore “history” suits Jack’s purpose but doesn’t stand up to scrutiny.

Afghanistan. Kosovo. Serbia. Bosnia. Germany and forced de-Nazification. Japan and forced de-imperialisation. The Marshall Plan. The Vietnamese liberation of the Khmer Republic.

Imposed force was essential in the democratisation of all of these places. Although in some of them the job is still going on, in all of them life is better now than it was.

Echoing de-Nazification in postwar Germany, one prominent Iraqi this week called for “de-Baathification” of Iraq following liberation. I’m not lying, Jack. And this fact has nothing to do with being for or against the war. It’s got everything to do with finding out what Iraqis think before presuming to tell them what’s best for them.

Nobody necessarily has to agree with the Iraqis just because he or she has the courtesy to find out what they think. That Jack has continually accused me of acting otherwise is an indication of the politicisation of his soul. If he’s too far gone then there’s no hope for him – he’ll continue to have a lot of trouble sorting out the spin from the truth.

There’s an undercurrent in Jack’s writing:

You’re supposed to inspire, demonstrate, show, lead by brilliant example.

The Iraqis are not stupid, Jack. Why are you presuming that the Iraqis are incapable of organizing a democracy for themselves? Any reasons? Do you know anything at all about northern Iraq?

Why are the Iraqis a monolithic, unknown entity in your mind?

The fact is that the Iraqi situation is not as familiar to you in your mind as, say, American oil interests. That’s a shame.

In all of your pieces, you haven’t shown any understanding of what the Iraqis are planning in their own country, or acknowledged that they have made serious plans for Iraq’s future. These plans may or may not be realized, there is always risk – but why do you deny in advance that democracy is possible in Iraq?

You’re manifesting complete ignorance of the Iraqi viewpoint – that they are willing to take that risk.

Jack writes further:

Do I whine back at you about much time I spend as Balmain AI co-convener writing letters, articles and appeals, helping run market stalls, collecting furniture, collecting money, collecting members, collecting signatures and advocating on behalf of Iraqi refugees and Iraqi HR-abuse victims…

The question is not how much good you have done in the past, nor whether you once advocated on behalf of Iraqi refugees in Australia. The question is why is the Iraqi viewpoint missing in your present writings – while an obsession with the Americans is manifested clearly.

It’s about time you faced the fact that the same refugees you helped are looking on in horror at your present actions:

On Sunday I watched the peace activists rallying for peace without mentioning my butcher, Hussein.

They marched alongside Hussein’s activists, I saw them very clearly. I watched the Greens seeking votes. I watched Labor seeking leadership. I watched the Democrats trying to save their sinking party. I did not see John Howard marching, but he too is serving his own interests.

I don’t care if this war is for oil or not. I didn’t get any advantage from oil under Hussein and if it goes to the US, who cares?

My only wish is for the sinking ship of Iraq to be saved. We tried very hard to save ourselves but we couldn’t. All the nation rebelled in 1991, but was put down brutally, right before America’s eyes. Hussein has survived more than 20 assassination attempts.

“I looked to the Iraqi opposition groups to unite so they could form a government after an invasion. There is not much hope of that either.

“I don’t care who rules my country after an invasion as long as there are less jails, less killing. (Account of “Adnan Hussan”, Feb 20, The Australian)

Jack writes:

But I simply have to protest that it’s asking a bit much to expect me to cop it sweet when someone like you tries to blame us anti-invasionists for Saddam.

This is populist obfuscation. A cop-out, anti-intellectual laziness. I never made the argument that you claim here. Shame on you. If you succeed in your cause, then you will be helping keep the status quo in Iraq. This may not be your intention, but it is the effect. Doesn’t it bother you that your actions would lead to this if they’re successful?

Now, you’re intelligent enough to know the difference between “culpability” and “blame”. Why are you playing the fool?

If you’re not playing the fool, and you truly don’t care much for the distinction between “culpability” and “blame”, then next time Australian right-wing conservatives bemoan the “black armband view of history”, and refuse to say “sorry” because “it’s asking a bit much to expect me to cop it sweet when someone like you tries to blame us” for the stolen children and the cultural genocide of the 1930s, then I expect you not only to respect their right to express their monstrous inhumanity, but also to support their washing their hands, because that’s what you have done in every piece of yours on Iraq.

Yeah, you’re not the first pro-war ‘Born-Again Human Rights Believer’ who’s berated me over my refusal to support the act of bombing Baghdad into HR submission, John. Nor, no doubt, will you be the last. ‘Against Human Rights in Iraq’. Jesus.

Nothing about seeing the viewpoint of the Iraqi in Iraq necessitates being for the war; but if you’re against the war, and you’re not a scum of a human being, you owe the Iraqis an apology for your choice that this time you cannot support their liberation.

Moreover, your term of abuse betrays your ideology.

Read that again. “In Iraq”. Not “In Australia”. As the Amnesty website says, human rights are indivisible, universal. But it is impossible to claim to be upholding human rights in a country of which you have none of the essential knowledge.

You’re blindly hoping for the best, John, and not remotely preparing for the worst.

On the contrary, in ‘Why the people’s instinct can be wrong’, I wrote:

…these last two years have been an extraordinarily difficult time to be an Australian. Twice already, the 21st century has exposed deep flaws in the Australian character. Of course, Australia is not uniquely afflicted with these problems; but historical, geographical, demographic and other factors conspire to make them particularly pronounced here.

In this period, two devastating bushfires have swept across the Australian societal landscape, each in turn reinforcing the great Australian inability to imagine in any depth the lot of a stranger, each dividing the world into us and outsiders, whereby what in each case is accepted as “us and ours” is elevated to a special status through heightened familiarity, to the exclusion of the other.

The outsiders are thought of in myth-like ways, images of them are somewhat unreal, because the image of “the other” is a projection of what is necessary for “us” to uphold “our” image of “ourselves”: It has no basis in reality, and its effect is ultimately to falsify and oppress human beings.

The first Australian catastrophe was the assertion of State power – feeding and fed by nationalist paranoia – over human decency; the second, as we have now seen, is the assertion of a pose of international solidarity, in a movement of vilification of a figurehead – feeding and fed by self-seeking neurosis ostensibly in the name of justice.

Both are ultimately inward-looking. Both, as George Orwell wrote, are forms of nationalist isolationism, despite the latter’s internationalist pose.

… Like Tampa and SIEV-X, the antiwar marches expose gaps in Australians’ ability to function as moral people, which means as people who can imagine the lot of another and do the right thing of their own free will. There’s room for improvement. Australia’s only hope for the future is if enough people find the will to improve. Otherwise Tampas and concentration camps for asylum seekers will keep recurring.

Preparing for the worst means that in this strange, sick country of ours, seeming so free yet giving only lip service to loving liberty, the overwhelming impression one gets will continue to be the same as that of the Iraqis who watched the antiwar protesters and despaired – those who call Australia “home” and now wonder what sort of society can so passionately ignore the victims of totalitarianism.

Just as Jack Robertson has done once again in his letter to me.

The overwhelming impression one gets of Australia, particularly following the two recent disasters, is a country where reality is obliterated from the mind and replaced with inhuman phantasms generated by the virus of ideology.

Prepare to feel a foreigner in your own country. That is preparing for the worst, for the day when you fall within the sphere of influence of an ideologue, a person in whom distance between human beings is permanently and irredeemably embedded.

I fear that in Australia it’s already the case that this kind of ideologue constitutes the vast majority, and that only a small number of foreigners in their own country are wandering shattered and shell-shocked through the wreckage.

I’ll end by citing a portion of ‘Why the people’s instinct can be wrong’:

It must be emphasised that apart from the neo-nazis, none of the protesters would have wanted Saddam Hussein to win. They do, after all, have a feeling for peace that they were promoting, even if it was expressed as vilification of Bush. Moreover, consideration of the potential victims of the imminent war was certainly a part of their protest, even if their conception ignored the view of the Iraqi seeking liberation.

But it is easy to be appalled at violence, especially when it hasn’t happened yet and everybody fears the worst, … It is much harder for “the people” to come to terms with the dilemma faced by Iraqis who dream of freedom.

Furthermore, the protesters would have been appalled if it were explained to them that their action was subsequently used by the dictator and his henchmen to prop up the totalitarian regime oppressing the Iraqi people – by buying time and waiting for public support in the USA and Britain to collapse, a tactic Saddam announced in an Egyptian newspaper interview back in November. Saddam’s plan has been falling into place ever since.

Saddam’s tactic seems to be working, with extreme pressure recently having been placed by their electorates on the prime ministers of Britain and Spain, Tony Blair and Jose Maria Aznar, following the French and German-led revival of the worldwide antiwar movement.

Nevertheless, protesters that wash their hands of responsibility for handing Saddam the initiative would be acting dishonestly. They would be denying their culpability (ie unintentional causation) in the same way that many Australians, having supported the unscrupulous opportunists on the Tampa and SIEV-X issues, deny responsibility for the self-mutilation of asylum seekers in Australian concentration camps. These denialists think every man is an island. We’re far away from Iraq, why should our actions have any influence there? (Similarly: we’re far from Iraq, why should it be Australia’s problem?) But the distance we imagine between us and Iraq is mirrored in the distance between fellow Australians.

Perhaps Australia’s landscape is a strong influence, embedding distance between human beings. Or perhaps it’s our relatively comfortable existence influences our worldview. The protesters – or, at least, “the people”, because their view is what I have on paper before me – are without doubt morally blameworthy.

The reason lies not in the fact that Saddam Hussein was able to use their protest towards his own goals, but in their wilful promotion of – and wilful neglect in permitting – the long gradual process of forgetting – the “Chinese whispers process” – of the point of view of the Iraqi who thirsts for liberty. “The people” have driven this Iraqi from their mind, so their naive and dreadfully misconceived protest became thinkable. In the end, if Hans Blix does his job well, then it probably won’t matter to Saddam Hussein. But it will always matter to the Iraqis who watched the protesters and despaired – those who call Australia “home”, and now wonder what sort of society can so passionately ignore the victims of totalitarianism who long for freedom.

“The people” have rendered themselves incapable of acting (eg holding a demonstration) in full knowledge of that other human being’s viewpoint.

Worse, that human being’s viewpoint – who is supposed to be our kindred spirit, is he not? – is obliterated in the minds of “the people”; for example, by promoting myths such as he or she hates the Americans so much that he or she will fight for Saddam Hussein and not against him. “The people” naturally believe that Iraqis will willingly fight to save Saddam’s totalitarianism – if they had it in their mind that Iraqis want to fight with the Americans against Saddam, then they would be confronted with the unsavoury truth that their antiwar protest is denying individual liberty.

They would be confronted with the logical consequence of their negative choice: they are the ones responsible for keeping Saddam in power, for the murder of countless Iraqis by his henchmen in the years until the fall of his regime. Whether you agree with the war or not, this is the consequence of the success of the protests’ aims. From being obliterated in the minds of “the people”, the viewpoint of the Iraqi desiring liberty is obliterated in reality.

The antiwar movement in its current form is perpetrating a moral disaster for the world and for Australia. The symptom is that “the people” have not come to terms with the fact that Iraqis can desire liberation; that Iraqis face a horrific dilemma; and that Iraqis can choose war, on the side of the Americans, in full knowledge of the consequences.

The committed leftist and the committed pacifist reel away from the human desires expressed by Iraqis desiring liberty, because here is an implicit blessing for war. But this is what the Iraqi wants – because he knows that alone, the opposition groups are no match for the totalitarian regime.

The diagnosis is that the Iraqi reality is obliterated from the protester’s mind and replaced with phantasms generated by the virus of inhuman ideology.

The prognosis is not good for a just society in Australia, or anywhere.

To save themselves from this plague – and give Australia some hope for her own future – the antiwar protesters ought to apologise to Iraqis and offer their condolences that this time they cannot support liberty in Iraq; that they have chosen to block action that would free Iraqis. Then they should be ashamed of themselves.

Deconstructing JW Howard

Hi. John Howard’s question and answer session after yesterday’s speech to the nation was devastating for the Prime Minister. – and the Australian people. Australians need reassurance – they were treated instead to obfuscation, confiusion, contradiction and lawyer’s games of hide and seek. I agree with our Meeja Watch man Jack Robertson that the press gallery performed well in impossible circumstances:

“After my wild spray at the media’s performance a few days ago (Two letters to the future), I just wanted to say that I thought the Australian Press was pretty impressive today at the National Press Club speech, especially Oakes, Seccombe, Tingle, McGrath, Grant and all those who tried to get specifics from the PM about our ‘reconstruction’ role and the longer-term strategic implications. I recognise what the Press is up against with this man. Thanks for a good attempt. Keep at him.”

The questions were not as tough or broad, overall, as those from the Washington press gallery at Bush’s press conference last week, but there’s good reason for that. Bush was upfront about his intentions, opening up the discussion. John Howard stonewalled on his intentions, despite the fact that it’s obvious from everything he said that we’ll go in with the Yanks no matter what happens at the UN, and cut off further discussion. This meant several questions were taken up with pressing him for an answer, and because he refused to answer most questions anyway, with asking the same question in a different way.

His performance did nothing to alter the impression that he is a lap dog to Bush – a man dancing on the spot until Bush teaches him the next move. It appears that Australia’s interests are simply not being separately addressed.

Bear in mid that this was probably Howard’s last speech to his people before announcing war, his last chance to convert a skeptical public. Maybe he’s diabolically clever – that it’s correct strategically to keep your people in the dark and hope they rush to support you when our troops are in action, because from his performance yesterday he either thinks Australians are stupid, or he doesn’t give a damn what they think.

Here are the key questions and answers, with my comments. For the full transcript, go to pm.

***

Laura Tingle, Australia Financial Review: Prime Minister, your speech today has been a fairly clear enunciation of the principle of pre-emptive strike, and I was just wondering, given how events are unfolding in Iraq, or over Iraq, what is that doctrine likely to imply for the future of the broad western alliance and the UN security system, and where does it suggest Australia goes after Iraq on other rogue states?

John Howard: Well Laura, you’ve chosen to put a particular description on it. I’m not going to adopt your description. I’ve given, I believe, a clear enunciation of why we’re adopting the policy we have. I’ve put it in context. We are living in a different world. The old view of aggression was that an army rolled across a border. The new menace and different menace arrived on the 11th of September. America has a different view, very understandably, and I think the implications of that for other liberal democracies is very real. But I’m not going to adopt yours or anybody else’s language. I choose my own. I’ve explained the reasons. I hope they are clear and compelling.

Comment: Both Mr Howard and Robert Hill have themselves used the description “preemptive strike” to describe the American’s new policy, and have argued that the doctrine constitutes self-defence in the post-September 11 world. Mr Howard has even said he’s prepared to invoke the doctrine to attack a nation in our region if he feared an imminent terrorist attack from its soil. His ‘answer’ to Laura is his way of not answering her question, by focusing on what she thought was an uncontroversial summary of his position as a lead-in to the substantive issue. By doing this, he sought to cover the fact that he would not answer a question on the minds of very many Australians. Both sides of politics have traditionally set great store in the UN as a body helping necessary to guarantee our security as a middle- ranking power. His non-answer is an insult to the Australian people, most of whom do not support an invasion of Iraq without UN sanction.

***

Mark Riley, Sydney Morning Herald: It’s clear from what you have said today that you no longer consider the prospect of this new resolution failing to be hypothetical. You’ve shared with us your view of what France and Germany’s attitudes may be in that circumstance as it relates to the military deployment. I’m wondering if you’ll now be as equally candid as George Bush has been with his people, and Tony Blair with his, and tell the Australian people whether you will send our troops into war without UN approval, or the backing of the Security Council.

John Howard: Mark, I’ll just repeat what I have said before, and the Australian people understand this – a final decision will be taken on that when all the processes at the Security Council are known. I’ve said before, and I’ll repeat it today, we seek the 18th resolution of the Security Council – it’s not the 2nd, it’s the 18th resolution of the Security Council – not because we believe as a matter of international law that it is needed. We believe it would be better politically, strategically and in terms of the united voice of the international community, if you could get another resolution. I take you back to what I said in my speech. I really do believe that if everybody got behind the sort of resolution of which I have spoken, and I acknowledge that the prospects of that now are not great, you would perhaps have a real prospect because if you had 15 nations saying you disarm or were coming after you, and you had the neighbouring Arab states saying look, the game is up, you might just get some change in Baghdad. Now if that doesn’t occur, I think the prospects for a peaceful resolution don’t appear very bright. We are positioned to participate in military action. That is self-evident. But as you will have observed from the remarks made by our men in the field, they clearly have not received any instruction as yet, and that will not be given until the Cabinet has considered the matter in the wake of the issue being resolved one way or the other, or no way, at the United Nations. That has been my position all along. I think it is the only responsible position. You never in the situation in which I am placed, you never pass up by taking a decision before you need to, the capacity to consider last-minute circumstances that may affect the type of decision you take. You never do that.

Comment: Howard, again refusing to admit that he is prepared to go in without UN sanction, is reduced to implying that Blair and Bush have been irresponsible by discussing the possibility of unilateral action with their people.

He refuses to enlighten the Australian people about why it would be “better politically, strategically and in terms of the united voice of the international community if you could get another resolution”. This refusal, of course, also allows him to avoid discussing the political and strategic downsides for Australia of going in without UN sanction. Again, he deliberately keeps the Australia people in the dark on his considered assessment of the issue of most concern to them.

***

Fran Kelly, The 7.30 Report: You said today that this judgement, Australia’s judgement, reflects the intelligence community’s professional assessment. Well, in recent days we’ve had an ONA officer quit his post, saying that ONA had given the Government advice that the more Saddam Hussein is pushed, the greater the chance of him using his weapons of mass destruction or linking up with terrorists. Will you release the ONA reports on Iraq, just as you released the ONA report on the children overboard, here in the National Press Club address 16 months ago?

Howard: Well that particular ONA report, as you know Fran, in relation that I mentioned 16 months ago, merely repeated press reports. I’m not going to release ONA assessments which, almost of all of which remain classified. What I said to you today represented their general view. As far as Mr Wilkie is concerned, I respect his right to have another view. It’s not surprising in a large public service and a reasonably large intelligence community, that you’re going to have a range of views. In the end, all of these things involve questions of judgement.

We’re not talking about proving to the, beyond reasonable doubt, to the satisfaction of a jury at the Central Criminal Court in Darlinghurst, if you’ll excuse my Sydney origins, I mean if you wait for that kind of proof, you know, its virtually Pearl Harbour. You’ve got to make judgements, and judgements are made and I have given you the judgement of the [ONA] and I’ve given you our judgement. I mean, people are saying well, you know, where is the further proof? I mean, what I am saying is you have Iraq with weapons of mass destruction, Iraq’s terrible track record, refusing to disarm, the world in effect buckles at the knees and doesnt disarm Iraq, other rogue states say, well we can do that, North Korea says knew they would give in, North Korea becomes more uncontrollable. The likelihood, as a matter of sheer logic in those circumstances, of terrorist groups getting their hands on weapons of mass destruction has got to be greater. And these are judgement calls. And I can respect the fact that somebody else has a different view. Im not going to denigrate the man because of that. I respect that.

Comment: This is a killer question. If ONA defector Andrew Wilkie is telling the truth, then Howard’s case – that we need to declare war on Iraq to avoid the nightmare of Saddam giving WMDs to terrorists – is back to front. War would produce the very nightmare Howard says he’s trying to avoid.

ONA assessments are not released to the public, but Howard made an exception to that rule under enormous pressure over the truth of his election campaign claim that asylum seekers threw their children overboard. Roll back to the last Thursday of the 2001 election campaign, when Howard was at the Press Club the day after The Australian published a page one report that it never happened. His staff then trawled for documents to back his claim, and his foreign affairs adviser came up with an ONA report, which Howard read.

I published the transcript of the pre-election Q and A in Red light questions:

Fran Kelly: Defence sources are saying today that the photos released by the Defence Minister’s office some weeks ago of the people in the water from that sinking boat were captioned when they were handed to the Government and that those captions clearly showed that the people were in the water because the boat was sinking, not because people had been thrown overboard, children had been thrown overboard. Will you now ask the Minister of Defence to release those photos with captions as originally provided by the Navy?

Howard: Well, Fran, I don’t know what defence sources you’re referring to but let me just take you through the sequence on this very quickly. The claims that were made by Mr Ruddock and Mr Reith on the Sunday, I think it would have been Sunday the 7th of October, it was just after the election was called, they were based on advice from defence sources. My own comments were based on my discussions with Mr Ruddock and Mr Reith. On the 9th of October I received an ONA report that read in part as follows: Asylum seekers wearing life-jackets jumped into the sea and children were thrown in with them. Such tactics have previously been used elsewhere, for example, by people smugglers and Iraqi asylum seekers on boats intercepted by the Italian Navy.

By referring back to Howard’s previous use of ONA to help his cause, Fran illustrated the priceless asset of corporate memory in journalism. Howard was cornered. Back in 2001, Howard represented that the ONA document was an independent assessment of the children overboard claim. That was its very purpose in his defence. In fact – as the inquiry revealed – ONA told his adviser in writing that its report was based ONLY on press reports of what the Government had claimed happened.

Either Howard knew that and misrepresented the report, or he didn’t, in which case he decided to release what he thought was a genuine ONA assessment.

To justify not releasing the ONA assessment of risk of WMD distribution to terrorists by Saddam, he was forced to admit that he had misused the ONA document on children overboard. Surely on such a vital matter – crucial to his case for war – he would release it if it contradicted Wilkie and backed him. If not, why not? Do you believe John Howard or Andrew Wilkie?

When I was railing at the calumny of the government on children overboard last year, several readers opined that there would be damage to the government in the medium term because it would corrode the governments credibility. Several other readers wrote that most people didn’t care whether Howard and co had deceived the people because they agreed with his boat people policy. For example, in For those who give two hootsGraham Bousen wrote:

Margo, the punter does not give two hoots about this children overboard inquiry. They have been told that on other occasions children were used as pawns, so if the Government was wrong on this one, they were right on the rest. Hence the apparent forgiveness for the fibs. It really is old news that the media keeps perpetuating with its holier than thou indignant approach – have they never fudged the facts themselves? Sad is it may be, the punter does not give a damn.

People who thought this way were admitting to themselves that the government had lied to them. That’s a crack in credibility which could widen significantly now that there’s a very important issue Howard is trying to sell to a public which isn’t enthusiastic about the product. The Australian people know the government is capable of deception. As Fran’s question showed, the children overboard is still capable of haunting the Prime Minister.

***

Mike Seccombe, Sydney Morning Herald: The United States has backed its humanitarian concerns over Iraq with a promise that it will stay around after the war and will spend as much money on restoring the infrastructure of Iraq as it spends on flattening it. I was just wondering if you would give us a commitment that we will do something similar. Will we spend something equivalent to the half a billion to a billion dollars that were going to spend attacking on Iraq, on repairing the damage afterwards? Or will we leave the heavy lifting to someone else?

Howard: Well what we will do is well play a role in the reconstruction if that is necessary as a result of a military conflict. Of course, no reconstruction would be necessary if you could peacefully disarm Iraq, but we’ll make a contribution. We’ve already indicated that well contribute some money, I think $10 million to a fund set up by Kofi Annan. That won’t be the end of that. Well make a further contribution. We would actually want to play a significant and constructive role in the reconstruction process. The one thing that I have said were not going to do is were not going to provide a large peacekeeping force. We dont have the military or defence capability of doing that. But if anybody imagines that we won’t play a strong humanitarian, positive role in the process of reconstruction, theyre completely wrong.

Comment: I’ve never seen Howard visibly gag at a question before. After this one, his mouth fell open and there was a pause of at least two seconds before he answered. Secco’s question was a creative way of asking Howard about the peace, and the responsibility we would accept for rebuilding a country shattered by an invasion in which we participated. His use of the words “heavy hitting” repeated a phrase Howard had just used to in describing Australia’s duty not to sit on the sidelines:

There is a temptation, as some have argued, Australia should do is to sit on the sidelines, to be a spectator, to do very little either diplomatically or militarily, to leave the heavy lifting to others, to assume that we’ll somehow or other be okay in the equation and that in many respects would be quite an appealing approach. And I can understand why some of my fellow Australians have asked why does John Howard think this is important to Australia, why is he taking this stance? I’ve tried to explain some of those reasons. I don’t think this is an issue that Australia can simply be a spectator on. I don’t believe sitting on the sidelines is either good for Australia nor do I believe it has ever really been the Australian way.

His answer made it clear that Australia would repeat its behaviour after the 1991 Gulf War. It was our duty to repel Saddam the monster, the evil one, and we signed up to the moral imperative hook line and sinker. Yet when the war was won and Iraqi refugees fled to Iran, Australia and the rest of the world did little or nothing to look after them. Overwhelmed and financially unsupported by the West, Iran told the Iraqis to leave. They couldn’t go home and there was no queue to seek asylum, so many fled in boats. In early 2001, Phillip Ruddock began issuing temporary entry visas instead of permanent visas to boat people, for the explicit reason that most were now Iraqis and virtually all of them were genuine refugees. Post Tampa, he and Howard did much worse. It looks like we’ll again wash our hands of the casualties of war.

***

Michelle Grattan, The Age: Mr Howard, if as you advocate, countries in the Security Council got behind the resolution and a miracle happened and Iraq said yes it would say the game was up and disarmed, but Saddam Hussein was still there, would this be enough for peace given the strong case you have made today for regime change in the name of the Iraqi people?

John Howard: Well I would have to accept that if Iraq had genuinely disarmed, I couldn’t justify on its own a military invasion of Iraq to change the regime. I’ve never advocated that. Much in all as I despise the regime. But what I was really trying to say today and perhaps it has had some effect is that I get a bit tired of the humanitarian argument all being on the one side. Its about time that the humanitarian argument was put into a better balance and people understand what a monstrous regime we are dealing with.

Comment: Howard devoted a significant hunk of his speech to the humanitarian case for war, signifying a victory for anti-war campaigners focused on the human costs of the war. The humanitarian argument was absent from the pro-war case until the anti-war humanitarian case gained traction. Howard said (after Bush showed him the way):

We’re talking about a regime that will gouge out the eyes of a child to force a confession from the child’s parents. This is a regime that will burn a persons limbs in order to force a confession or compliance. This is a regime that in 2000 decreed the crime of criticising it would be punished by the amputation of tongues. Since Saddam Hussein’s regime came to power in 1979 he has attacked his neighbours and he’s ruthlessly oppressed ethnic and religious groups in Iraq more than one million people have died in internal conflicts and wars. Some four million Iraqis have chosen exile. Two hundred thousand have disappeared from his jails never to be seen again. He has cruelly and cynically manipulated the United Nations oil-for-food programme. He’s rorted it to buy weapons to support his designs at the expense of the wellbeing of his people. Since the Gulf War the people of Iraq have not only endured a cruel and despotic regime but they’ve had to suffer economic deprivation, hunger and sickness.

And we should never forget that economic sanctions imposed have had a humanitarian cost. That cost has been made worse by Saddam Hussein’s rorting of the sanctions regime. Those sanctions could have been lifted years ago if Iraq had complied with the requirements of Security Council resolutions about disarmament.

It is too easy to limit, it’s too easy for some people to limit the humanitarian considerations to the consequences of military conflict. In truth there’s nothing easy or reassuring or comfortable about the problem of Iraq. Surely it is undeniable that if all the humanitarian considerations are put into the balance there is a very powerful case to the effect that the removal of Saddam Hussein’s regime would produce a better life and less suffering for the people of Iraq than its continuation.

If Howard had used those compelling examples of a brutal and brutalising regime when the Iraqi boat people asked for sanctuary, instead of calling them queue jumpers, child throwers and terrorists, the Australian people would have empathised with the necessity for Iraqi refugees to go to any lengths to rescue their families from the horror. We would have welcomed them, not turned them away. Howard’s use of graphic examples of the truth of Saddam’s regime to justify the war on moral grounds after demonising refugees from it just a short time ago was despicable.

He’s in an uncomfortable position, and Michelle – a notoriously cautious columnist who this week in The Age was prepared to call his claim that he hadn’t yet decided to wage war without a UN sanction as ‘The big lie’, skewered Howard’s answer to the humanitarian anti-war. He is forced to admit that rescuing the Iraqi’s is not the reason for war, or even a reason. If he did make the claim, of course, he would be confronted with the terrible fact that the US backed Saddam for many years in full knowledge of his barbarism.

No, saving the Iraqi people would be a happy byproduct of war, that’s all. Not only that, we see from his answer to Secco’s question that he would do virtually nothing to help the Iraqi people rebuild a shattered nation after he’s helped bomb it to smithereens. Goodbye just war.

***

Dennis Grant, SBS television

In your speech today my attention was drawn to this line where you’re talking about “people who are ready to mount the moral parapets” of this debate. Can I draw your attention to some of them? Could I draw your attention to General Peter Gration – he was CDF at the time of the last Gulf War; Major General Peter Phillips, fighting soldier in Vietnam, the National President of the RSL. On the diplomatic side, Dick Woolcott – former head of the Department of Foreign Affairs. All of them are opposed to your policy. Can you point me to a credible, non-political figure who does support your policy?

John Howard: Well, in the nature of political debate Dennis, people don’t declare and come out in favour of something that is being done, they tend to come out against something that they disagree with. And in talking about those gentlemen, particularly Peter Gration and Peter Phillips, I don’t regard everybody as everybody’s who’s been a little bit critical as having mounted the moral parapets, I don’t. I, in fact, I followed carefully what both Peter Gration and Peter Phillips have said and I don’t, you know, I don’t put them in the category of people who have branded what we’re doing as immoral and war mongering and so forth, they have reservations, they have different views about different aspects of it. As far as Dick Woolcott is concerned, well I respect his views. He, of course, was somebody who was very critical of our intervention in East Timor, now that’s his right. But in a debate like this you get a whole range of views and I’ve read what Peter and the two Peter’s have said and whilst they raise a number of questions and express some concerns, I don’t regard them as having mounted the moral parapets in the way that some others have done.

Well the question of who supports me or who doesn’t support me in the end is a judgement for the people of Australia. I regard the views of individual Australians on this as just as valuable as the views of people you’ve quoted or any people I might invoke. I mean this is something for the people to think about and the purpose of a gathering like this is for me, through this forum, to talk directly to the people of Australia. I’m interested in their views, some of them don’t agree with me, some of them do. A lot of them haven’t made up their minds and I can understand that because, as I said right at the beginning, this is the first major difficult international issue of great complexity, the world has had to grapple since the arrival of what I might call the new dispensation of which I spoke in my address.

Comment: Howard has completely fallen apart now. By saying that in politics “people don’t declare and come out in favour of something that is being done, they tend to come out against something that they disagree with”, he’s implying that he’s decided to go to war, something he’s denied. If you take him at his word, the matter is unresolved, in which case you’d expect vigorous debate from credible people on both sides of the debate.

In any event, his claim is inaccurate. It’s a standard feature of political debate that before a decision is announced, a government lines up credible non-political figures to praise it on release. And when a government is not winning an important political debate, it’s standard practice to press supporters of its cause to go public. Howard, it seems, has been spectacularly unsuccessful in this endeavour.

The fact that he can think of not one credible non-political figure who supports his position is proof that he’s in deep trouble on the merits. To then outsource the question to the people of Australia to rack there brains over – and on a question of fact, not opinion – is breathtaking. And the fact that he gives the people this responsibility while making it clear he’s perfectly prepared to go to war in the face of contrary public opinion, shows he’s been snookered. For mine, Grant asked the question of the day.

***

Catherine McGrath, AM, PM and World Today: You opened your speech today by talking about terrorism, terrorist groups and you identified Osama bin Laden, you talked about his appalling track record. You then spoke about Iraq and said that if Iraq is not stopped that’s the green light for weapons to pass from terrorists to Iraq. Can I ask you, you’ve made a link between the terrorists’ requests, the terrorists’ desire but you haven’t made a strong link between Iraq or provided any proof that Iraq is seeking to deliver its weapons to terrorists. Can I ask you a two part question – do you have any evidence that you can provide now? Secondly, what about other countries that hold nuclear weapons that may provide opportunities for terrorists, for example, Pakistan which some could argue would have more chance of passing them on?

Howard: Well, can I start with the other countries that have them. I mean, we regret very much that Pakistan and India have nuclear weapons, we made that very clear. I mean, I do have some warm regard for the courage and the stance of General Musharraf in the war against terror. I have great admiration for the risks that he’s taken and the strength he’s displayed. India and Pakistan, to my knowledge, didn’t sign the nuclear non-proliferation treaty and they don’t, to my knowledge, have the same track record as Iraq.

I mean, to compare a country like India which is the probably the – I mean, it’s the largest functioning democracy in the world – with Iraq is very very unfair. And equally, although Pakistan has not had the same familiarity with parliamentary democracy as India, it is nonetheless in many other ways a very very good international citizen. So, I don’t think you can and I think it’s very unfair on both India and Pakistan to draw that analogy.

Catherine, with respect I think you leapt over one of the things I said. I mean, my argument is this in relation to Iraq. Iraq is demonstrably, to use my language, a rogue state. If we don’t make sure that Iraq is disarmed, that of itself will encourage other rogue states to acquire and develop weapons of mass destruction and the more of those states that acquire, the greater inevitably is the likelihood that those weapons are going to get into the hands of terrorists. And when you have on top of that clear evidence, that I mentioned today, that Al Qaeda – the most lethal of the international terrorist organisations – wants to get its hands on, and in fact is doing its own work in relation to those weapons, you know, that to me is pretty compelling.

Now, you say proof, I mean as I say, I can’t prove before an Old Bailey or a Central Criminal Court jury but can I say to you again, I mean if the world waits for that, it’s too late. I mean, that is I said a Pearl Harbour situation.

Comment: He’s on the run. He raises India out of the blue as covering waffle, then finds that his justifications for not seeing India as a threat ruptures his pr-Pakistan case, as Pakistan is a military dictatorship still suspended from the Commonwealth due to the overthrow of the democratic government. To allege that Pakistan – a known financial and military supporter of the Taliban before September 11 – is “a very very good international citizen” is beyond belief.

To the big question. Was there ANY evidence that Iraq is seeking to deliver WMDs to terrorists. The sting in the tale in this question is Andrew Wilkie’s claim that ONA assesses that Saddam could deliver WMDs to terrorists AS A RESPONSE to an invasion. Howard ignores this crucial claim in his speech and in every answer.

Instead, he replies by restating that Iraq is a rogue state, and that there is good evidence that al-Qaeda wants WMDs. From this non-answer he jumps to the admission that he can’t, and shouldn’t have to, provide proof to the criminal standard of beyond reasonable doubt. Sure, but how about some EVIDENCE – even a little bit. He covers over this gap by citing Pearl Harbour. There was no warning of that attack – is Howard saying we have the right to invade another country with no proof at all?

***

Laurie Oakes, Nine Network: I don’t think you answered Catherine’s question, so before I ask mine I’ll ask hers in a slightly different way. We read in the morning papers that you were going to present today evidence from our intelligence agencies of a link between Iraq and terrorists. What happened to that evidence? Why isn’t it in your speech? And since you’ve made no attempt at all to demonstrate a link, are we to assume there is none?

And then my question after you’ve answered that – the speculation that the US and its allies will stop seeking a fresh UN resolution against Iraq before launching military action, Spain one of the co-sponsors has indicated there’s not much point if it’s not going to get through. Is that your information and how do you feel about that?

John Howard: Well, Laurie, in answer to the second question – I’ve had a number of discussions about what’s happening in the UN, the latest information I have is that there is still a very concerted effort being made to get a resolution through. Now, its a fluid situation, things can often change but they’re still trying very hard.

As for the first question, well I read what was in the paper this morning and I’m not entirely responsible for what’s in the newspapers, although I’m sometimes responsible for some of it. I’m perfectly happy to plead guilty to that. What I endeavoured to do today was to do two things – to establish clear evidence that terrorist groups wanted weapons of mass destruction and I think I did that and I think I did that quite convincingly. I’ve never represented to anybody that we could produce what I called Darlinghurst or Old Bailey proof.

Comment: Mike Seccombe details the misrepresentation from John Howard’s office which got him live coverage from Nine and Seven as well as the ABC in All the propaganda that’s fit to hear. Besides getting the free hit on TV, Howard achieved page one headlines and news stories the morning of his speech containing the claim that Howard would detail new evidence of terrorist attempts to seek WMDs (see, for example, the page one lead of the Herald, PM’s final case for war). Howard awkwardly fudges – he doesn’t deny he leaked false info, he doesn’t deny his office leaked false info (he can’t – his audience KNOWS the truth). So he denies something Laurie hadn’t alleged – that the leak was that he’d provide evidence satisfying the criminal onus of proof. He and his office have been caught out in blatant media manipulation. He seems to be learning his media tricks from Bush too – the incident reminds me of senasational, and false, White House leaks to the press before big speeches, for example the security council statement of evidence by Colin Powell. Fake info, dishonest spin. Find the suckers to convince. Get the cheap scores. Sickening. Blowback – full-on cynicism from journalists, who’ll stop taking big deal people at their word.

Colin Powell announced today that the US might renege on Bush’s cast iron guarantee to his people last week that he would force a security council vote – that all members would have to put their cards on the table (US wavers on seeking UN approval for the development). See Cards on the table for Bush’s promise: “Yes, we’ll call for the vote: No matter what the whip count is, we’ll call for a vote. It’s time for people to show their cards.”

Yet Howard yesterday, true to form, avoided the question, which meant he didn’t have to discuss the ramifications of a refusal to seek a vote, as distinct from a defeat on a vote. George Bush, Asutralia’s wartime leader.

***

Tony Wright, The Bulletin: If, as Donald Rumsfeld suggested a couple of days ago, Britain decided not to go ahead in the Gulf. How comfortable would you have been for Australia to be the single deputy to the US in any strike on Iraq? And when you deployed Australian troops in the first place, did you imagine at that time that Australia could still be in the position of being the only other nation that troops in the Gulf, other than the US and Britain, at this time?

Howard: Well, I think it’s – I didn’t see a lot of other countries at that time coming in, although we made our decision based on our own assessment. I mean, as to what the British do is a matter for Britain. What we do is a matter for us. Clearly, the presence of the British there is seen by many Australians as an important supplement to the presence of the Americans. I want to say that the leadership that’s been displayed by Tony Blair on this issue in his own party has been extraordinary and I salute him for that. He’s a very strong Labor leader and I think he deserves a great deal of respect for the very strong attitude that he’s taken. He believes very strongly in what he’s doing – I know that, as I do.

Comment: Why won’t John Howard level with the Australian people? Its stating the bleeding obvious that what Britain does is what Britain does. What would it mean for us? We get an admission that many Australians think it’s important that the Brits fight beside us if there’s a non-UN sanctioned attack, but doesn’t say what he thinks.

***

Karen Middleton, The West Australian: The Chief of the Defence Force, General Cosgrove, gave an undertaking today that he would never lie about the activity of our forces in the Gulf, but he also acknowledged the Defence forces have been generally reluctant to discuss publicly particularly the activity about special forces. I’d like to ask you, can you envisage any circumstances in which you would deem it in the national interest not to tell the truth to the Australian people about our forces activities in the Gulf?

John Howard: Well I haven’t come across them yet. It’s a hard question. I don’t want to mislead the Australian people. Sometimes you have to be careful if the lives of people are at risk and I hope the Australian people would always understand that. But as to whether I would set out deliberately to deceive them, no I hope I never do that.

Comment: Are you comforted by Mr Howard’s ‘hope” that he won’t deliberately deceive the Australian people? Maybe it gets easier with practice.

***

Lincoln Wright, The Canberra Times:

Prime Minister, your speech today strikes me as a clear case for regime change in a sense that youve raised the humanitarian argument about the regime. I think youve backed off a bit from that before. But is it really an addition to your foreign policy armoury now? And my second question is the Americans talk a lot about reshaping the Middle East in terms of geopolitics in Iran, Saudi Arabia. Youve rarely mentioned that, that were buying into that position. Can you comment on that please as well?

John Howard: Well you’re the commentator about what Ive said. But our position on regime change has not changed. But I do think that its necessary in these public presentation of this whole thing for the Australian public to be reminded of the balance of the humanitarian argument because inevitably when the possibility of war looms people talk about the costs of it, and that is naturally human. I mean we all hate it. Anybody who thinks I’m enjoying having to argue this position in the sense that, you know, I like the idea that at some stage this country might be involved in a military conflict, I mean nothing could be further from the truth. I’d much rather be talking to you today even about things like the – the GST’s come and gone, but other things like that, much rather. You know, health policy, having a debate about good water policy with the States, things like that. But I cant do that. But I do want the Australian people to understand that the humanitarian argument is not all on the side of those who are attacking the stance being taken by the Americans and by implication ourselves and the British. And if it does come to military action I believe there is a very powerful case that the humanitarian balance will point to a better life for the Iraqi people without Saddam Hussein because although regime change is not the primary goal of Australian policies, if it is necessary to forcibly disarm Iraq it is axiomatic that the regime will go. I think most people understand that.

But as far as reshaping the Middle East is concerned, well the American Administration can say what it chooses to on that. We’re not necessarily saying exactly the same thing on reshaping the Middle East. I am well known as somebody who is a strong supporter of the State of Israel but Im not an uncritical friend and nobody should be. But I would like to see the re-elected government of Israel, it doesn’t seem to be quite as possible now because of the structure of the coalition, I would like to see as much responsiveness as possible. I do believe in the establishment of an independent Palestinian State. They do have a right to that, and I welcome the cautious moves to appoint a prime minister for Palestinethe Palestinian Council I think you call it, and I hope we get something out of that and I think theres a great hunger around the world and I want to make sure that we keep trying. I think it was a mistake that those representatives of the Palestinian Council were not allowed to participate in that conference in London. But can I just say again, how can you ask the Israelis to reach out to certain initiatives when these suicide bombers keep blowing up kids and university students and everything.

Comment: Can Howard really get away with saying that the US “can say what it chooses on (reshaping the middle-east”? He’s already admitted we’re a close ally, and his actions show that when where the Americans lead he follows on request. And can he really get away the meaningless vagueness of “we’re not necessarily saying exactly the same thing on reshaping the Middle East” How much contempt does he expect the Australian people to cop?

***

James Grubel, AAP: Mr Howard. I just want to follow up on your comments a moment ago about the rules of engagement for Australian forces in the Gulf. Presumably some thought has been given to this, given that events are coming to a head. Can you explain to us now whether there will be limits on will our SAS troops be involved in frontline activities going into Iraq, and can you explain to us will the FA18s over there be limited in the sort of missions they can undertake, or will they be given a free rein to attack Iraqi strongholds?

Howard:

No, well look, I cant go into that detail. Were just running a little bit ahead of ourselves in asking me to go into that detail. But what I was doing was stating the principle, and that is that there will be separate rules of engagement and there will be a targeting policy to be approved if all of those things become necessary, and that that will be determined by Australia. I mean obviously the Defence Minister and I will be very directly involved in that.

Comment: Webdiarist Jack Robertson has focused on the unanswered question of the rules of engagement for quite a while now. The ROE must be in place by now, awaiting a tick when Bush presses the war button. But there can be no discussion on debate, as usual. We’ll be told after Howard sends us to war.

Two letters to the future

Hi. On each side of the war against war, hopes soar, hopes dive, hour by hour now. Resignations abound, timetables slip, and the world waits, mesmerised.

I’m off to Melbourne to record an arts chat show on a book about violent sex and a movie about punk rock – seems crazy stuff to think about now, but the demands of my diary are a comfort of sorts. Life goes on, for now. Back Thursday.

Today’s entry is by a stalwart, always-passionate contributor on the war, Jack Robertson, who’s more directly connected to the war than most as his brother is in the SAS. He’s written two letters to the future – one to John Wojdylo, the other to ‘Brian Dabeagle’, who wrote to Webdiary last week saying he was in the SAS and that Howard had committed the force to war a year ago. (A letter to the SAS?)

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Letters to the future

by Jack Robertson

Dear John Wojdylo,

Mate, I’m not sure why you’re suddenly so inspired to bray somewhat hysterically – like an Andrew Bolt or a Piers Akerman – that Saddam Hussein’s enduring regime is partly my fault, since I am Against Human Rights in Iraq. That I ‘give the green light for dictators.’ That I ‘have failed to consider the viewpoint of the Iraqi people’. That ‘neither [I] nor Amnesty are focussing on the individual’. That I ‘have you not bothered to find out what the Iraqi people think before involving [my]self in actions that would influence their fate’. That ‘Iraqis seeking liberty have become an abstraction to [me] – [I’m] preoccupied with [my] own concerns, in [my] self-centred world, despite the lip-service [I] pay to noble ideals’. That I am ‘clearly imprisoned by the rationalisations inside [my] head, by this self-obsession, and have lost the ability to see the world outside, the world of another person – particularly the world of the Iraqi desiring liberty’.

John, there’s a shameless audacity to this attack that makes me grin a bit nervously, and, even though I said I wasn’t going to jabber on about this foregone conclusion of an invasion any further, overheat the keyboard yet again in long response.

But how the hell do I answer your accusations? Do I whine back at you about much time I spend as Balmain AI co-convener writing letters, articles and appeals, helping run market stalls, collecting furniture, collecting money, collecting members, collecting signatures and advocating on behalf of Iraqi refugees and Iraqi HR-abuse victims – along with a lot of others – who ‘desire liberty’? Or would that be more ‘Western self-obsession’, Western moral preening, Western do-gooder-hood? It strikes me as so.

But I simply have to protest that it’s asking a bit much to expect me to cop it sweet when someone like you tries to blame us anti-invasionists for Saddam. All the warhawks are doing it these days, I notice.

Yeah, you’re not the first pro-war ‘Born-Again Human Rights Believer’ who’s berated me over my refusal to support the act of bombing Baghdad into HR submission, John. Nor, no doubt, will you be the last. ‘Against Human Rights in Iraq’. Jesus.

John – I can’t be sure, but I might just have written my first letter in protest against Saddam’s regime way back in 1983, the year I first joined AI. That was back in the days when Donald Rumsfeld was shaking the man’s hand and selling him weapons, and the Brits were financially-backing his mustard gas factories, knowing exactly what he was up to with the Iranians and the Kurds.

Now you may say ‘let’s forget about those mistakes, let’s get on and make amends now’. Maybe there’s an arguable argument for a Human Rights invasion somewhere, but why do you so desperately need to make it by painting harmless lefty plonkers like me as the HR enemy? Is your case in fact so flimsy and tenuous that you need a ‘bad guy’ against which to set it firmer? Must I – to prove my HR credentials to your satisfaction – climb heartily aboard your Iraq invasion bandwagon?

In any case, mate, a few minor points: As far as AI itself is concerned, they, as usual, have ‘no position’ on the power-politics of the invasion. I only disclosed my involvement with AI – while making it clear that my views were personal – because the piece I wrote at the time was a response to an earlier attack, on the same grounds as yours now, on HR groups in general (Take a risk for human rights: Back Bush).

I wasn’t then and am not now arguing on behalf of anyone but myself. Incidentally, I’m not a ‘senior’ person in AI. I’m the co-convener of a volunteer grass-roots group which has about eight active members. I can’t remember seeing too many pro-war hawks at our last public letter-writing day, either. Why is it that HR only becomes important to so many neo-cons when there’s a sexy war to fight in its name?

If you wish to know more about my general views on HR, then go back over the Webdiary archives and read some of my stuff from the Tampa time. If you want to know how I’d deal with Saddam’s hateful regime, read my alternative plan (Looking for John Curtin).

You’ll notice that my explicit aim in that (two-month-old) alternative is to get rid of Saddam. A plan which, contrary to your other claims, cheerfully and pragmatically employs the Great Satan’s (very handy, sometimes) military power, and in a far more moral, intelligent and focussed HR way than full-scale invasion and occupation will (oh, and I get the UN to pay the bill for the Yanks, too). That is, it’s anything but ‘Utopian’.

Sorry to mess up your knee-jerk lefty stereotyping, John, but I spent a good deal of my time in uniform finding practical solutions to real-world problems – floods, bushfires, aerial search-and-rescues, the odd delicate ‘crowd situation’, h/c medical evacuations, and so on.

It’s you, I think, who are the real Utopian – vague, assertive, short-sighted, unpractical, seeming to believe that an invasion will magically ‘cure everything’, even if it’s run by, and/or for the partial benefit of, oil ‘parasites’, to use your term.

You’re blindly hoping for the best, John, and not remotely preparing for the worst. Others – men like my brother and ‘Brian Dabeagle’ – will have to deal with that. You’ll notice that no-one has mentioned RULES OF ENGAGEMENT yet, by the way. Thoughts, John? Which ‘Iraqis desiring liberty’ shall we have these men kill in our names, mate, and which not? And how will we have them tell the difference in the heat of combat? Do you remotely care, John? Or is it their ‘real world problem’ to solve alone, out there on the solitary battlefields?

And my kind of plan is also far, far more likely to achieve a good HR and democracy outcome in Iraq in the long run than yours, mate, since mine involves a degree of active Iraqi participation, rather than simply a passive acceptance of your Western ‘largesse’, and the imposition of an external military/expatriate government.

You’ll agree that the West didn’t bring the Wall down by bombing Leipzig flat first; the inspiration and some assistance came from the West, sure, but the true, lasting urge for freedom welled up from within. That was certainly how all the people of Dresden still saw things when I lived there eight years later.

It was the same case with East Timor. And in every other post-war liberation that has stuck, too. You can’t democratise a country by imposed force, mate, any more than you can smack a child into adulthood. You’re supposed to inspire, demonstrate, show, lead by brilliant example.

After WW2, until now, that’s just how the gentle, democratic West, wherever in the unfree world it has achieved lasting results, has done it: by lifting struggling, rising Peoples up with a helping hand, mate, not smashing them further down with a swinging fist, in the vague hope that we’ll create an entirely new People in our own image from the pile of hard-smote corpses.

‘Shock and Awe’, and then proud, strong self-determination for Iraqis? More like dulled, numbed submission, I would have thought, John. Or angry, anarchic rejection. But we shall see.

But did you actually bother to read my alternative plan for the use of the West’s power, before you decided to declare me a self-obsessed, Utopian, pro-Saddam ignoramus who was too pathetic to try to exercise it at all? Does my willingness to use military force – intelligently – to help the Iraqi people save me from your stern lecture? Does it put me on the side of the righteous war angels? No? You’re either with-us-or-against-us, Jack?

Back to writing wussy HR letters for me, I suppose. I wonder if I will be excluded, by the triumphant warhawks, from any immediate post-Saddam celebrations that take place in Iraq? In the same way that John Howard and the neo-conservatives retrospectively appropriated the cause of the East Timorese, after a lifetime of opposing their independence.

Those like John Pilger and Noam Chomsky and Tom Uren and my Balmain AI predecessors and countless others, who spent thankless wilderness years trying to keep that issue in the global spotlight, might as well never have existed as far as the ‘pragmatists’ of the world were concerned. And now in East Timor, as in Afghanistan, the warhawks have wandered off again, uninterested in the longer-term security of that new nation, not particularly worried by what the militia might get up to in the future.

Because you’ll note, John, that the Australian government who so nobly ‘gave’ the East Timorese their independence have not wasted much time in stiffing them over the Timor Gap. Have a read of the Downer transcript over at www.crikey.com.au, mate; are these the kind of ‘free’ negotiations that await the newly ‘free’ people of Iraq when it comes to the untapped Western Desert oilfields, I wonder?

Is this what our SAS soldiers will soon be fighting for in Iraq? So that a pompous, silver-spoon prat like Downer can deliver the ‘free’ Iraqis a smug ‘lesson in democratic politics’, too? Is this the way to help ensure that those fiercely-independent, proud East Timorese do not rise against the Colonialists again?

Can’t you see the mistakes we risk making? It’s one thing for a fledgling democratic government to accept a skewed revenue split on disputed Greater Sunrise resources in the name of short-term ‘realpolitik’. It’s quite another to expect that the fledgling democratic people beneath it will do the same in the longer run. How long before the anger filters down, and up, again? How long before such rank neo-paternalism starts to bite?

You warhawks keep wanting to use force to bring stability to the unstable world. Sometimes, as in East Timor, force is needed; yet you then seem unable or unwilling to treat the newly-stable world with fairness and honesty and decency in the long-term, which is the only way it is ever going to become permanently stable. Australia and East Timor are now both equally part of the world community of the free; except that Australia is still more equal and free than East Timor, and Downer has just arrogantly and publicly rubbed the militia’s noses in it. How stupid are we? And do you think the Indonesian masses, the estranged, resentful ones who might be drawn to groups like JI especially, won’t draw ugly conclusions from such strutting, private-schoolboy behaviour?

John, there is an ugly dishonesty at work in your attack on me: I don’t agree with your plans for carpet-bombing Baghdad into freedom; ergo, I must be ‘against Human Rights in Iraq’. These tactics, so typical of your side in this debate, hit me like a battering ram. A righteous club. An intellectual cosh. It’s childish nonsense, but it’s impossible to counter, and that’s exactly why this invasion is going ahead. We just can’t hold back a zealous, charging steamroller with logic, reason, fact, foresight, or careful thinking about what exactly we’re unleashing in the longer term.

But enough about me, John. (A touch self-obsessive, no?) Mate, there are many Iraqis, here in Australia, around the world, and in Iraq, too, who don’t share your views that we in the West should ‘liberate’ Iraq by pure brute force. This debate is dividing Iraqis, just as much as it is dividing the rest of us.

Which is the more arrogant decision to make on behalf of them? To invade and occupy their country, or not to invade and occupy their country? Neither of us can say. I simply don’t know what ‘most’ Iraqis want. To live in a free and just country, certainly; but how, exactly? And does a ‘free’ and ‘just’ Iraq mean different things to a Shi’ite, a Ba’athist, a Kurd, a Persian, an Arab, a gay, a woman, an Israel-hating and a Western-expatriate Iraqi? I bet it does.

But you tell me, John. You’re the one about to summarily take over the joint, and tell everyone who lives there what ‘free’ and ‘just’ is going to mean to them all, from now on. I wish you luck. Personally, I just don’t know what all the many different, individual Iraqis want. Maybe they don’t yet, either.

Although we can make confident judgements about what they don’t want; to be tortured, beaten, imprisoned, raped, executed. Or blown to smithereens by a Tomahawk cruise missile, John. You’re quite wrong about AI, by the way – concentrating on individuals is exactly what our little group does.

We identify specific cases of HR abuse, and try to target those. Why? Because we can be sure of individual HR-abuse when we see it. What we can’t be so sure of is the ‘big picture’, the ‘sweeping solution’ that people like you – the real Utopians – love so much. That’s why AI has no over-reaching position on the ultimate pros and cons of this invasion and occupation. Though respect for international laws and covenants and organisations, however imperfect, does remain the fundamental basis for its work, and its best hope for the future.

We all want to ‘do something to help Iraq’, John, but we just don’t know what that might mean, perhaps beyond getting rid of Saddam. Or perhaps not, too. Or how we are going to go about ‘doing something to help Iraq’ once we have done that first bit, or even in fact whether our summary ‘getting rid of Saddam’ in this all-conquering, humiliating way isn’t going to make ‘doing something to help Iraq’ forever-after impossible for us. We just don’t know what all the twenty-three million individual Iraqis want, John. I don’t, anyway.

Still, pro-invasionists like you get bored by plodding, case-by-case grass-roots work. You crave the quick fix, the instant HR revolution, the ‘grand vision’, the control-freak external imposition of democratic order, freedom, justness. But because the Iraqi internal question is such a complex one, you’re all a bit confused about your good intentions; even Tony Blair – the great moral, Just War Crusader – is now once again suggesting that Saddam can in fact stay in power if he simply disarms fully.

I’m sorry, I’m now all confused again. This is your problem, John. For all your pompous bluster, none of you war-hawks have a clue what your invasion aim really is. Is it a WMD invasion? Is it a regime change invasion? Is it a democratisation invasion? A HR invasion? A terrorism-busting invasion? As Somalia should have shown us, having no clear, constant aim is a recipe for a humanitarian disaster.

I reject Margo’s claim that ‘it doesn’t matter what the reason for the war is if its effect is to liberate the Iraqi people’. That’s a dishonest, dangerous, backwards way of writing it, Margo. It’s true enough if the second clause does end up prevailing, but putting it that way leaves everything to chance, makes everything absolutely a hostage to ever-changing fortune. If we wish to make sure that the effect of the invasion is to liberate the Iraqi people, then we MUST start by saying: “The aim of this invasion is to liberate the Iraqi people’, first and foremost, and all else comes second.” Otherwise, conflicting aims interfere with each other. Then we must ask ourselves: what does liberating the Iraqi people mean? Installing a military government? Installing an expatriate crook like Chalabi as leader? Making a hell of a big mess, and then asking the UN to help clean it up?

John, what if our imposed liberation leads to a polite request from the newly-liberated people of Iraq to hand over fully-nationalised control of their newly-liberated oilfields? (Cf: Downer’s patronising ‘approval’ of the East Timorese government’s embrace of private firms to run their gasfields.) Or what if a majority-Shia democratic government decides they do not wish to award the Halliburton Oil Services company their oilfield reconstruction contracts? What if they prefer to have the Chinese, the Russians, the French do it? Or what if the Kurds decide they wish to assume control of Kirkuk? What if the new Iraqi government has no desire to smash OPEC? In short, John, what happens when ‘liberation’ means that serious conflict arises between the ‘invasion oil parasites’ and the ‘invasion democrats’? Who do you think will prevail? How do you think the Iraqis – all the different and conflicting groupings there will be – will respond? Will the Iraqis consider themselves truly ‘liberated’? These are real-world questions, John. This is what awaits us post-Saddam.

As you yourself point out, the politics of oil and the politics of Iraq – of the whole Gulf – have always been impossible to separate. Yet it has nearly always been the politics of oil that has prevailed in the region, and (now) disastrously so for the West. The long-term hegemony of oil over democracy in Saudi Arabia is, if we care to tell ourselves the truth, precisely what gave us al-Qaeda in the first place. What makes you so blithely sure that this invasion, run almost exclusively by oil men, is going to make Iraq turn out differently?

This is the whole point of my obsession with the black, sticky stuff in the Persian Gulf, John. The long-term ramifications of how the globalised world shares its spoils around. Not because I care less which oil-men get rich and which don’t – American, French, Russian, Chinese, British, is not the point. But because I don’t wish to be blown up by resentful Iraqi-born al-Qaeda terrorists in the future, any more than I wish to be blown up by resentful Saudi-born al-Qaeda terrorists now. Or Indonesian-born ones. Or Pakistani. Or East Timorese. We simply cannot keep treating non-Western Peoples as lesser Peoples, John. Not in the name of realpolitik – or human rights, or democratisation, or any other nice words, for that matter. Nice words are just nice words. Actions count. Our long-term actions in Iraq will count most of all.

The first Principle of War is ‘selection and maintenance of the aim’. If we don’t know and state clearly exactly what we are going into Iraq to achieve, then we go into Iraq inviting confused, anarchic disaster. We CANNOT put our soldiers into a pre-emptive combat zone on the basis of ‘suck it and see’, mate. Are they liberators? Peace-keepers? Peace-makers? Humanitarian aid workers? Nuke-busters? Counter-terrorists? (What are their Rules of engagement?)

Or are they just oil conquerers? I suggest to you, John, that in the absence of any rigid, limiting and public clarification of the aim from the Western warhawks – before you start this pre-emptive war – this last description is the only one that long history will ultimately recognise as fitting. I hope very much that I am proven wrong, and you are proven right.

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Margo: I published an email last week from ‘Brian Dabeagle’, who said he was an Australian SAS officer. I do not know if it is genuine. The email follows, then Jack’s reply.

I am a currently serving soldier in Australia’s Special Air Service Regiment (SAS) and believe me it has taken weeks, if not months of agonised soul searching as I have tried to decide whether to make my views public or not.

As you can understand, if my identity is revealed, my career (in a job that I love) is finished and as such I have taken some steps to protect my identity. However, some of the information that is in this email is not on the public record (but not vital to operational security) and can be checked to confirm my bona fides. I write this because I am sick of John Howard and the Federal Government’s lies about our position re Iraq and our role within the coalition.

By the time that you read this, it is quite possibly too late to influence the outcome of events regarding our involvement, but at the very least maybe one of you guys may have the courage to make the public a little more aware of what really is happening regarding our (the SAS) role in this conflict.

John Howard stated that we had only recently started preparing for this looming conflict. Bullshit! We, that is, 1 SAS Squadron (please refer to it as One SAS Squadron, not 1st SAS or anything else) were given orders to prepare for a war with Iraq around July 2002.

The Australian Special Air Service Regiment was specifically asked for by US planners after they had observed our performance in Afghanistan, where we demonstrated a capability that had been neglected by other Special Forces units who until recently had deemed it obsolete. Our skills in what is termed Strategic Reconaissance (SR) are unsurpassed by any other Special Forces unit in the world. This includes other so called Tier 1 (a system of rating free world Special Forces units devised by the yanks – Tier 1 being the highest rating) units, including the Brit SAS, US Delta and US Dev Group units.

What happened was we were initially deployed into areas deemed ‘clean’ by the coalition as we were viewed by the US command as really just a token gesture made by the Australian Government (as was our deployment to Kuwait in 98). We were also viewed as an ‘unknown’ quantity as our last real operational deployment working with the yanks was Vietnam. But, because we had maintained the skills of remaining ‘behind the lines’ for much longer periods without resupply or external support, we started to find things that had remained un-noticed by the coalition. Taliban & al Qaida forces started to reappear in the areas we operated in, thinking the area was secure. And, we started to find things that had been missed by the coalition as they passed through. Our discoveries led to some of the coalition’s biggest successes and suddenly the US planners started to realise that we were providing a service that they no longer had the capability to provide AS EFFECTIVELY.

Consequently and as a result of our operations in Afghanistan the relationship between the Australian SAS and our US counterparts is closer than at any time in our history. It is because of our ability to provide a service to the US effort that CANNOT be as effectively carried out by US forces that we were specifically asked for by the Pentagon right at the start of planning. Our role in this conflict is crucial to the outcome and there is no way that we can be taken out of the conflict without seriously affecting the US operational capability. Our planning was at such an advanced stage that whilst the parliamentary debate was raging, we were already into advanced planning of specific targets (not just general planning, but actual targets and operations) … quite contrary to what John Howard was stating. Without going into too much detail (for obvious reasons) what we will be doing is absolutely vital to the successful prosecution of the war. There is no way we are going to be withdrawn. This is nothing like Kuwait in 98, back then we were “untested” in the eyes of the yanks, now we are crucial to their plans.

So why am I sending you this? Because I am proud to be a professional soldier (not a nazi as I felt on the Tampa) and relish the job that I do, but I am concerned that as a human being that the war we are about to embark on is wrong. As important is the fact that I think that Howard is pandering to the will of that redneck Bush, without considering the long term consequences of this action, not just for Australia but for the whole world. He is lying to Parliament, he is lying to the people of Australia and no doubt he will lie to the dependents of any of us who don’t come back. This Government has a history of the latter as Kylie Russell, Jerry Bampton and the next of kin of the Blackhawk disaster can attest to.

As I mentioned at the start of the email, I think that maybe it is too late to do anything to affect our deployment, but at least if the truth as to our build up and deployment is made public, maybe it will give the parliament and the people of Australia food for thought.

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Dear Brian Dabeagle,

I’m writing this letter working on the assumption that you are genuine. Your comments about operations in Afghanistan ring true, even if your claimed identity is in fact not; especially your allusions to the Seppo’s loss of capacity (or appetite) for bandit country recce ops longer than a couple of days at a time. (Guess those poor wannabe Tom Cruises start to pine for their PX Big Macs, huh?)

But then this sort of information – about the differences between US and Brit-Oz Spec Ops philosophy, in these tech-heavy times – is, as you yourself note, hardly a state secret. So if you’re not who you say you are – if you’re just some shit-stirrer with an interest in the SAS and an axe to grind (because you failed the Cadre course, say) – then you are beneath my contempt, mate. Especially for your references to the Regiment’s past casualties, including the Blackhawk disaster. If you are not in fact truly one of ‘your’ guys as you claim you are, you are making a public fool of me here, and a mockery of the history the Regiment and AAAvn have long shared.

But in fact those SAS NOK names you mention are partly why I choose to take you at face value. None of us like to throw the names of departed comrades around lightly. Nor, as you note, is it an easy thing for a proud professional soldier to break ranks and try to send a rocket up the lazy, ignorant, uncaring Citizens in whose name he is being sent off to fight by a thoroughly opportunistic and cowardly government.

The content of your letter tallies with my experiences of working with the SAS and the Yanks (albeit yonks ago now), and of my own readings of official and public information (especially re Operation Anaconda). So I will take you at your word. More fool me if you’re a sad cyber-con-artist, I guess. It won’t be the first time I’ve made a fool of myself due to a natural excess of Citizenly idealism.

Brian, I just wanted to say thanks for risking everything. I don’t mean your next promotion, either; I mean the whole ‘Andy McNab’ thing. (You will know what I mean.) The greatest asset the SAS Regiment has is its fraternal closeness, its tightness, its low, low profile (even though Howard’s men have made you jump through so many public hoops lately. What simpering Army PR clown agreed to put your medal-winners on the front page of the f**king national newspapers, mate?). But if you’re worried that you may now have run against that close-knit grain yourself, then don’t.

Mate, for what my opinion is worth, what you’ve tried to do is priceless leadership. Real leadership. Looking after the interests of the soldiers under your command. Christ knows that Peter Cosgrove – such a tamed, politicised pawn these days (an Australian General presenting Logies???) – just doesn’t seem interested in that side of soldiering, anymore. Apparently.

Mate, I agree with your implied view that this government has nothing but contempt for our professional soldiery. Howard, Reith, Max Moore-Wilton, Miles Jordana, Jane Halton – these grubby civilians have been cynically using you and our Navy and our Air Force as political tools for ages, now. If it all turns to shit in Iraq, there is every chance they will duck for cover all over again, just as they all did during the children overboard fiasco, and leave your boys flapping in the wind.

So what you did by writing to Margo and Bob Brown may not achieve much, but it was necessary, and it was right, and it was in the very best traditions of the Australian officer corps. (And WHAT, by the way, are your bloody CO and your RSM up to these days? Why don’t THEY get off their arses and start protecting their soldiers’ interests, too? Or are they sycophantic political placemen by now, too? Where’s a Jim Wallace when you need him?)

Again for what it’s worth, I’ve tried hard and often in the past to get answers out of Howard and his useless gaggle of tamed backbench arse-lickers. You might have read my latest letter to him, over Christmas last year, about the Tampa stuff, about the various HR accusations which have left your guys exposed, undefended, and no doubt feeling angry. Dave Marr’s book on all that comes out today. I hope he hasn’t stiffed you guys. I don’t think he will have.

My brother – if you’re for real, you’ll know him well – and I have never spoken much about what went on up north. He is well aware that I write for Webdiary, and knowing that I have become a bit of a wet, HR-Lefty in my post-AAAvn career, he is ruthlessly tight-lipped about the sensitive Op. stuff when we communicate now, which is pretty rarely, anyway. (If you’re for real, you’ll know why. Incidentally, if any of the Regimental boys bad-mouth him on account of me and my sad civvy grandstanding-by-association here, tell them to f**k off. I can assure you that he spills no unit fraternal stuff to a shiny-bum like me. He thinks I’m a bit of a wet-Lefty himself, actually. He is relentlessly schtum and proper.)

But one personal thing he did once casually say in passing is that he went up to the Tampa/Manoura fiasco ‘prepared to lose his job’ over it, if necessary. For mine, that grubby episode – the one during which this government made you feel like a Nazi – remains the most disgusting misuse of a world-class Special Operations asset by any Australian politician, ever. Howard – the self-proclaimed ‘ANZAC’s mate’ – pissed on the Regiment during that affair, Brian. Just as his government pissed on our Navy, via Operation Relex.

I’ve attached below for your wry bemusement the letter I received in reply to my Xmas greetings to the PM, mate. It came not from the PM himself, of course – like most pollies these days, he likes to construct an arse-covering ‘paper-chase buffer’ between himself and the real world – but from some minor functionary. Note the weaselly language. Note the complete ignoring of the core requests about HR abuse, and the buck-passing of responsibility to a Federal Court that this government usually treats with contempt. Note the sheer dulling meaninglessness of it. The utter disconnection from reality, the ‘one-way, on-message, spin delivery’, completely bereft of any engagement with the questions I asked.

If you received a wafty, waffly reply like that to an O-Group ‘question of fact’ from one of your dopey troopers, you’d kick him from arsehole to breakfast, and rightly so. Sloppy language leads to sloppy ops, mate. Nice words mean nothing. Actions count – as your pointers to those casually-ignored NOK names underscores. A dead soldier’s widow gets a dead soldier’s scrawny pension. Peter Reith runs away from the Tampa Senate Enquiry, with a raised middle finger for the Australian public on one hand, and a massive golden handshake from the tax-payer in the other. Straight into a lucrative consultant’s job shifting units for Tenix Defence Industries. All the while, protected by our ‘ANZAC’s hero’ PM. It sucks. And no-one in the press gallery gives a blind shit for more than ten seconds.

But the rubbish, bureacratic response below is in exactly the same vein in which this Prime Minister refuses to debate the issue of Iraq in Parliament, or answer media questioning about our involvement because it’s all still ‘hypothetical’. I wonder if the Welfare Officers back in Perth are having much luck calming the Regiment’s wives with that one, mate! No, he simply goes on controlled, friendly, talkback radio stations, and condescendingly chook-feeds us Australian Citizens, in whose collective name you will soon kill fellow human beings, his meaningless bullshit, without any return pressure at all.

A new age of magic interpretation of the world, Brian, in which all that matters is that the powerful retain control of the means by which they ensure that their interpretation of the world is the one that is most widely promulgated. “I acknowledge your concerns about these allegations and wish to assure you that the government has acted decisively but compassionately to protect Australia’s territorial integrity.” The second clause entirely disconnected from the first. Weak public language. Dead public language. ‘Nice’ words, backed up by ZERO action to investigate the damning claims made against you, our soldiers, much less to defend you with pro-active linguistic precision. The kind of moribund, dulled, vacuous public language that Heinrich Heine, and George Orwell, and every other writer worth reading, recognises is both necessary precursor to, and braying harbinger of, yet more of mankind’s ‘accidental’ inhumanity to man.

Death by default, mate; falling into war, simply because our public leaders refuse to speak precisely and bluntly in timely time. Waffle, waffle, buck-pass, lie, spin, waffle – then bang. (Oh – are we at war?)

Yes, apparently we’re at war already, mate: ‘The War On Terror’, Brian. What a crock of shit. Have you ever come up against one of them nasty ‘Terrors’ in combat, mate? Goodness! Whatever does a ‘Terror’ look like? However does one kill a ‘Terror’? H&K burst? Glock double-tap? Wombat gun? With helpless f**king laughter?

And does the meaningless, disconnected, surreal, bureaucratic pap below from this faceless Howard underling – in response to my urgent queries about internationally-promulgated HRW allegations that you and your men ‘beat refugees with batons and used unnecessary force against vulnerable refugees’ on the Tampa – fill you with confidence now, mate, as you head off to help start the most unpopular war in Australia’s history? A REAL one, this time, not a convenient ‘wag the dog’ one: a war on terror when it should still just be a fight against crime (one we are winning, too, closing in on Osama’s murdering thugs). Do you feel happier going into pre-emptive battle, knowing that this ‘Mr Richard Sadleir – Deputy Secretary, International Division, DPM&C’ is standing right behind you?

Oh yeah, and if this war does go badly, rest assured that the right-wing media – especially the rah-rah war-bloggers and the Murdoch Press – will run for cover just as quickly as the neo-con politicians and their pet paper-shufflers do, mate. You watch the buck-passing explode onto the broadsheets.

In fact, it’s already going on now – pre-emptively you could say. Even blokes like Paul Kelly and Dennis Shanahan are backing off a bit now, lobbing the hot ‘non-UN invasion’ hand grenade strictly in Howard’s direction, as they recognise that just maybe the Bushies are nuts, after all. The Australian is re-trumpeting its ‘kids overboard’ scoop in a vaguely anti-Howard riff; even Greg Sheridan’s mostly gone back to whining about disengagement with Asia – another oblique hack at Howard.

They’re all setting themselves up with escape routes, Brian; all getting in a position to re-adjust their stances, their focus, their personal Op Ed ‘spin’ so that if this all goes strategically wrong, they can stay on top of ‘public debate’ by shifting seamlessly, without a backwards glance, to other issues.

The Australian political media is starting to look ahead, mate. To Costello, to Abbot, to the post-Howard era, to ‘ongoing economic reform’. It’s a bit pathetic, I know, but that’s the way the Baby Boomer Op Ed leaders have learned over the years to work the McLuhanite Mass Meeja game, mate. Play along with stirring up a newsworthy ‘event’ – a leadership tiff, a little war, a ‘law and order’ panic – and then stand back tut-tutting and sighing as the rest of us (especially our pollies) try to cope with whatever it all unleashes. Always tearing off their acres of copy, yet never actually getting involved in making our society better themselves. Modern political journalism is the ultimate freeloader’s career, Brian. The ultimate way to get close to the dirty action without having to get your own hands the slightest bit dirty. The ultimate ‘public eye’ contact sport, all with no risks attached.

Howard will go down one day, just as Keating, Hawke, Fraser, Whitlam, McMahon and Gorton went down. Yet Laurie Oakes is still in there, tearing down a Cheryl Kernot just for kicks, just for a Walkley. Alan Ramsey – who once upon a time was gutsy enough to stand up in Parliament and shout ‘You LIAR!’ when a politician told a lie on the public record – is still there, still trying to help take down our elected political leaders (back then it was Gorton, now it’s Crean).

These guys learned this trade from Alan Reid – maybe the first and most devious, shit-stirring, game-playing modern political journalist in Australia’s long line of devious, shit-stirring, game-playing, modern political journalists. There’s been plenty of good journos, too – men like Neale Davis and Greg Shackleton, who knew what war was, and ALWAYS screamed the truth about it in public, as loud as they possibly could.

There’s still plenty of good ones now, too, but they’re all too cowed, or cowardly, or self-interested, or just plain ignorant to give a shit about a letter like yours. You’ll notice, mate, that no-one has really touched it, not even Margo. Even though – if it turns out that you are for real – what you say about SAS planning would expose this government’s posturing, and thus Bush’s and Blair’s too, as the purely convenient bullshit that it really is.

But then maybe the whole lying edifice of justification for invasion – the WMD, the UN resolutions, the HR, the ‘democracy for the Middle East’, the ‘last chances’, the ‘real and present danger’ – might tumble down, too. Some stories, mate, are maybe a little too hot, especially those where the press is implicated, too.

Who are these journalist colleagues of yours, Margo, and where exactly do they get off freeloading like this on the rest of us? Why do you get to be the gate-keepers of public truth? Why are some things off-the-record, and some things on-the-record? Why is it that you, and you alone, get to decide which becomes a public spectacle, and which remains an insider’s secret – Sheridan’s cosy off-the-record chats with Kissinger, Keating’s Kirribilli Pact, Hawkie’s shenanigans in office, Richo’s backroom doings, all the little open secret Canberra goings-on that, by withholding them from us, make your lot feel bigger and more important than the rest of us? Why do YOU get to decide that Cheryl Kernot’s private emails are worthy of placing on the public record, Laurie Oakes, but that Brian Dabeagle’s public letter is not? Have you tried to check it out? If not, why not?

And then there is modern war, the ultimate media-insider’s spectacle now. Do you ever wonder how the average Australian or American would react to seeing some of the insider combat footage from the first Gulf War, Brian, the un-CNN-sanitised stuff? The savage, disproportionate, technically-triumphant butchery that goes on nowadays, all in the name of gentle democracy? ‘Smart bombs’. ‘Shock and Awe’. ‘Full spectrum dominance’. Do we the people understand what this actually looks like? Jesus Christ – you simply have to laugh bitterly at our trusting ignorance, don’t you. Or else you’d probably cry.

And it’s bitterly ironic, Brian, in a sick post-modern kind of way: as the ‘new journalism’ becomes more and more invasive and pervasive and ubiquitous and instantaneous in peacetime, we get to see less and less of what happens in wartime than we used to. So much ‘Reality TV’, so little plain, old-fashioned reality on TV.

Carmen Lawrence has written about this on this site. We’ll see almost nothing of this war’s violence, even though, in Iraq, there’ll be thousands of war correspondents swarming the joint. And every single one of them, even the good ones, will be desperate to make their names from all the death and destruction that unfolds. They’ll want to be the next Peter Arnett, or Richard Carlton, or Martin Bell, or Walter bloody Cronkite, or whoever. Try not to think too much about the big bucks, the future book deals, the Larry King interviews and the celebrity the more opportunistic, the more successful among them will doubtless extract from this next bloody, newsworthy event, mate, as you help put the bloody show on for their and our dirty, vicarious pleasure. (Maybe you should write a book yourself, like McNab, and make a killing from the killing too, mate. Why not? Everyone else, from CNN down, will be. Better retirement plan than a pissant widow’s pension, I would have thought.)

Since East Timor, and especially right now, the media can’t get enough of you guys. (Makes a change from when I was in, I s’pose.) But never forget one thing, Brian: exposing a military f**k-up is a major, name-making news coup, and this time around the Gulf paddock, you will probably not get any leeway from the Press, if there’s a Pulitzer or a Walkley in the offing.

Underlying public opinion is largely ambivalent about this war, for one thing, which means that explicit public opinion is highly-unstable, and will turn viciously if it doesn’t go near-perfectly well. And if there’s one thing that the commercial Press especially hates above all else, mate, it’s to be on the wrong side of public opinion for too long.

If it turns to shite, the Murdochians will swing against the whole misadventure in a flash. Just remember that when our boys really needed his support, the pompous Piers Akerman was throwing pig’s blood at our Vietnam soldiers and calling them ‘mercenaries’. Back then, of course, the smart, ambitious journo made his name by being anti-war, not pro-war. Times change, mate! Either way, I’ll guarantee you now that most Boomer journalists of his latter-day pro-war ilk simply won’t be much help in making damned sure that the politicians and the press, and not the soldiers, shoulder responsibility when some angry Iraqi calls one of your diggers a baby-killer, and might even have the accidental grounds to do so.

Nope; you won’t get top cover from these tame media clowns any more than you’ll get top cover from the PM’s office. If Regimental NOK really have been screwed around by this government, then dear Piers has hardly gone out of his way to help publicise their plight, has he. Nor has Miranda Devine, who at the time of one Regimental combat death you mentioned made a huge meal of it with a resoundingly patriotic column, you might recall.

These pro-war journalists are not the soldier’s friend, Brian. Their own upward career trajectories are simply far too precious for them to ever admit they got something wrong. So if it does go wrong in Iraq, they will simply quietly move on to other matters as the current politicians retire quietly, and they will end up taking no responsibility at all. The war they have pushed for, pushed hard and long to help make happen, will retrospectively become simply an inevitable, ill-judged, well-meaning (but disastrous, tut-tut) piece of old news. They’ll ignore its aftermath, just as they are now ignoring Afghanistan’s aftermath.

In the world of ‘new journalism’, mate, there is no such thing as truth or history, there is no yesterday and no tomorrow. There is only what gets written today. Aging Boomer journos and intellectuals and ‘celebrity thinkers’ never die or fade away, Brian. They just keep putting a fresh sheet of A4 in their typewriters and printers, keep tap-tapping merrily on, forever retrospectively changing their opinions and their opinion-histories as they go, changing with the times and the newsworthy trends to stay in the risk-free public game.

Still, for what it’s worth, Brian, I take you at face value, and I take your going public like this so seriously it hurts, even if no-one else does. If you’re a fake who’s just made a dickhead of me, then good for you. I hope you feel pleased with yourself, now. But those who haven’t served in uniform – and especially in the SAS – will find it very hard to grasp the magnitude of what it is you’ve done, and as a former officer I cannot accept the possibility, if you are for real, that no-one will acknowledge your gutsy attempt to tell the truth publicly, and what it has cost you to do so. So I take you at your word, and say again: thanks for trying, mate. Excuse me if I’m being a bit presumptuous or over-the-top, but I promise you I’ll continue to make a fool of myself, doing whatever I can, in whatever bloody public forum I can find some space in, to make sure you and your soldiers are not let down by this government, its compliant media, and we the Australian people, whatever happens in Iraq. ‘Whatever I can’ probably won’t be much at all, mate. My stupid letters to our politicians and our press will probably continue to be ignored, as usual, as the self-obsessed rantings of a borderline green-pen loon. Sigh.

But the really important thing to take on board is this, I think: right now there are hundreds and hundreds of thousands of us nobody Australian ‘loons’ who, while we may oppose this invasion vehemently, are rock-solid in our support of you and your colleagues personally. We are with you personally with a white-hot, Australian passion. And there is NO WAY we are going to allow you guys to carry the can for what we vehemently oppose being done in our names in the first place, and especially for whatever might go badly wrong with it.

So go onto the two-way in Iraq with one thought only. You have a job to do for now. Just do it, and do it as well and as humanely as you can. You will simply be fulfilling your part of the paradoxical bargain the professional soldier of a civilised country makes with his Citizens – to commit uncivilised acts in our name, when we, the non-violent guardians of our shared civilisation, ask you to. It is up to us, not you, to take full responsibility as a society for those uncivilised acts, even those of us who don’t support you being there, or being there in the pre-emptive way that you will be there. If it turns out that they were unnecessary and ill-judged uncivilised acts, or in grave error, then the responsibility will then especially lie with us.

You may have no useful top cover from our politicians and our press, Brian, but I am utterly sure – having marched in the peace rallies a few weekends ago and having heard nothing but deep concern and support, among those gentle civilised crowds, for you and your men – that you have buckets and buckets of top cover from the Australian people.

We will do our best to make sure that the responsibility for, and any subsequent moral pain resulting from, this war is – unlike all other wars before – appropriately shouldered by the people who have made this war happen. I hope whatever it is that you and your men are ordered to do in Iraq turns out brilliantly, for both Iraq and the West, mate, and that the likes of John Wojdylo get to consign the likes of me to the dustbin of history with a vindicated sneer.

I truly hope my opposition to this invasion and occupation, and especially my oil obsessions, end up making exactly the self-obsessed, Western loser of me that John claims I am. Better that I turn out to be hysterically wrong, and then simply go away and shut up, than that I turn out to be right.

Good luck, Brian. Stay sharp. Safe return. Say hi to my ratbag brother if you see him around the place.

Warmest regards,

(Stephen John) Jack Robertson

Captain AAAvn, 1987-1994

***

PS: A pathetic post-script. Here is the final, operative paragraph of my Christmas letter to our leader:

To that end, I respectfully request you to a) publicly respond on behalf of my brother and his ADF colleagues to the HR abuse accusations in the HRW Report, and do your best to ensure that the mainstream press gives that response the fullest coverage; b) publicly state for the record – ‘before the fact’, so to speak – that responsibility for any such accusations against any member of our ADF that are subsequently proven lies ultimately not with them, but with you, your Ministers and your government for placing them in such difficult, non-military situations in the first place; and c) re-affirm that all past, present and future activities relating to ‘border protection’, on the part of our soldiers, sailors and airman, along with our AFP and ASIO, have been, are, and will continue to be, carried out with your government’s full authorisation, support, supervision and acknowledgment. Thank you.

And here is John Winston Howard’s reply. This is what we have backing up our soldiers in Iraq, if and/or when HR abuse allegations are made against them there, too:

Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet

18 February 2003

Dear Mr Robertson,

Thank you for your letter of 14 December 2002 to the Prime Minister regarding human rights abuse allegations against Australian Defence Force (ADF) personnel. The Prime Minister has asked me to reply on his behalf.

I acknowledge your concerns about these allegations and wish to assure you that the government has acted decisively but compassionately to protect Australia’s territorial integrity. Australia has a proud humanitarian record and the government remains committed to meeting Australia’s humanitarian obligations. On 17 September 2001, the Full Bench of the Federal Court of Australia confirmed that the Australian government acted within its powers in taking the action it did in relation to the people rescued by the MV Tampa. The government, through the ADF, ensured that those on board were properly cared for through the provision of appropriate food, shelter, medical assistance and other supplies.

The Prime Minister has on numerous occasions expressed his strong support for the ADF in the performance of its many difficult roles. Specifically, on the day that the Special Air Service personnel took control of the MV Tampa, the Prime Minister made a statement expressing gratitude to the ADF personnel involved in the operation. Separately, he has reaffirmed the country’s pride in the courage, integrity and professionalism of all the ADF personnel.

Thank you for bringing this matter to the attention of the Prime Minister.

Yours sincerely,

Richard Sadleir

Assistant Secretary, International Division, Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet

Arse-covering, bureaucratic, meaningless nonsense. Our soldiers are, in my opinion, gravely exposed. It’s time to get angry about it, and fulfil our responsibilities as Citizens to them, by DEMANDING real honesty and accountability from this government, at last. Over to you, Australian Press. Start doing your jobs.