Howard to the states: capital punishment your call

John Howard today gave the green light for State governments to reintroduce capital punishment. He even suggested the Victorian liberal opposition might try a policy of reintroducing the death penalty on for size. He’s stated clearly that capital punishment is a matter for the States, in direct contradiction of his Attorney General Daryl Williams, who’s said consistently for years that Australia is obliged by international agreements and longstanding bipartisan policy to overturn any such state government law. (See my comment piece The danger for Australians of approving death for Amrozi.)

Here’s what Howard said to a talkback caller demanding the death penalty in Australia:

“The criminal law of this country is overwhelmingly administrated by state governments and I don’t, even if I’m in favour of the death penalty, I couldn’t pass a law to apply the dealt penalty for example in the state of Victoria. You can raise, and this matter can be pursued at a state political level, you say why haven’t you got the right? Well that’s up to the Victorian Government. … If people want to raise it again it would be open for example to the Victorian Opposition, if you have a different view on this matter to promote it as an electoral issue…”

What the hell is going on in this man’s mind? What sort of country is he trying to turn us into? I’ve published below the transcript of his extraordinary interview with Neil Mitchell on capital punishment on Melbourne Radio 3AW this morning. Among the many gems, he did not explicitly oppose torture for Amrozi before death, and completely avoided the question of whether he’d try to save an Australian from death row in Indonesia. Read him and marvel at his manipulation skills. This guy is in a class of his own. Congratulations to Neil for a fine job of persistent questioning.

How bloody stupid is Simon Crean? Why did he agree with Howard yesterday that Australia shouldn’t make representations to Indonesia to commute the death penalty in line with longstanding bipartisan policy? He’d also have the strong argument that death would be heaven to our terrorist enemies, a view that many Australians adhere to. Why disenfranchise so many Australians by following the Howard line? As soon as Labor avoided the wedge by agreeing with Howard, Howard moved the goalposts, AS HE ALWAYS DOES. He’ll now sit back, let the debate take off, watch his cheerleading media team beat the living daylights out of it, and relax. Will Labor ever learn that they must take a stand early on principle?

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TRANSCRIPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER THE HON JOHN HOWARD MP’S INTERVIEW WITH NEIL MITCHELL, RADIO 3AW, AUGUST 8

MITCHELL:

What is your reaction to the Democrats suggesting this would be on a par with terrorism?

PRIME MINISTER:

Well I don’t agree with them. Neil, I don’t myself support capital punishment in Australia. The reason I don’t support capital punishment is pragmatic. I know that from time to time the law makes mistakes and innocent people can go to the gallows if we have capital punishment, and subsequently if you discover they were innocent, then there is nothing you can do about it. It’s a purely pragmatic thing. What has happened here is that under the law of another country people have been tried. They are citizens of another country. Amrozi is not an Australian citizen. He’s an Indonesian. And I find it extraordinary that anybody can use the word barbarism in relation to this man. I just find that extraordinary. I mean it’s the judicial process of that country. There is a legitimate debate about capital punishment. And I don’t know that people, if I may say so, picking up your introduction, I don’t know that people are dancing in the streets. I don’t feel any sense of jubilation about this and I don’t think people do. But if you have lost somebody, the emotional release of at least thinking that the process of justice has been served, and I’m impressed by the fact that amongst the families of the people who died, some are in favour of the death penalty, some are not. They reflect the division in our community on that matter and they are behaving in an understandable, normal Australian way.

MITCHELL:

You dont find the popping of champagne corks and the sort of die you bastard, die as a little un-Australian?

PRIME MINISTER:

Well these people lost their kids.

MITCHELL:

Sure.

PRIME MINISTER:

And I mean I have met a lot of these people. I remember how they felt. And I just try and put myself in their situation.

MITCHELL:

I think my point is this is going to go on for years now, isn’t it? I worry about people being consumed by revenge.

PRIME MINISTER:

Look I don’t think the Australian public is consumed by revenge. I think the Australian public has reacted to this tragedy in a very heartfelt, mature way. Australians know that our lives have been changed forever by the coming of the age of terrorism. There is no doubt about that. It started with the attack in New York and Washington in September of 2001. It came horribly close to our own country and claimed all those lives in Bali. And again this week weve been reminded that were living in a region that is very unstable and we can’t for a moment imagine that it won’t happen in our own homeland, in one of our cities on the Australian mainland. It could happen. We have to work very hard to prevent it occurring. Now against the background of all of that, I don’t think Australians are behaving in an un-Australian way. They accept realistically that we have to live our lives differently, but they’re determined to get on with their lives. They react in a very passionate way when pain and death is inflicted on their family and their friends, and that’s perfectly normal. I am frankly filled with admiration at the way in which Australians have reacted and adjusted to this new situation.

MITCHELL:

Australia has been involved with Indonesia in helping in the investigation and the rest of it since this happened. Presumably because of that we do have the right to have an opinion and express a view on the death sentence.

PRIME MINISTER:

Yes. Yes we have a right, and I have chosen as the elected leader of this country to say that I will not be raising any objection to the normal processes of Indonesian law being carried forward. I mean it would be open to me, if I chose, to do otherwise, but I have thought about this.

MITCHELL:

So you think execution is appropriate?

PRIME MINISTER:

What I think is appropriate is that the law of Indonesia be applied.

MITCHELL:

But do you think it’s appropriate this man be executed?

PRIME MINISTER:

I think he should be dealt with in accordance with the law of Indonesia.

MITCHELL:

But I’m taking it a step further Prime Minister. Do you believe its appropriate he be executed?

PRIME MINISTER:

Neil, I’m answering your question. What I’m saying to you is if the law of Indonesia requires that he be executed, then I regard that as appropriate.

MITCHELL:

If he was an Australian? With an Australian citizen you’d have a different view.

PRIME MINISTER:

Well Neil, were not dealing I mean please, this is too important and sensitive and heartfelt an issue for us to deal in hypothetical situations. I intend to deal with the facts and the facts are that this man is an Indonesian citizen, he was tried in accordance with Indonesian law, Indonesian law obliges the imposition of the death penalty, it has been imposed and in those circumstances, I regard that as appropriate and I do not intend, in the name of the Australian people, to ask the Indonesian Government to refrain from the imposition of that penalty.

MITCHELL:

Do you hold that view if the remaining five are found guilty?

PRIME MINISTER:

Well let me hear the evidence. Let me state the principle and then say I’m not going to hypothesise about future trials. The principle is that these people should be brought to justice in accordance with the processes of Indonesian law, and that is what may I just finish this is important That is what the Australian people would demand if this crime had been committed in Australia.

MITCHELL:

I guess the broader point and perhaps even the more important point now Prime Minister is the effect of the sentence. Do you believe that this sentence will reduce the terrorism risk in this region?

PRIME MINISTER:

It’s more likely that it will be neutral.

MITCHELL:

You don’t think it will increase it either?

PRIME MINISTER:

Well I can only speculate. The more that you communicate a capacity to apprehend, try and convict people involved in terrorism, the greater is the warning given to the terrorists. When I answered neutral, I was thinking more in terms of the actual verdict, as distinct from the whole process.

MITCHELL:

Well do you think the death penalty will reduce or increase the risk of terrorism in this region?

PRIME MINISTER:

I think the death penalty will have a different impact on different people, and therefore I think its probably neutral.

MITCHELL:

This man seems to seek martyrdom. Is this what were giving him?

PRIME MINISTER:

I don’t believe so.

MITCHELL:

Why?

PRIME MINISTER:

Well in the long run people who decide to embark upon terrorism have already embarked upon a fanatical mode of behaviour, and I don’t know that the execution or the sentencing to life of somebody like that is going to alter the original decision.

MITCHELL:

I noticed the judges in their sentencing said they thought this would prevent a repetition or help to prevent a repetition. You don’t agree with that?

PRIME MINISTER:

Well I hope they’re right. I think terrorism is going to be with us for a long time. We have begun the fight against it. It’s a fight that will involve greater emphasis on intelligence gathering and cooperation between the agencies of different countries. It will involve also dealing with issues that give rise to conditions that can be exploited by terrorists. I do believe that one of the most positive things that have come out of the Iraq war has been the renewed push for a settlement between Israel and the Palestinians. If that settlement can be achieved, that will remove an argument that the terrorists have used.

MITCHELL:

Mr Howard, before we leave the security issue, as I mentioned also, a British family one with a Bali victim is appealing against the death sentence. They want Amrozi to spend time in jail instead. Presumably you would hope that appeal fails if it goes ahead?

PRIME MINISTER:

Well I dont know that I’ve quite thought about it. I’ve expressed my view Neil, and my view is that the law of Indonesia should be applied, and if the law of Indonesia requires the imposition of the death penalty and if the appeal processes within Indonesia result in the death penalty being imposed, then that is appropriate and I’m not going to object.

CALLER:

Yeah good morning. This guy that they’re putting to death, I think first off that they should be making him suffer first, I mean he wants to die a martyr and by putting him straight to death, giving him what he wants, he should be made to suffer first, I mean he caused so much suffering for so many other people.

MITCHELL:

We are getting, thanks Michael, a lot of reaction like that, Prime Minister, saying torture him first. What’s your response?

PRIME MINISTER:

Well I’m not in favour of that. I’m in favour of applying the law of Indonesia. We don’t control this process.

MITCHELL:

No, but we’ve got a right to have a say in it.

PRIME MINISTER:

No, we’ve got a right to express an opinion and that is what I’m doing. And I’m not reluctant to express an opinion, I know some people disagree with me, some people say that I should be thumping the table and saying don’t execute the man, I’m not going to do that because I do respect the judicial processes of Indonesia, I also believe that for me to do that would offend many Australians who lost people, who legitimately feel as decent Australians that a death penalty is appropriate.

See there is a division in our community on the death penalty, many Australians who are a decent and as moderate as I hope both you and I are actually have a different view on the death penalty and perhaps your view and my view is different, I don’t know, but I know lots of Australians who believe that a death penalty is appropriate and they are not barbaric, they’re not insensitive, they’re not vindictive, they’re not vengeful, they’re people who believe that if you take another’s live deliberately then justice requires that your life be taken.

Now I have a different view from that because I’ve read of and I’ve seen the law make mistakes, and it’s a terrible thing to judicially murder somebody and subsequently find that that person is innocent and that’s why I have this pragmatic view so far as Australian courts are concerned that we shouldn’t impose the death penalty.

We’re dealing here with the citizen of another country whose murdered 88 of our own in another country and the law of that other country says the death penalty is appropriate. Now I am prepared to accept that, I will not object to it and I think it is appropriate because I respect the judicial processes of that other country. And if we are to get the total co-operation between Australia and Indonesia in the war against terrorism that could go on for years one of the things we have to do is develop a code of mutual respect and co-operation between the judicial systems of our two countries.

NEW CALLER:

Mr Howard I might just say to you that I find the government, including your own and other past governments, very hypocritical when it comes to the death penalty here in this country. Quite happy to see the death sentence carried out over there to their law, I want to know why it is that we haven’t got the right here, why it’s not being put up as an electoral point where we can’t vote to have the people to decide whether or not the death sentence be reintroduced here.

PRIME MINISTER:

Well a couple of things on that, firstly the criminal law of this country is overwhelmingly administrated by state governments and I don’t, even if I’m in favour of the death penalty, I couldn’t pass a law to apply the dealt penalty for example in the state of Victoria. You can raise, and this matter can be pursued at a state political level, you say why haven’t you got the right? Well that’s up to the Victorian Government.

MITCHELL:

I assume from what you’re saying today that you are not supporting the reintroduction of the capital punishment in Australia?

PRIME MINISTER:

I am not supporting the reintroduction, I mean my position, let me repeat, is for reasons of pragmatic concern that the law from time to time will make mistakes, I am against the death penalty. That is the basis, always has been the basis of my objection. But I respect the fact that a lot of people are in favour of the death penalty, a lot of people who are close to me are in favour of the death penalty. It’s just that different people have different views.

MITCHELL:

What do mean people close to you? You mean in your Cabinet?

PRIME MINISTER:

Just generally, Cabinet, friends, etc, etc. You know more friends than others. But I’ve had this view for a long time and it’s been debated ad nauseam in Australia and if people want to raise it again it would be open for example to the Victorian Opposition, if you have a different view on this matter to promote it as an electoral issue, I’m not encouraging them to do so but I’m just making the point that there should be debate on it, I mean nobody’s trying to stop debate on it, were debating it now and I’m expressing a view.

Mako’s search for answers on Iraq

 

The Leader leading the party flock. Image by Webdiary artist Martin Davies. www.daviesart.com

David Makinson became a Webdiary contributor in the Iraq war debate and proved a lyrical advocate for not going to war (see, for example, In defence of America). I asked him to guest edit a Webdiary on Iraq a couple of weeks ago, and it’s driven him crazy! David believes the top priority for debate should be how to give the Iraqi people a better tomorrow, and invites your comments. Send you emails to me and I’ll pass them on. David’s done a great job chewing over the themes in the postwar debate – thanks David.

I was going to write about the politics of Carmen standing for ALP president today, but got swamped by capital punishment. Her mega-manifesto on the meaning of democracy is at Ideas to save our withering democracy. It’s a brave piece, not least because she has a big go at the media. Highly recommended. It’s been a big week and I’m way behind on your emails. If you’ve sent a ripper that hasn’t got a run, please resend. Have a good weekend.

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David Makinson, Webdiary guest editor

I’ll kick off with a topic that perplexes me. For large segments of the media and for many commentators across the political spectrum, the continuing absence of weapons of mass destruction is the key issue of the day.

Those in the pro-war camp vacillate between saying that weapons will be found to asserting that the existence of the WMD does not matter because an evil dictator has been toppled. On the other hand, many in the anti-war camp seem almost triumphant. No weapons, no case for war, seems to be the logic.

But there is little logic in this line of reasoning. In the lead up to the conflict I wrote several pieces for Webdiary arguing that the case for war had not been made. The foundation stone of my position was (and is) that Iraq posed no threat to us or to any of our allies. Because of this, the war could not be seen as a just war, and would set a terrible precedent for the future conduct of international affairs.

It is scant comfort now, but I believe my position was correct at the time and remains correct today. On the other hand, I was completely wrong about one thing.

I believed in the WMD. I accepted as a given that the WMD existed. My argument was always that even with the WMD, Iraq was not a threat.

Naturally, I’m all in favour of the eradication of WMD, but I could not accept that the mere possession of WMD is of itself a threat sufficient to justify a war. If I were to accept this line of reasoning, it would seem pretty clear where the real danger lies.

So yes, of course WMD must be found and destroyed. Hell, I even know where they are. If only more of us were as attuned to the risks of WMD as the people of Anniston, Alabama:

We Found the Weapons

* Liters of anthrax stockpiled by Iraq, according to President Bush’s State of the Union Address: 25,000

* Supposed liters of botulinum toxin Bush claimed Iraq possessed: 38,000

* Supposed tons of sarin, mustard, and VX nerve agent: 500

* Supposed number of munitions capable of delivering chemical agents: 30,000

Percent of “top weapons sites” that have been inspected by U.S. forces: 90

Number of chemical agents and weapons that have been found: 0

Pounds of banned chemical weapons currently housed in an Army depot in Anniston, Alabama: 46,830,000 (facingsouth)

The St Petersburg (Florida) Times gives some hints as to what it might be like to live with such a stockpile of death. (There’s some inconsistency on the numbers between the two sources, but you’ll get the general drift).

If the double standards and hypocrisy are hard enough for us as allies of America to stomach, God alone knows what their enemies must think.

Since WMD were not a crucial element of my anti-war position I find it difficult to get too excited that they do not seem to exist. Put another way, even if WMD had been found immediately after President Bush’s declaration of victory my opposition to the war would have been unaffected.

In this sense, the hawks who claim the non-existence of weapons does not matter are in fact partly right, albeit for entirely the wrong reasons. Perversely, I find myself in agreement with Paul Wolfowitz, who said in a recent interview: “I am not concerned about weapons of mass destruction. I am concerned about getting Iraq on its feet.”

The fact that the WMD were not found immediately does prove one thing quite categorically, however: Our leaders did not have sufficient evidence at the time they chose to go to war. Sorry boys, but stumbling on them at some later point just won’t cut it.

Of course, some in the pro-war lobby still want to argue the toss. Look at this recent little gem, WMD doubts are ludicrous from “the most influential foreign affairs analyst in Australian journalism” (well, that’s whatThe Australian calls Greg Sheridan). Note the juxtaposition of the headline and the very first sentence: “THE US has material in its possession in Iraq which, if it checks out, will be conclusive evidence of Saddam Hussein’s weapons of mass destruction programs”.

If it checks out. Ay, there’s the rub. Nothing whatsoever has checked out so far in this sad saga, but hey – hope springs eternal. Let’s not even mention the sneaky insertion of the word “programs”. And let’s be kind to Greg and assume that someone else puts the headlines on his columns. Ludicrous? Indeed.

So, even though doubts about WMD are entirely rational and perfectly understandable, I have a fear, now that the war is in an occupation/resistance phase, that the noise from the anti-war lobby about absent weapons and phantom deals with Niger is potentially distracting us from what should be the main game. Yes, our leaders lied to us, yes we must get angry, and yes, they must be held to account. This is necessary if we are to put our own houses in order, and I’ll have more on this later. But what about the Iraqi house that we have torn down? The real challenge is surely to focus on the giving the people of Iraq a better tomorrow. Move on. Focus on the future.

I think the most frightening prospect of all is an American withdrawal any time soon. Having gone in, they must stay to finish the job. Anything other than a long term commitment would be disastrous. If called upon, Australia must support them in this task. When I see calls like this in the American press from one Professor Hubert G. Locke, I begin to get very, very nervous for the people of Iraq:

“We should get out of Iraq sooner rather than later. Why not admit that we’ve accomplished little of what was our announced intent – we haven’t found any weapons of mass destruction, Saddam Hussein is more likely alive than dead and “democracy” in Iraq is likely to cause as many headaches for the United States as Saddam ostensibly did. Let’s cut our losses, really support our troops and bring them home from the quagmire in Iraq.” (nwsource)

I don’t know Professor Locke and I don’t know what his politics are. But I am reasonably certain that to abandon Iraq now would be one of history’s greatest ever acts of betrayal. I pray that Locke’s views are not, and do not become, mainstream.

In that spirit of focussing on the future for Iraq, my original intention was to use my guest editing spot to highlight the thinking of some who are indeed worrying about the future for Iraq. Having spent quite some time now searching on the web, I’m very concerned that genuine forward looking Iraq analysis is terribly thin on the ground.

Does the Bush administration have any real clue how it is going to fulfil its promise of freedom and democracy? If so, it needs to do a far better PR job both within Iraq and outside, because nobody seems to have much confidence that they know what they’re doing.

We certainly cannot look to the traditional Right for answers. They are too busy spin doctoring uncomfortable truths. Many on the traditional Left are gleefully pointing out the shortcomings of the official position and giving the distinct impression that they are well pleased by the descent into guerilla warfare. This is an utterly contemptible response.

Sadly, when it comes to proposing some workable solutions, the Left continues its impressive track record of profound uselessness.

Perhaps it’s just a failing of my research, and I’d be very grateful to be re-educated on this, but the apparent absence of a sensible – and meaningful – debate on what’s next for Iraq is deeply worrying. I think Webdiary is an ideal place to start to address this, and I’d like to invite Webdiary readers to send in their own thoughts or provide references to source material.

So, having failed pretty much completely in my initial objective, I’ve decided to present a few bits and pieces which address what I think are the key themes of the war and its aftermath. I think that most of these issues should be secondary to the basic rebuilding of Iraq, but these seem to be the issues that make up most of the public debate at the moment.

1. Saddam is Gone

First and foremost, let’s all celebrate the silver lining on this particular cloud. Saddam Hussein is gone, and hopefully for good. The demise of his sons will surely boost the confidence of the Iraqi people that a brighter day is possible, and on the day that Saddam joins them on the mortuary slab, surely the world will be a better place. Whatever your view on the various arguments that surround the war, we can all recognise that this is a huge win for most Iraqis.

But before the pro-war camp gets too self-congratulatory, it’s important to remember that Australia did not go to war to topple Hussein. I can’t help but wonder how the people of Australia would have reacted to a well argued case that we needed to go to war, not because of concocted threats and tenuously imagined links, but in the simple humanitarian cause of removing an appalling dictator.

But we were not asked this question. Instead it was explicitly ruled out by Prime Minister Howard:

“Well I would have to accept that if Iraq had genuinely disarmed, I couldn’t justify on its own a military invasion of Iraq to change the regime. I’ve never advocated that. Much in all as I despise the regime”.

I’ve never advocated that. Couldn’t be much clearer. And I think Mr Howard was entirely correct. Here’s Paul Wolfowitz in a similar vein:

“The third one (that is, rescuing the Iraqi people from the tyranny of Saddam Hussein) by itself, as I think I said earlier, is a reason to help the Iraqis but it’s not a reason to put American kids’ lives at risk, certainly not on the scale we did it.”

That’s twice I’ve agreed with Paul Wolfowitz. I’d better stop that. My thanks to a recent piece by Tim Dunlop at roadtosurfdom for reminding me of these quotes.

2. Accountability

So – Iraq was no threat. Iraq had no proven connection with September 11. Iraq had no meaningful links with Al Qaeda. And we did not even know whether Iraq had the weapons we so feared. Our leaders took us to war, a war that it seems is not over yet, despite protestations to the contrary.

At the next electoral opportunities, President Bush, and Prime Ministers Blair and Howard must be made to face their accountability for taking us to war on false pretences. Blair is under enormous pressure right now, and seems to be the most vulnerable of the leaders. He may not even last long enough to be sacked at the next election. There have been calls for President Bush to be impeached. One of the comparisons being made is that of Bill Clinton, who was impeached for lying about his sex life, which does not seem quite as important as a war. (Though going by some sections of the media, this is obviously a value judgement which is far from cut and dried). Professor Marjorie Cohn:

“An independent commission headed by a special prosecutor should be convened immediately to get to the bottom of this. Bill Clinton was impeached for lying about sex. If it is determined that Bush misled American soldiers into war, the House of Representatives should initiate impeachment proceedings against him. There is no higher crime or misdemeanor”. (counterpunch)

It’s hard to see President Bush being held to account for all this. But it seems increasingly likely that he’ll need a high profile fall guy – or gal. Higher profile than an intelligence head, anyway. I’d say Condoleezza Rice is probably not sleeping too well these nights. And maybe even Vice President Cheney will be looking over his shoulder. In a recent open memorandum to the President, veteran intelligence professionals wrote:

“We recommend that you call an abrupt halt to attempts to prove Vice President Cheney ‘not guilty’. His role has been so transparent that such attempts will only erode further your own credibility. Equally pernicious, from our perspective, is the likelihood that intelligence analysts will conclude that the way to success is to acquiesce in the cooking of their judgments, since those above them will not be held accountable. We strongly recommend that you ask for Cheney’s immediate resignation.” (commondreams)

Who knows, perhaps Harry Heidelberg is right in Will Howard beat Bush? and Howard Dean will emerge as a genuine election chance. Certainly it’s a prospect that is gathering some substance. Fingers crossed.

As has been well documented, John Howard floats above the scandal. He acted on advice. He relied on intelligence. Of course, with no Australian troops remaining in harm’s way, Howard does not have to worry about an electorate whose distress grows with every day’s new body bag.

Miranda Devine thinks the PM owes his ongoing immunity to his political enemies, and she may be right – stranger things have happened. Certainly Osama Bin Laden would understand her thinking. Geoff Kitney has a different view on Howard’s immunity: It’s the economy, stupid. I suspect Geoff is a few steps closer to the truth than Miranda, but whatever the reasons, clearly our PM is accountable for nothing.

Of course, Howard’s apparent immunity infuriates the Left, as recent Webdiary pieces by Carmen Lawrence (It matters!) and Jack Robertson (Fisking John) show. I know Carmen and Jack have the very best of intentions, but they are preaching to the converted. Two thirds of Australians need no convincing that they were misled.

Sometimes it helps to see ourselves as others see us: This from American weblog Whiskey Bar:

“SYDNEY (AFP) – Two in every three Australians believe Prime Minister John Howard misled them over participation in the US-led war in Iraq, but support for his leadership remains as strong as ever, a new poll showed.

The latest Newspoll showed more than a third of respondents believed they had been lied to, while just under a third felt they had been “unknowingly misled”. Just 25 percent of respondents said they did not feel they had been misled. But Howard still held a 40 point lead over his opponent …

Reminds me of those Foster’s learn-to-speak Australian ads they were running here in the states a few years ago — particularly the one where the “locksmith” smashes the door down with his head.

Voter: the Australian word for stupid.”

Ouch. Truly, we get the government we deserve. An earlier American President, Truman, said in his farewell address: “The President – whoever he is – has to decide. He can’t pass the buck to anybody. No one else can do the deciding for him. That’s his job.” He had a sign on his desk saying “The Buck Stops Here”. He must have taken it with him when he left.

Here’s Antonia Zerbisias in the Toronto Star discussing the deceptions of George W Bush:

“Asked about those infamous 16 words in his State of the Union Address about Iraq shopping in Niger for yellowcake uranium, the leader of the free world replied: “The larger point is and the fundamental question is, did Saddam Hussein have a weapons program? And the answer is absolutely. And we gave him a chance to allow the inspectors in, and he wouldn’t let them in. And, therefore, after a reasonable request, we decided to remove him from power …”

So yes kids! We were all hallucinating when we watched news footage of reporters chasing U.N. weapons inspectors around Iraq last winter. Those were but voices in our collective head when we heard pleas from the likes of Prime Minister Jean Chretien and former weapons inspector Scott Ritter to allow the digging around to continue. And we must have all swallowed a giant tab of yellowcake when we read the news of U.N. weapons inspectors scrambling to beat a path out of Baghdad on the eve of the Shock & Awe bombing campaign.

So ask yourself: How come the commander-in-chief shoots from the lip once again and nobody is talking about it?” (commondreams)

Having re-read the last few paragraphs, I wonder if I’m just too idealistic. After all, a sudden attack of honesty from our overlords would buck the trend of history in a big way, wouldn’t it? Phillip Adams gave some great examples of history’s liars in a recent article for The Australian. One quote in particular strikes a chord today:

“I shall give a propagandist reason for starting the war, no matter whether it is plausible or not. The victor will not be asked afterwards whether he told the truth or not. When starting and waging war it is not right that matters but victory.” – Adolf Hitler

Interesting parallel, but there are some differences today. The power of the internet means that the victors are most certainly being asked whether or not they told the truth.

I guess one of two things might happen from here – either politicians will in fact become more honest – gradually – and more accountable, or they will find ways to control the internet. Your guess is as good as mine on which way it will go, but they are going to find controlling the internet extremely difficult. Or will they? See commondreams.

3. Guerilla Warfare

Well, is it or isn’t it? This has been a hot topic in the global media, although I’m not entirely sure why it matters. It’s just a label after all. I suspect this is only a big topic of debate because Donald Rumsfeld said so confidently that it wasn’t a guerrilla war and has since been repudiated by just about anyone with any kind of military credentials. Here’s an excellent summary, courtesy of Whiskey Bar once again:

GUERRILLAS IN THE MIST REVISITED

It’s very small groups – one or two people – in isolated attacks against our soldiers. (Maj. Gen. Buford Blount III, remarks to reporters May 27, 2003)

I believe these are local attacks. I don’t see it on a national level. (Lt. Gen. David D. McKiernan, news conference June 4, 2003)

We do not see signs of central command and control direction . . . these are groups that are organized, but they’re small; they may be five or six men conducting isolated attacks against our soldiers. (L. Paul Bremer, teleconference with reporters June 12, 2003)

This is not guerrilla warfare; it is not close to guerrilla warfare because it’s not coordinated, it’s not organized, and it’s not led. (Major General Ray Odierno, teleconference with Pentagon reporters June 18, 2003)

There’s a guerrilla war there but we can win it. (Paul Wolfowitz, testimony before the House Armed Services Committee, June 18, 2003)

Dangerous pockets of the old regime remain loyal to it and they, along with their terrorist allies, are behind deadly attacks designed to kill and intimidate coalition forces and innocent Iraqis. (George W. Bush, radio address, June 21, 2003)

It’s just weird. It’s totally unconventional. It’s guerrilla warfare. (Capt. Burris Wollsieffer, press interview June 23, 2003)

I think it is worth emphasizing that these guys lack the two classical ingredients of a victory in a so-called guerrilla war if that’s what you want to say they’re conducting. They lack the sympathy of the population and they lack any serious source of external support. (Paul Wolfowitz, Washington Post interview June 26, 2003)

Q: We’ve gone from a traditional, if you will, set of circumstances, rules of engagement, to more of a guerrilla war. Isn’t that accurate?

Rumsfeld: I don’t know that I would use the word. (Donald Rumsfeld, press interview June 27, 2003)

America has to understand that we’ve gone from a conventional war that ended May 1 to an unconventional war. (Centcom spokesman Capt. Jeff Fitzgibbons, Washington Post interview June 29, 2003)

I guess the reason I don’t use the phrase “guerrilla war” is because there isn’t one, and it would be a misunderstanding and a miscommunication to you and to the people of the country and the world. (Donald Rumsfeld, press briefing June 30, 2003)

Q: Are we now into a guerrilla war, do you think?

Sen. McCain: I think we’re in a phase of the reconstruction of Iraq, the installation of the principles and functions of a democratic society, which is incredibly difficult. (Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., CBS Face the Nation June 29, 2003)

We have not been able to detect any sort of coordinated, synchronized, regional or national-level operations that have been conducted against us. (Lt. Gen. Ricardo Sanchez, USA Today interview July 2, 2003)

Q: Defense Secretary Rumsfeld says this is not a guerrilla war. How would the President describe it?

Fleischer: The President describes this as people who are loyal to the former regime still fighting American forces who are there, and in the process, they are becoming enemies of the Iraqi people. (Ari Fleischer, Press Briefing July 2, 2003)

“Guerrilla and insurgency operations are supported by the people, and I’ve demonstrated to my own satisfaction that the people of Iraq do not support the violence that we’re seeing right now.” (Gen. Tommy Franks, testimony before the House Armed Services Committee July 10, 2003)

Q: How organized is the resistance?

Rumsfeld: There’s a lot of debate in the intelligence community on that, and I guess the short answer is I don’t know. I think it’s very clear that it’s coordinated in regions and areas, cities, in the north particularly. To what extent is it organized throughout the country, I think there isn’t any conviction about that yet. (Donald Rumsfeld, NBC Meet the Press July 13, 2003)

People can call it what they want. I characterize it the way I just did, which is what’s actually going on. I don’t know that that’s necessarily the correct definition of organized resistance or guerrilla war, but it doesn’t make a lot of difference to me. (Donald Rumsfeld, ABC This Week July 13, 2003

I believe there’s mid-level Ba’athist, Iraqi intelligence service people, Special Security Organization people, Special Republican Guard people that have organized at the regional level in cellular structure and are conducting what I would describe as a classical guerrilla-type campaign against us. (Gen. John Abizaid, Centcom Commander, Pentagon Press Conference July 16, 2003)

And so on. I tend to think it doesn’t matter. The debate serves little purpose other than to further embarrass Donald Rumsfeld. He really doesn’t need any help in this regard.

4. Freedom/Democracy for Iraq

This is another aspect of the situation which has me stumped, and I’d like to know what other Webdiarists think.

Forget for the moment all the deceits surrounding the war. One of our key promises to the people of Iraq was liberation and the creation of a democratic society. A fundamental problem here seems to be that any democratic society in Iraq would surely be dominated by the Shiite majority. A Shiite government will surely be an Islamic government (far more so than Hussein’s ever was). And surely Iraqi Shiite government would forge closer links with their counterparts in Iran?

An Islamic state, aligned with Iran? Will America ever permit this?

Here’s Robert Fisk:

“And so there has begun to grow the faint but sinister shadow of a different kind of “democracy” for Iraq, one in which a new ruler will have to use a paternalistic rule – moderation mixed with autocracy, a la Ataturk – to govern Iraq and allow the Americans to go home. Inevitably, it has been one of the American commentators from the same failed lunatic right as Wolfowitz – Daniel Pipes of the Middle East Forum think tank, which promotes American interests in the region – to express this in its most chilling form. He now argues that “democratic-minded autocrats can guide [Iraq] to full democracy better than snap elections”. What Iraq needs, he says, is “a democratically-minded [sic] strongman who has real authority”, who would be “politically moderate” but “operationally tough” (sic again).” (Zmag)

See commondreams for an analysis of the likelihood that the Iraqis will resist any US-imposed democracy.

Big questions. Few answers. How will the rights of minority groups be protected, if at all? How can democracy really work under the umbrella of Islam? Will Iraq continue to exist as a nation, or will it have to be carved up? Will this work take anything less than decades?

6. Yankee Go Home

Americans seem to be dying on an almost daily basis. Obviously this has impacted morale and will continue to do so. Quite apart from the message being sent clearly by some segments of the Iraqi population, it’s the US soldiers themselves who are saying send us home. See, for example, commondreams.

I have been following a blog maintained by an American soldier on the ground in Iraq. It’s an eloquent personal journal that conveys a strange mix of despair and determination. Check it out and leave a comment in support at turningtables. An extract:

“i hope iraq stands firmly on it’s feet and we are allowed to go home…i hope that iraq is allowed to make up for all the time it has lost…i hope everyone is able to see eye to eye and there will be some bit of peace in this world…because i don’t want my children back over here…and i would really like to make it through a generation with out a war…”

Sorry, soldier. You can’t go home yet.

And, finally:

7. What about the fight against global terrorism?

As we read about the latest attack in Jakarta, we have to wonder what our governments are doing which actually reduces the risk of terror attacks. It seems that whatever it is, it isn’t working. Simon Tisdall in The Guardian:

“The larger question is why, after Afghanistan and Iraq and everything else that has been said and done by western leaders since 9/11, this threat apparently remains so omnipresent – and so scary…

In Afghanistan, nebulous al-Qaida networks posed a complex and subtle challenge. Bush’s solution? Invade the country and overthrow its rulers. The Taliban may have had it coming; but that is hardly the point. This was the old-style “overwhelming force” approach long favoured by US presidents, Daddy Bush included …

The Iraq campaign was conducted, for whatever reason (and many were given), on much the same principle: kick the door down, then charge in – and to hell with the wider consequences. While such behaviour brings quick, short-term results and may be superficially gratifying, innovative or imaginative it definitely is not.

These tactics bear little relation to an effective defence against terrorism in the round, let alone to tackling its root causes. Many al-Qaida in Afghanistan were merely dispersed; now they are returning. As for Iraq, they were never there in the first place.

Deputy Pentagon chief Paul Wolfowitz still insists that “Iraq is the central battle in the war on terror”. In reality, he is now trying disingenuously to redefine all Iraqi opponents of US occupation as “terrorists” – as somehow one and the same as the people who blew up Manhattan. It won’t wash”.

Tisdall is right, of course. But being right is not enough. Pointing out the flaws in another’s position is only one step. Putting forward some practical solutions is something else again. I set myself a goal some months ago of trying to set down some workable way forward on this, but having given it my best shot, I have to concede the task is beyond me.

Ideas, anyone?

Ideas to save our withering democracy

“Individualism … disposes each member of the community to sever himself from the mass of his fellows and to draw apart with his family and his friends, so that after he has thus formed a little circle of his own, he willingly leaves society at large to itself. … Individualism, at first, only saps the virtues of public life; but, in the long-run, it attacks and destroys all others, and is at length absorbed in downright selfishness.” Alexis de Tocqueville, Democracy in America, 1835, Second Book, Chapter II.

As the attack on Iraq was launched we were nightly exposed to earnest, brow-furrowing admonitions from Bush, Blair and Howard to endorse the war because we were obliged to bring democracy and freedom to Iraq and, in time, to the whole of the Middle East. We were told it was imperative – at least once it became clear that the weapons of mass destruction argument had lost credibility – that we destroy the oppressive, autocratic and brutal regime of Saddam Hussein and replace it by a democratic system of government.

Some had the temerity to ask why we’d been so slow to recognise the plight of the Iraqi people, why the West had backed Hussein and supplied him with the finance and the means to wage war and why we punished those who fled in terror from Saddam Hussein’s brutality and locked them away in remote camps? These questions remain unanswered.

But some of us also asked what sort of democracy the allies might be thinking of exporting, like instant food, to the people of Iraq. What exactly do we mean by democracy? What are the key values and characteristics of modern democracies? How do we judge the success of the democracies currently in operation and which forms should we be recommending to the newly emerging democracies? Just how democratic is the Australian – and for that matter – the United States political system? Does our performance measure up to the rhetoric?

Ian McAllister describes a “surge” in democracy in the late 20th century, so that by its end, 120 of the world’s 192 countries – many of them former communist regimes – had embraced some form of democracy as their system of government with varying degrees of success. (1)

In thinking about democracy most of us would point to the minimum requirement of popular control and political equality (see International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance). In judging any democracy, most of us would want to go beyond these two simple features to include the protection of civil liberties and human rights, particularly against crude majoritarianism and sectional interests. A recently established Australian National University research project, The Democratic Audit of Australia, also includes the quality of public debate and discussion, assessing “the degree to which debate and discussion can be distorted by manipulation, strategising, deception and restrictions on allowable communication”. Many, myself included, would add the extent to which citizens actively participate (beyond the simple act of voting) in the political life of the country.

When people at large are questioned about the key values of democracy, the vast majority agree about the need for free and fair elections, freedom of speech, equality before the law, active citizen participation and the protection of minority rights. These are the desiderata of modern democracies.

When measured against these objectives, I believe we are falling short. Ours is a withering democracy.

Representative Democracy

As we contemplate the health of our democracies, we should be reminded that the evolution of modern representative democracies was accompanied by a “powerful distrust of the people”, of the poor, the poorly educated and women, who were initially excluded altogether and had to fight to gain suffrage. This distrust – and the practical difficulties of operating direct democracies in large populations and territories – was one of the reasons that representative government gained favour over more direct, Athenian forms of democracy.

Even Madison, one of the founding fathers of the U.S. system of government, argued that citizens could not be trusted to identify the “permanent and aggregate interests of the community”, a task best left to elected representatives chosen by the people, not the people themselves. Echoes of this view are evident in the nervousness with which the U.S. government has approached the possibility of control by the Shi-ite religious majority in Iraq. It also underlies some of the contemporary reluctance of political parties to allow their members to have a say in forming policy.

Initially this representative form of government, which keeps the people at arm’s length from the actual work of government, was not even considered a true democracy. In such systems, the work of government is conducted by the “elective aristocracy”, to use Jefferson’s term, and is mediated by political parties. This classical form of representative democracy is often considered non-participatory and elitist – a “thin democracy”, as Barber describes it. In such democracies, citizens are relatively passive. At best, they are monitors – experts and elites do the actual work of government.

Political parties are central to the functioning of modern democracies. Indeed, in 1941 the political scientist E.E. Schnattschneider asserted that “modern democracy is unthinkable save in terms of political parties”, a view which is reflected in most of the academic literature and reinforced by the evidence that no representative democracies appear to operate without them. The received wisdom is that political parties are key institutions for linking the various elements of the democratic process to ensure efficient and effective government. As Dalton and Wattenberg put it:

“Political parties have created political identities, framed electoral choices, recruited candidates, organised elections, defined the structure of legislative politics and determined the outputs of government.”

For better or worse, they are firmly embedded in the political landscape and any assessment of the health of democracies must include an assessment of the health of the political parties, especially of the extent to which they mediate the relationship between the community and their elected representatives.

The State of Democracy: Healthy or Diseased?

It is fair to say that democracy has generally functioned reasonably well when assessed against competing forms of government and methods for organising society. Democracy has characteristically produced societies that have been relatively “humane, flexible, productive, and vigorous”.

However, democracy is also characterised by “unsightly and factionalised squabbling by self-interested, short-sighted people and groups”. Furthermore, the policy outcomes often result from “special pleading” from those best placed to “adroitly pressure and manipulate the system”. Many commentators, here and elsewhere, observe that many citizens do not display the deliberative qualities theorists held to be central to the effective functioning of a democracy. Indeed, many display an almost monumental lack of political interest and knowledge. On the other hand, as Arendt has argued, politics as it practiced infantilises citizens who act as though power can only be gained by begging for it from a reluctant state.

There is a palpable cynicism routinely expressed by the public in democracies here and elsewhere, especially about political parties.

A large number of studies indicate deterioration on this front. There is some evidence that cynicism, discontent, frustration, and a sense of disempowerment and helplessness have markedly increased in recent years in most mature democracies. Various explanations are offered for these changes and remedies proffered.

One recent assessment of trends in attitudes toward political institutions and democratic government confirms that “citizens have grown more distant from political parties, more critical of political elites and political institutions and less positive toward government”. The authors describe these as “fundamental changes” in the political orientation over the past generation.

International comparisons show that these trends are characteristic of almost all the established democracies – and even some of the emerging ones. In particular, there is substantial evidence which points to a pattern of what has been called “partisan decline”, characterised by a declining role for the members of political parties in shaping policies and a reduction in the identification of voters with the major political parties.

A recent comprehensive assessment of the advanced industrial democracies found a general decline between the 60s and the 90s in the percentage of people who identified strongly with any particular party, a pattern also evident in Australia, which showed a 15% decline. These trends were more pronounced among the well-educated and the young, many of whom remain intensely interested in political issues, although not necessarily in participation. In fact, overall interest in politics appears to be increasing at the same time as participation in campaigns and volunteer work for political parties is decreasing.

The same research project traced the consequences for political behaviour of these changes. They reported bigger swings in election results on average, increasing fragmentation of political parties, a greater tendency of people to shift their votes between elections and to delay making decisions about their voting intentions until the last minute. More strategic voting is evident and where voting is not compulsory, voter turnout is in sharp decline.

Paradoxically, as parties are declining at the electorate level and party members have less influence on policy and strategy, the influence and control of central party organisations on campaigns and at the parliamentary level is stronger than ever. The responses of the political parties to these changes are likely to exacerbate both the cynicism and the disengagement. More campaigns are candidate and leadership focused and opinion polling, rather than party ideology, is more likely to inform policy decisions.

One contributor to an Internet discussion group reflected a commonly held sentiment when he wrote?:

“The ‘business of government’ is very sick indeed. If it were a real business it would have gone bankrupt long ago. It has lost most of its clients’ loyalty that’s for sure. The only reason they keep buying is that it is a monopoly and they have nowhere else to go.”

It may be tempting for politicians to dismiss such criticisms as the predictable whinging of malcontents, but it would be folly to do so. The growing clamour of such voices suggests there is more at stake. It is not simply the decline in political trust that has been noted in many evaluations of politicians and political elites, nor is it simply that the deference to authority once common in many Western democracies has been replaced by public scepticism of elites. Of greater concern for the future health of our democracy is that these feelings of mistrust have broadened to include the political regime and political institutions.

To date, this scepticism appears not to have significantly affected support for the democratic creed itself, although the risk is that failure to participate will eventually corrode commitment. While people are not yet abandoning democratic principles, they are critical of how these principles are functioning in our system of representative democracy. Citizens are frustrated with how contemporary democratic systems work – or how they do not work.

The solution, then, would appear to be to improve the democratic process and democratic institutions, not to accept non-democratic alternatives. People want democracy to work.

Democracy in Australia

In Australia too there appears to be a growing conviction that our political system needs to change; that the fundamentals of the democratic contract have been corrupted. Many Australians are disgruntled by a system which does not appear to respond to their needs and seems, increasingly, to be in the hands of elites more interested in their own advancement than the general good. As a result, our political system has less and less legitimacy.

Others have characterised this as a crisis which ranges across many of our democratic institutions and processes: our outdated constitution; the Byzantine, power-focused behaviour of our major political parties; the disquieting alliance of our political parties with corporations and large organisations; the control of our political parties by privileged minorities; the seeming irrelevance of much parliamentary debate and political discourse in the media; the pervasive use of propaganda to influence public opinion; the steady erosion of civil rights and minority interests; the increasingly blatant politicisation of the public service; the permanent state of vitriolic antagonism between the major parties; the elevation of executive secrecy above public disclosure; the readiness of government to mislead both the people and the parliament; the winner takes all outcomes of elections which preclude the input of minority opinion; and the failure to enunciate and plan for the long term challenges we face as a community. To nominate just a few!

Amongst the pessimists, this disenchantment spills over into disparagement of government action and a retreat into individual solutions to social and economic problems. This, of course, suits the neoliberal agenda, but is anathema to effective joint action necessary to reduce inequality, improve broad social outcomes and to protect the environment. Fortunately, there are optimists who believe it is possible to redesign our institutions. However, it is ironic that in an era which glorifies the novel and worships change, the same politicians who advocate flexibility and reform cling to conventions and practices which always had design flaws and which have ossified into caricatures of themselves.

Whatever the ascribed causes of these problems, it is clear that changes in our political system are needed.

Representation: Equality of Influence

The minimum requirement of any representative democracy is that governments should be elected and that all adults should have an equal right to vote. This minimum is indeed very little. As Rousseau acerbically observed:

“The English people believes itself to be free; it is gravely mistaken; it is free only during the election of members of Parliament; as soon as the members are elected, the people is enslaved; it is nothing.”

We might well ask what kind of accountability it is that operates only once every three or four years and which depends on assessments of performance which are inevitably based on information which the government of the day chooses to make available.

That said, it is fundamental even with our circumscribed democracy that all votes should be of equal value. In broad terms this has been achieved in Australia, with universal suffrage, electorates of roughly equal size and independent electoral commissions to determine electoral boundaries and prevent gerrymandering. Here in W.A. the entrenched conservative opposition in the Upper House over the past century made it impossible to achieve one vote one value and a High Court case to force the issue constitutionally did not succeed. The election of the Gallop government and the success of the Greens in gaining the balance of power in the Upper House gave hope that the principle of “one vote, one value” would finally prevail. But shockingly – and against their stated values – the Greens are blocking reform. The coming appeal to the Full Bench of the High Court is the last hope.

Despite the otherwise general equality in voting power, many are suspicious that not all citizens are equally able to influence their representatives. This breeds cynicism and a belief that the ordinary voter’s needs and views are ignored, while preference is given to the interests of the wealthy, to big business and to political cronies.

Several features of our political system contribute to these attitudes. Substantial campaign donations to the major parties by corporations and large organisations such as unions and business foundations foster the perception (and perhaps the reality) that it is possible to buy privileged access to MPs and ministers and that this influence is in proportion to the amount of money donated.

The disclosure that business leaders paid $10,000 per head for dinner at the Lodge indicates that not even the Prime Minister’s office is free of this practice. Reports on the extraordinary level of – secret – access to the Prime Minister afforded to the CEO of the Manildra Group, Dick Honan, and the favourable treatment of his ethanol producing company (over $20 million in taxpayer funded subsidies since October) has again sparked controversy.

Like many Australians, I am perturbed at these tendencies. We run the risk of becoming a “corporate democracy” – a “donocracy” – in which the number of shares you have purchased in the party of your choice determines your effective voting power. While there has been extensive debate about big money in politics in the U.S., there is still a conspicuous silence on the issue among Australian politicians.

Public funding of elections was supposed to reduce the parties’ reliance on private corporate and union donations: all that has happened is a blow-out in both public (doubled since 1993) and private funding as parties engage in an increasingly expensive bidding war at elections. Corporate contributions have become an accepted part of the election landscape. Figures collated by the Parliamentary Library show that in the 1998-99 financial year, the latest figures to which I have access, $37 million was paid to the parties by corporations and $3.7 million by unions.

The substantive problem is the possibility that such donations can purchase influence. Recent controversy surrounding the exercise of Ministerial discretion in the issue of visas has given credence to this concern. Like those Australians who follow politics, I am still waiting to hear a credible explanation for the donation by a Buddhist monastery in Sydney of $100,000, the largest ever donation to an individual candidate, to Minister Ruddock’s last election campaign.

While I know of no comparable Australian data, surveys of major corporate donors in the U.S. show that they donate not out of charitable impulses or civic duty; they expect a return for their money principally in gaining access, ensuring consideration of their interests and receiving “preferential consideration on regulations or legislation benefiting our business”. Many of these multinationals operate in Australia and donate to the major parties. There is no reason to suppose their motivation changes as they fly across the Pacific.

Retired U.S. Senator Paul Simon observed that “anyone who has been a candidate for major public office and says, ‘Campaign contributions don’t affect you’ is simply not telling the truth”, and that “the financially articulate have inordinate access to policy makers”.

There is no reason to believe the same observations do not apply to Australian MPs.

Reliance on donations may also create a strong inducement for political parties to bias their policies toward business and high income earners who provide the bulk of the funding, thus conspicuously undermining the promise of democracy that we all share equally in political power. The threat by the mining industry earlier this week that they would withdraw campaign contributions to both major parties unless they made changes to native title and other policies indicates just how blatant the exercise of such influence has become.

As I have said elsewhere, I believe it is time to reign in the exponential growth of corporate donations and to curtail the proliferation of content free, coercive media advertising that passes for policy debate during elections. The retention of public funding of elections should be accompanied by measures to limit the size of individual private donations to $1500, or thereabouts, and to proscribe any donations from corporations and large organisations. An extension of free-to-air radio and television could accompany these changes.

There are other reasons to scale down paid political advertising, particularly given the increasing tendency of Australian parties to emulate the negative tactics of our American cousins. As many have suggested, such advertising is one of the corrosive influences in our political system. To paraphrase an analogy used by Paul Simon:

“If Qantas ran regular 30 second commercials saying ‘Don’t fly Virgin Blue and showed a plane crashing into Mt Kosiosko and Virgin Blue ran a similar commercial showing a plane blowing up and urging travellers not to fly Qantas, it would not be very long before fear of flying became endemic.”

Politicians shouldn’t be surprised when their negative campaigns succeed, not only in diminishing their opponents, but in undermining confidence in all politicians. Tony Abbott’s “don’t trust politicians to elect the President” campaign was a case in point. I think we should be greatly concerned that negative campaign advertising will increase voters’ cynicism about the electoral process and be taken by some voters as “a signal of the dysfunctional and unresponsive nature of the political process itself”, causing them to lose interest in how they vote.

If free time on radio and television were to replace such paid advertising and candidates themselves were required to speak, they might spend more time advancing their own agendas and less time abusing their opponents. It might just encourage the media to focus more on the real issues and less on the trivial and combative characteristics of campaigns.

Mirror or descriptive representation

Part of the growing sense of disenfranchisement about politics amongst Australians may lie in the obvious differences between party members and MPs and the wider community. This failure of “mirror” or “descriptive” representation is, of course, most noticeable in the relative absence of women in the senior echelons of the major parties and in the Parliament.

What kind of representation is it where the candidates are not even remotely typical of the wider society, even using crude indicators such as age, gender, income and occupation. Voters need to feel that their representatives – at least in aggregate – can understand their circumstances and have sufficient identity with them to press their interests. The greater the distance of representatives from electors, the greater the mistrust.

These weaknesses begin with the political parties who determine who will be presented to the community for election and who govern the behaviour of their members in law making.

It is not generally appreciated that none of Australia’s parties is a mass party with a substantial membership base: at last count only 1.5% of Australians were members of a political party. Nor are the influential party members necessarily typical of the wider community. Too many candidates come from the party organisations and from MP’s staff. Many have little experience with anything other than back-room operations and are not active in their communities.

In Australia, it is apparent that many people have formed the view that the major parties are in the thrall of special interest groups. They reject involvement in party politics because they are not prepared to be used as factional pawns and campaign volunteers when elections are on and ignored when policy is being developed. Party members and supporters are often asked to fall in behind policy positions that they had no hand in developing and about which they have not been consulted.

As a contributor to a website discussion forum put it:

“If we as a party are serious about rebuilding our membership base, we need to rethink the way we as a party govern. A rather large slice of the cynicism that is evident in the general population has come about from the perception that we are governed from the top. Australians as a rule dislike being told what to do unless it is for very good reason, doesn’t damage their pride and is explained long enough for them to be comfortable with the change.”

Parliament

The most visible symbols of our democracy, where decisions are theoretically made, are our parliaments. Once elected, MPs may find that their contribution and that of the parliament as a whole is much more limited than the theories of representative government suggest. It is fair to say that, even with the expanding contribution made by the Senate Committee system, executive domination remains a hallmark of Australian politics. This too may have contributed to the alienation of voters.

The author of a Parliamentary Library report compiled as part of the Centenary of Federation celebrations concluded that “the domination of the Parliament by a disciplined bipolar party system meant that the House of Representatives came to be seen at worst as a theatre of meaningless ritual and at best as an institution under the foot of the Executive”. (2) Although she politely places her observations beyond contemporary politics, the view is one that is often repeated today.

There are many, myself included, who believe that the Parliament is long overdue for substantial reform to enable it to take greater responsibility for its own affairs and to act independently of the government of the day. Our current system is increasingly based on the “rubber stamp” model of government criticised by the Clerk of the Senate, Harry Evans in his commentary on Howard’s proposal to water down the role of the Senate:

“The electors elect a party (or a party leader) to govern. The government governs with total power to change the law and virtually do what it likes between elections.”

In this scenario, the MPs are there for no other purpose than to register the voters’ choice. What then is the purpose of having a Parliament at all? If this is the way government is to operate, then there appears to be little justification for all the effort and expense entailed.

One of the more disquieting experiences in the Federal Parliament is that most speeches are delivered without an audience, into the void. Speech after carefully prepared speech disappears without a trace having no impact on the fate of the legislation. This, in the House of Representatives, is determined in advance by the simple arithmetic of majority. Even in the Senate, where outcomes are more fluid, deals are done behind closed doors rather than fleshed out in public.

This is particularly true of the House of Representatives, where there is almost no opportunity for individual members (or even the opposition en bloc) to introduce or modify legislation. Scrutiny of the Executive is limited to the charade that is Question Time, when no questions are answered. Committees in the Lower House, while they often inquire into matters of great significance, have no capacity to quiz ministers and bureaucrats about budgets and legislation. Some of our brightest and best are effectively excluded from the tasks they were elected to perform.

Question time is often mentioned by voters as one of the most irritating of Parliamentary procedures with its aggressive and insulting language, accusations instead of questions, replies that contain no information and evade the question, and gratuitous attacks on political opponents – all in the atmosphere of an unruly locker room complete with “sin bin”. I agree with Coghill’s assertion that “the rules for Question Time are so ridiculous it is no surprise that they generate the type of behaviour we see on the nightly news”, and his contention that it has “degenerated almost to a farce”. As a result, Question Time rarely functions as it was intended – as a means of ensuring accountability of the executive, exposing abuses of power and corruption and challenging the arbitrary exercise of power by the government.

While most MPs I have met are conscientious, they are largely unable to influence the legislative or policy agenda except behind the closed doors of the party rooms. Even then, there is often little room to manoeuvre because decisions have already been made by the Executive. Matters which deserve free and open consideration are often submerged because of anxiety about dissent. The media feeds this paranoia by portraying even the most minor disagreements as tests of leadership or signs of party disintegration. The absence of any dissent from the entire Coalition back bench about the attack on Iraq is mute testimony to this stranglehold.

Indeed, it is fair to say that the opportunities to speak open openly are becoming more and more constrained. I think the community wants its political leaders to stand for something and to be prepared to publicly stand on the issues. Too often we are driven by the polls or what the media tells us matters and not by conviction. We have a political culture of pandering, of telling people what they want to hear. It is by definition a grey and cautious culture because it removes all the contentious issues and seeks to offend no one. Confected personality politics and theatrical “biff” then substitutes for genuine debate on the values and solutions which are our responsibility to propose.

While the Parliament often seeks the views of the community and of experts in various fields, most of this contribution occurs in committees whose deliberations and conclusions are ignored. A treasure trove of thoughtful and meticulously prepared submissions and reports languish in countless bottom drawers.

On a broader front, members of the wider community are pressing for greater involvement in decision making while their representatives, especially in government appear to be moving in the opposite direction, involving fewer and fewer people, with less and less public scrutiny of the development of public policy.

Idiots? Political Knowledge and Participation

Having laid much of the blame for the problems with our democracy at the feet of political parties and politicians, I think it only fair to reflect on the role that citizens – and voters – play in our democracy. Citizens themselves must share some of the blame for declining interest and participation. It’s always easier to leave the work of democracy to others.

Perhaps it would pay us to reflect on the etymology of the word idiot – Greek “idios” – “one’s own”, someone who does not participate in public affairs. Only later did the word acquire the connotation of someone incapable of participating in public affairs. If we do not pay attention to the state of our democracy, we could become idiots in both senses and end up, as we were before the development of democracy, as “subjects” again.

I think we all assume that, as a minimum, a competent voter should be a knowledgeable one, that “democratic citizens should have a minimum understanding of the political system in which they express preferences and elect representatives”. Governments almost certainly operate more democratically when people have a greater range and depth of information about politics and when the distribution of knowledge is more equitable.

People in developed democracies are now better educated than at any time in the past, but surprisingly, at the same time as general levels of education are rising, knowledge of the political system has not improved – as far as we can tell – here or elsewhere.

McAllister has argued that any assessment of political knowledge should include both knowledge of events, personalities and institutions as well as political concepts and the procedures by which political institutions operate. (3) McAllister’s research in Australia has revealed a high level of political ignorance – typical of other developed democracies. Of those questioned here, 55% did not know that the Senate was based on proportional representation and only 5% were able to answer correctly all of the questions put.

There is a great deal of evidence of a large and apparently growing uninformed segment of the population, a group that is also less likely to participate in political activity of any kind. Research shows that political participation and knowledge affect each other reciprocally. Knowledge is a prerequisite to effective political engagement and in turn participation informs citizens about politics and increases their attentiveness to political events. This is one of the apparent benefits of compulsory voting, although the degree of “participation” reflected in voting is perhaps the bare minimum.

Around the world, the decline in political participation – particularly in voting – is greatest among those with less education, less money and fewer connections and is most pronounced amongst the young. In the United States, today’s young adults are less politically interested and informed than any cohort of young people on record.

The weakening of political parties and the replacement of policy focused with personality based campaigning has been cited as one of the factors contributing to this decline. The dearth of information about values and policies and the way they affect various groups in the community also reduces the motivation of people to get involved. Marginal seat campaigning which responds to the ephemeral moods of the most undecided effectively says to half the population, ‘Your needs and interests are irrelevant – you’re just spectators’.

The narrowing divide between major parties of the left and right also makes it harder for voters to distinguish among political alternatives, leaving them effectively less politically informed. “Citizen competence is largely a function of the political environment, which often gives the citizen difficult tasks and little support for reforming them.” (4) In this respect, it is instructive to contrast the millions of young people who vote in “Big Brother” elections at some monetary cost with the level of enthusiasm amongst the same young people for general elections, in which they often say they’re not interested and can’t be bothered to vote.

Many people of good will are worried about the direction in which Australia is headed but uncertain about where to turn for an analysis and understanding of what may be done. They are confused by the apparent convergence of the two parties, wanting at least to hear a debate on issues such as the role of government, population and immigration, rising inequality, reconciliation with our indigenous people, simultaneous underemployment and overwork, human rights and international citizenship, models of economic growth, balancing work and life and the priority which should be given to environmental improvement and protection.

In the past, the major political parties, here and elsewhere, were differentiated by their economic and social philosophies. As parties have converged and become less clearly defined, candidate and leadership centered campaigning has become more pronounced. As a result elections are reduced to a competition between individuals rather than ideas and campaign coverage becomes just another from of infotainment, focusing on personality and appeal. Who is more popular or likeable is more important than what they have to say about policy and the contests themselves become more “personal” and negative. For many people this is so offensive that they simply turn off.

In response to this apparent lack on interest and knowledge among many voters, some political activists fall back on democratic elitism. Rather than encouraging participation, they are content to accept this passivity and to circumscribe the voters’ task to choosing between competing elites who will then make all the important decisions on behalf of all the electorate. This seems increasingly to be the view of the cadre of professional politicians who control the development of policy and the conduct of elections. They see no benefit in getting the citizenry involved.

The Role of the Media in Representing Politics and Politicians

No assessment of the state of our democracies would be complete without examining the role the media play in shaping political debates and personalities. There is a widespread belief that the mass media have played a significant role in eroding trust and interest in politics.

Whatever the truth of this assertion, most voters devote only a tiny proportion of their time to the analysis of personalities and issues and often use shortcuts to help them make reasonable choices with imperfect information. They combine, as Popkin observes, “learning and information from past experiences, daily life, the media and political campaigns”. (5) The media have considerable power to frame our understanding of public life, to set the agenda on key issues and to influence the political process. The treatment by the media of the attack on Iraq is the most recent vivid illustration of this effect.

What is certain is that most people do not experience politics at first hand. Voters’ perceptions of the political figures and issues are shaped principally through the news media: this is even more likely in large scale, national and state based constituencies where personal contact with the candidates is made difficult by the sheer weight of numbers and distances. Such coverage is necessarily selective. It may be said that, in this sense, the news media shape rather than mirror the political landscape.

In general, political activities are portrayed in the media as fiercely competitive. Debates are frequently described in adversarial terms and those elements of political life which most resemble combat are most likely to be reported. There is, in all the media, a highly selective reading of issues, a tendency that is cultivated by many in politics. Serving politicians come to appreciate that coverage is more likely if their statements and images are provocative and controversial. Reasoned and moderate argument delivered without vitriol is given a wide berth.

Television, in particular, seems unable to cover complex stories in which the image is secondary to the facts. It is fair to say that the coverage of politics – and current affairs generally – has increasingly come to resemble entertainment. Confrontational media images give the impression that politics is only about argument and conflict, “that all parties are constantly locked in permanent and irreconcilable conflict”.

The choice, for example, to restrict most images of parliamentary proceedings to Question Time with the constant shouting, heckling and interjections reinforces the view of politics as a blood sport unworthy of all but the crude, rude and unattractive.

In addition, debate about politics via current affairs programs is often combative, with the interviewers setting up political opposites for confrontation or adopting an aggressive posture, regardless of whether is contributes to a better understanding of the issues. Interviewer’s reputations are made by their success in unsettling or demolishing interviewees. It appears not to matter that little light has been shed on the subject under discussion. In fairness, the same criteria are often used by politicians to judge their own performance in the media.

There is fairly general consensus among politicians, regardless of political affiliation, that there has been an increasing trend toward “tabloidisation” of both print and electronic media. Political and current affairs coverage is characterised by increasingly brief “grabs”, trivialisation and sensationalism – all inimical to sustained and complex debate. There is also and increasing trend for reporters and presenters’ views to be more intrusive, often ignoring what the interviewee has to say in favour of the media personality’s “authoritative” assertions.

The descriptive style of journalism which focused on the views and behaviour of newsmakers has been replaced by reporting which places the reporter at the centre of the action. In the United States, this has reached the point where during the 2000 campaign, for every minute that the candidates spoke, the network correspondents spoke for six. And their tone was “skeptical, negative and strategic”, a disposition which appears to have contributed to distrust of politicians. (6) This distrust then feeds into reduced involvement including in watching news about politics and campaigns. News organisations then cut back on their coverage or make it softer, producing further declines in involvement.

It’s perhaps not surprising that television has been identified as one of the major causes of declining civic engagement. As one researcher put it, this is primarily a “knowledge reducing effect” as newspapers and public service radio and TV announcements are replaced by commercial TV as the primary source of political information. (7) The commercial media, in particular, devote less time to current political events and when they do, it is often in sensationalist and strategic terms. Candidates are ignored or portrayed as boring if they run issues based campaigns. Attacking sound bites get airtime, positive problem solving statements get the delete button.

In general, we have yet to fully calculate the effects of the transition from word to image on our democracy. As Barber encapsulates the problem:

“A succession of fast-moving images is not conducive to thinking, but it does accommodate advertising, manipulation and propaganda, and these are the hallmarks of modern consumer culture and its privatizing political ideology that displaces governments with markets.” (8)

Media Manipulation

The media are also the principal means by which governments attempt to manipulate public opinion. Propaganda – now called “spin” in an attempt to render it innocuous- is the antithesis of democratic discourse.

We sometimes forget that the restriction of information and the manipulation of public opinion are not solely the prerogatives of totalitarian Governments. Indeed the use of propaganda techniques has been, and is, commonplace in Australia as in many other societies. These appeals persuade not through give-and-take of argument and debate, but through the manipulation of symbols and of our most basic human emotions.

Some of us are old enough to recall the vivid and terrifying images of the yellow peril and the “reds under your beds” drummed into us by conservative governments in the 1950s. More recent examples include Peter Reith’s “construction” of reality in the lead up to the waterfront dispute, the government’s sustained campaign to dehumanise asylum seekers, and the continuing attempts to justify the attack on Iraq.

In the lead up to the sacking of waterfront workers, Reith employed classic propaganda techniques: creating the stereotype of the greedy wharfie by grossly exaggerating their rates of pay and conditions, misrepresenting productivity levels and engaging in continuous name calling and repetition of negative phrases (e.g. rorts) and simplistic slogans.

The goal was clearly to destroy collective action and to ensure that the workers were segregated and alone in bargaining with their employers. There was considerable irony in the alternative labour force later banding together to sue the Minister and the Government for misleading and manipulating them.

The Reith tactics were part of a long-standing propaganda war perpetrated largely by major corporations to portray unions as disruptive, greedy and harmful to the public interest as defined by the business community and its allies. By virtue of their strategic position, docks have long been the crucibles of struggles for improved wages and conditions in most countries, including Australia. Since it is at the heart of the union movement it is attacked – and defended- with considerable vigour.

This was obviously just a practice run for the concerted campaign of vilification which has been conducted against asylum seekers who’ve arrived on our shores in leaky boats. It was Reith too who managed the “children overboard” scandal and repeated with Ruddock and Howard the many calumnies perpetrated against these people. For political advancement they still continue to denigrate their victims, many of whom remain hopelessly strung between their fear of returning to face persecution and their despair at indefinite detention.

It is no accident that in both the cases I have cited, the sell job followed market research and opinion polling. While such polling has some uses, it is also one of the starting points for propaganda and media manipulation designed to convince an unsuspecting public that what is being proposed, while it might appear damaging, is actually benign – “Toxic Sludge Is Good For You”. (9)

Implicit in these strategies is the desire to control public access to information on the grounds that the political elite is best placed to understand what is in the public interest. The strategies rest on the assumption that open and informed public debate is either impossible or undesirable. This is also clearly the view of some in the media – the so-called elite opinion.

Law and order campaigns designed to frighten the population and distract from hard questions of causation provide another illustration of the operation of privileged interests. The fact is that analyses of the causes of crime invariably point to inequality of wealth and power as critical factors. The necessary remedies, including the redistribution of both wealth and power, are not likely to be advocated by the likes of Packer and Murdoch or the political players who protect their privileged allies. They prefer to feed people on a steady diet of alarming images which generate fear and outrage, but not much else.

This is important because the steady diet of bad news can simply bolster the status quo and bad news can, and does, convince people that the world is much more dangerous than it is.

Gerbner found that people who watch a lot of television see the world as much more threatening and filled with menace than those who watch less. Fears about crime, often exploited by politicians, have less to do with actual crime rates than with the perception we get from the news. Bad news can create panic and distort the policy agenda. It’s anyone’s guess how fearful people have become after the declaration of the so-called “War on Terror” and the constant bombardment with threat assessments and warnings of imminent disaster

It is generally the case that those who “engineer consent” are those with the resources and the power to do so – principally the business community and some in the political class. It may be said that the well-connected and the well-protected can work the system, but the interests of the ordinary citizen are often left out.

The major political parties in Australia are becoming more and more dependent on the PR industry – the consultants, marketers and social scientists who manage and promote causes and candidates. The current government routinely undertakes market research and polling at taxpayer’s expense to “test messages” and spin the most acceptable lines. The insistence by the Prime Minister that to do anything other than support out troops as they were sent off to attack Iraq was, almost certainly, a market research driven line. Nothing else really worked.

Protection of citizen’s rights and minority interests

One of the consequences of this sustained manipulation of the media is that many Australians have stood by uncomplaining – even cheering – as their own rights, as well as those of minorities such as indigenous people and refugees, have been eroded. Had it not been for the Senate, many were apparently untroubled by the original ASIO Bill which would have seen children as young as ten detained and searched. The government knew that there was little opposition to detention without trial because they had already left citizens to rot for months in Guantanamo Bay, without lifting a finger to insist on their minimum legal rights. And they had already successfully trampled on Indigenous property rights and disrespectfully denied them recognition and compensation for dispossession and suffering under separation policies. They also knew that they enjoyed widespread community support for locking up refugees indefinitely, in defiance of every international human rights convention. On this front our democracy is in a parlous state. We need a Bill of Rights.

Reforms to increase participation

Popular dissatisfaction with present democratic structures is fuelling calls for reform all over the world. Recent data from the U.K. indicates that the politically dissatisfied are more likely to favour constitutional reforms, such as changes in the role of the House of Lords, judicial protection of human rights, and greater public access to government information.

Recent electoral reforms in Italy, Japan, and New Zealand resulted from public dissatisfaction with the electoral process. Interestingly, as one nation moves towards Proportional Representation (PR) as a solution, another moves in the opposite direction. This makes me sceptical that reforms to political parties and electoral systems are sufficient to address the present malaise. Widespread declines in political support, and growing alienation from various institutions and forms of the democratic process suggest that the sources of dissatisfaction go deeper than what can be addressed by modest electoral reforms.

However, it is worth noting that there is a well-established turnout boost associated with electoral systems based on proportional representation. It has been argued that this is due to otherwise excluded citizens seeking representation from small parties incapable of breaking through in winner-takes all contests. Every vote then does count, as it does with Senate voting in Australia. Under PR, parties have an incentive to inform all voters of their programs rather than just targeting the marginal seat voter. It is possible that PR based multi-party systems may inhibit precipitous changes in a parties’ principles and identity with the result that the political map is more stable and clearly drawn.

People are also expressing a more fundamental dissatisfaction with the system of representative democracy itself. Many express the desire to move toward greater participatory democracy.

The potential for citizen participation is limited in traditional forms of representative democracy. The opportunities for electoral input are scandalously low in most democracies, limited to the chance to cast a few votes during a multiyear electoral cycle. The declining voter turnout in advanced industrial societies suggests growing disenchantment with this form of democratic participation.

Barber’s alternative to this “thin” democracy, a “strong” democracy, incorporates muscular participatory and deliberative elements, something that many citizens are urging for Australia. In such democracies, citizens are engaged in political action and are prepared to engage in debate and deliberation in order to reach agreement about solutions to shared problems. In other words, citizens take a greater role in governing themselves.

Strengthened commitments to the democratic ideal and increased skills and resources in contemporary societies can lead to increased political participation beyond the present forms of representative democracy. A growing body of international research has documented a steady growth of protest and direct-action methods.

It also shows that while participation in elections may be declining, direct contact with government officials and politicians and work with community groups has been increasing. Participation in new social movements, such as the environmental movement, has also increased substantially over the past generation.

These new participation patterns are creating pressure on governments to develop forms of more direct, participatory democracy. For example, surveys of the German public indicate that democratic norms are broadening to embrace more participatory forms of democracy. The use of referendums and initiatives is generally increasing in democratic nations. Younger generations and the better educated are more likely to favour referendums, greater participation by the citizenry, and other forms of direct democracy. The Internet shows promise as a means of broadening the scale and scope of political discussion.

A recent review of the social movement literature describes other ways that institutional reforms can increase direct citizen participation in policy making. In Germany, for example, local citizen action groups have won changes in administrative law to allow for citizen participation in local administrative processes.

Italian environmental legislation now grants individuals legal standing in the courts when they seek to protect the environment from the actions of municipalities or government administrative agencies.

These institutional changes are difficult to accomplish and therefore are likely to proceed at a slow pace; but once implemented they restructure the whole process of making policy that extends beyond a single issue or a single policy agenda.

Similar reforms need to be debated in Australia.

It is possible to do much better, to open up decision making, to involve more MPs and engage the wider community, to actually thrash out the issues in real debates. Australia was once considered the “democratic laboratory” of the world. It’s time to conduct a few new experiments to revive our body politic and embrace the principles of openness, accessibility and accountability.

As a start we could:

* As in the new Scottish Parliament, establish an all party Business Committee to determine the business of the Parliament including the allocation of business to committees. The Committee would require regular endorsement of the Parliament for its plans,

* Amend standing orders to require that a greater proportion of parliamentary time is devoted to non-government business,

* Ensure that legislation introduced by the Executive undergoes a substantial period of pre-legislative development and consultation through the relevant committees, interest groups and the general public,

* Give committees the power to initiate legislation arising from their inquiries, especially if the government has failed to respond to major recommendations,

* Establish joint estimates and legislation committees with the power to question public servants and ministers from either House and to take submissions and commission independent research,

* Limit the number of speakers on legislation and change the standing orders to ensure that a real debate occurs with members from both sides to provide a quorum,

* Restrict Question Time to genuine questions without notice, with a majority going to the Opposition,

* Devote the second chamber to a more extensive deliberation of the bills in committee,

* Provide for private bills which allow private citizens or groups (with sufficient backing) to bring certain matters before the Parliament, probably through sponsoring MPs,

* Require that all petitions be investigated, if necessary by special hearings, of a dedicated petitions’ committee,

* Commission citizens’ juries or deliberative polls on contentious and complex issues,

* Invite expert and community representatives to address the chamber in session and engage in debate with members,

* Promote and sponsor the establishment of groups such as civic and youth forums to enable more regular and efficient consultation with the public, and

* Strengthen freedom of information legislation to reduce the number of exemptions from disclosure.

As well as engaging the general public and their representatives more fully in the democratic process, I believe such initiatives could transform politics in the way that many have dreamed about; into a more engaged and active democracy. The goals of greater participation, more civil and co-operative parliamentary conduct and an informed public debate are worth striving for.

Slow Politics

In preparing for this lecture I read quite a lot of speculative material about the likely effect of the Internet on the operation of modern democracy. It struck me, as I thought about the Internet with its impressive speed, that a strong democracy actually needs a speed limit sign.

We need a political equivalent of the “slow food” movement to enable people to stop and think about the nature of the problems they confront, to assemble all the best ingredients for solutions to these problems and to debate the respective merits of various proposals.

In a speech to the Wesley College Foundation, John Menadue asserted that:

“Politics is too serious a matter to be left to politicians. Unaided, they will not reform our political outlook.”

At one level this might be taken as yet another blow in the national sport of bashing politicians, but Menadue was, in fact, making the more serious point that the health of our democracy requires greater involvement and participation from party members and the community at large. It’s a view I share.

We need to take politics beyond the politicians.

***

Carmen Lawrence delivered this manifesto to protect and enhance our democracy at a public lecture at the University of Western Australia on August 7. She is standing for the ALP presidency in the first direct election of a president by the rank and file since the ALP changed party rules to encourage greater participation by party members after its 2001 federal election defeat.

Footnotes

1. McAllister, Ian, A crisis of democracy – again, in ‘Policy Review’, Summer 2000-2001, 47-49

2. Thompson, Elaine, Australian parliamentary democracy after a century: What gains, what losses? ‘Vision in hindsight: Parliament and the Constitution,’ Paper No. 4, p6, 2000

3. McAllister, I, Civic education and political knowledge in Australia, Australian Senate Occasional Lecture Series, Canberra, 2001

4. Kuklinski, J.H. and Quirk, J.J., Citizen competence revisited, presented at the 2001 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, San Francisco

5. Popkin, Samuel I, The reasoning voter: Communication and persuasion in presidential campaigns, Chicago University Press, 1991

6. Patterson, T.E., The vanishing voter: Civic involvement in the Age of Uncertainty, Alfred A. Knoph, 2002

7. Milner, H., Political participation and the political knowledge of adults and adolescents, paper presented at the 30th ACPR Joint Session Workshops, University of Turin, 1998

8. Barber, B.B., Which technology and which democracy? MIT Communications Forum, 2003

9. Stauber, J. & Rampton, S., Toxic sludge is good for you: Lies, damn lies and the public relations industry, Monroe, Maine, Common courage press, 1995

Here I am

This is the speech Tania Major, 22, will deliver on Wednesday at a meeting between John Howard Howard and Cape York leaders. Tania has a degree in criminology and is a trainee manager at her home community of Kowanyama on Cape York and an ATSIC Regional Councillor.

***

Here I am

by Tania Major

Here I am: a young Cape York woman addressing the Prime Minister of Australia directly. The fact that you are here today, Mr Howard, is largely due to the hard work and vision of our leaders.

We are proud of their efforts. Especially I want to mention Noel Pearson. He has been my mentor and contributed to paying for my education. We are also proud of the efforts of our elders who have struggled to keep our culture alive.

I thank you for coming here today and acknowledge that your visit might signify the start of a new era in Cape York Peninsulas Aboriginal governance. I say ‘might’ because there is a huge job in front of us and if we are going to succeed we need your commitment as well as our own. I hope this is truly the start of a new relationship between Government and Cape York Peninsula people.

In less then 60 years the people of my tribe have gone from being an independent nation to cultural prisoners to welfare recipients. Is it any wonder that there are so many problems facing indigenous Australians today? Prime Minister, I want you to gain a brief picture of the life of young people in our communities.

When I was growing up in Kowanyama there were 15 people in my class. Today I am the only one that has gone to University, let alone finished secondary education. I’m also the only girl in my class who did not have a child at 15. Of the boys in my class seven have been incarcerated, two for murder, rape and assault. Of the 15 there are only three of us who are not alcoholics. And, Prime Minister, one of the saddest things I must report to you is that four of my class mates have already committed suicide.

Now if this paints a grim picture of community life for you, it should. Life as a young Aboriginal person is not easy, in any setting. Life for a young Aboriginal woman is even harder. We have to fight for respect from every one.

The story of my fellow students is a lesson in the magnitude of the problems that young Indigenous people in Cape York face. The two issues that, in my opinion, are central to changing this story are education and health. And your Government’s policies affect these things.

Two months ago I told the Queensland Principals conference that the levels of literacy and numeracy are very low in Aboriginal communities. I told them that when I went to school in Brisbane it was as if I had missed out on my primary education.

There is a huge gap between what we get in communities and what other kids get in cities. I got straight As at Kowanyama but when I got to Brisbane I was getting Cs and Ds. It really goes to show that there was something seriously wrong with the education system in our communities.

One of the problems facing education in remote Indigenous schools is that teachers tend to be just out of training and generally stay for only a year or two. There was not one teacher who stayed for the whole of my nine years at school, even the principals. On top of the racism that Aboriginal people face every day of our lives this seeming lack of commitment by teachers makes you feel they don’t care.

Prime Minister we need to review the curriculum in these communities because it’s pitched at a very low level. I have had to draw the conclusion that Governments and educationalists see us as less than white people.

It was really sad to go to school in my community because the attitude in the whole community was that white kids are much smarter than me. How can the education being offered to our young people be justified?

Education should be uplifting not serve to reinforce lack of self-esteem and the heart wrenching low expectations that my mob suffer from. If we cannot get education right then we are doomed.

We need a massive re-assessment of education policies and an equally massive investment in education. Government let down most of my classmates. Noel Pearson helped me to an education, but most young people won’t be assisted by a sponsor.

I got a chance in my life, worked hard with support from family and friends and today I stand before you as a qualified criminologist. All across Cape York I see and meet young Murris; smart, brave, compassionate, talented and beautiful. What is missing from their lives is an education that promotes self-confidence and drive.

With these qualities, hundreds of Cape York Peninsula Murris could be the next group of doctors, lawyers, painters, mechanics, criminologists or engineers. We have spent so long listening to some whitefellas telling us we are stupid, lazy no-hopers that the majority of my people actually believe it.

The relationship between poor education and poor health is clear. People whose self-esteem and pride have been decimated by a sub-standard education system and a social system that creates an addiction to passive welfare have little reason to live healthy lives.

Prime Minister, our health is getting worse not better. The policies that determine the delivery of health services are deeply flawed by a bureaucracy that does not want to let go and hear our voices. Health services are too often confined to the clinic. It’s a patch em up and spit em out kind of health regime.

In Kowanyama we had the only doctor based in a Cape York Aboriginal community. She left two weeks ago because the Queensland Health bureaucracy did not support her. Her practice epitomised the sort of health system we need. She understood the relationship between physical, mental and spiritual health. She took health out of the clinic and into the lives and homes of community people. She took her responsibilities to serve the community seriously and now she’s gone. Another blow to my community’s already low morale.

Prime Minister, it’s problems and challenges such as the ones I’ve described to you already that led me to stand in last October’s ATSIC election. I decided to run because I believe ATSIC provides a great opportunity to advocate for my people; to have a say in distributing funding through out Cape York Peninsula and influence State and Federal Government policy decisions that affect me and my people.

It is great privilege for me to represent my community and I hope that with experience I will be an effective ATSIC Councillor.

I know that in the coming months your Government will decide the future of ATSIC and I hope that you will understand that ATSIC is more than the Board of Commissioners and the Canberra bureaucracy. ATSIC is also people like myself and my Chairperson Eddie Woodley. People who are from community and work hard for community.

Prime Minister, we recognise that Governments cannot solve our problems for us. As young people we are trying to take responsibility for our future. We are working with our Elders to address the terrible problems of grog, illicit drugs and violence. We are working hard to create economic, training and employment opportunities for ourselves. We are supporting our fellow young people to achieve their potential.

Mr Howard, I ask not that you fix these problems for us but that you and your Government see us as equal partners in the huge task of rebuilding our families, communities and Cape York Peninsula.

You have demonstrated your commitment by engaging your government at the recent family and domestic violence summit and, for what it’s worth Prime Minister, my own view is that the level of domestic violence and child abuse sums up all that has been wrong with Aboriginal affairs policy.

We need a new relationship to address this frightening reality in our lives. Aboriginal people are reluctant to admit that young girls and women are being raped by their own people because of the blanket of shame. I am asking you to help lift that blanket.

The fact that you are here today is a good start in the process of change and I urge you, as a fair minded man, not just as Prime Minister, to become part of the solution. I stand up here as a proud Aboriginal woman, a Kokoberra woman as well as a criminologist and I thank you for your time and attention.

***

In the depths of the gut-wrenching and brutal debate in 2001 about the rape allegations against Geoff Clark and the exposure they triggered of the nightmare lives of many women and children in Aboriginal communities, I wrote about the need for a changing of the guard in Aboriginal leadership. At the time, I tried to get some young leaders to speak out but they refused, citing the tradition of respect for elders. Geoff Clark’s determination to hold on, and on, to power appears to have hastened the necessary guard-change. I’ve republished below a Herald piece I wrote during the rape debate calling for the abolition of ATSIC, and a piece I wrote for the Herald in January 2000 on welfare dependence and the failure of progressives on indigenous policy. Webdiary’s discussion of the rape allegations and subsequent revelations is at Rape and racismUs and themThe sound of values clashingSex, race, violence, politics, media, law – where to for reconciliation?Time for actionIt’s make or break timeRay and TerryEnding the cover-upEasing black men’s rage: many rivers to cross and Geoff, where do you get off?

***

Abolish ATSIC

by Margo Kingston, SMH June 27, 2001

It’s time to stop messing around. ATSIC must be overhauled, the cover-up must end and a fresh, new Aboriginal body put in place to lead the fight for the safety of Aboriginal women and children.

When Evelyn Scott wrote last week that violence against Aboriginal women had become “a part of our tradition and culture and cannot be spoken about” and that “many women and children are cowed into helplessness by their menfolk” the end was nigh for ATSIC in its current form.

When senior Aboriginal women backed her dreadful confession and Australians learned that ATSIC was part of the conspiracy of silence and inaction, the end had come.

Now claims of sexual misconduct swirl around three senior Aboriginal male leaders, all members of the ATSIC hierarchy.

Now Reconciliation Australia, the replacement body for the Council of Aboriginal Reconciliation, urges an end to the talk and the beginning of concentrated, concerted action to save Aboriginal women and children from endemic physical and sexual violence.

ATSIC should have led this debate for years. It should have been its top priority to expose the crisis and to shame white governments into financing solutions. Imagine a world where there is no safe house, nowhere to go if a mother or her child has been raped or bashed. As Labor’s spokeswoman on the status of women, Carmen Lawrence, told the Herald: “There’s no refuges, there’s no support from the legal system, and women are often exposed to the same players. These are the key reasons why indigenous women often shut up about it.”

Yet rather than protect its children, ATSIC was largely silent. It has not denied a devastating claim by former minister John Herron that when he raised the issue five years ago the ATSIC board denied its existence, and that in 1999 deputy chairman Ray Robinson told him ATSIC would allocate a mere $200,000.

Yet in 1995 ATSIC agreed to pay Robinson $45,000 to pursue a private legal action against the Queensland Government for wrongful arrest, after he had been convicted of rape in 1989 (his second rape conviction) then acquitted at a retrial in 1992.

What business was it for ATSIC to underwrite this action, as well as top up his legal expenses?

Robinson said last week on behalf of the ATSIC board that unanimously backed Geoff Clark that ATSIC “will support him in whatever legal course of action he should pursue in seeking remedy against the newspaper”.

Maybe it is time for Aboriginal leaders who cut their teeth winning equal rights for Aboriginal people decades ago to step down in favour of young Aboriginal leaders with fresh ideas and a fresh commitment to further the interests of their people.

One thing is certain: this discredited ATSIC, which cannot see that the safety of Aboriginal children is its top priority, has lost its authority to speak to the Australian people on behalf of the Aboriginal people of Australia.

***

Labor’s silence can only harm Aborigines (published January 17, 2000)

It’s time to the Opposition to stop tiptoeing around the problem of welfare-dependence among indigenous people, writes Margo Kingston.

DURING the last Federal election campaign, Pauline Hanson faced claims by a Queensland One Nation MP that indigenous Australians were better off when they lived and worked on pastoral leases “for a bit of meat”. Hanson responded that it was a much “happier time for the Aborigines and the pastoralists”. The next year, Noel Pearson began his crusade to end “the poison of welfare”, and came close to concurring:

“The dilemma facing policymakers at the time the equal wage case was being debated [in 1965] was this. On the one hand, Aboriginal stockworkers were being discriminated against in relation to their wages and conditions and this could not continue,” Pearson said. “On the other hand, it was clear to everyone that the institution of equal wages would result in the …removal of Aboriginal people from cattle station work to social security on the settlements.”

The tragic consequences of taking the latter option were cultural (Aborigines removed from traditional lands to settlements), social (work to no work) and an end to coexistence, however flawed.

Equal rights for Aborigines are an essential ingredient of a civilised society and a bedrock precursor to reconciliation, but Pearson believes the Government should have used Aborigines’ social security entitlements “to subsidise continued work in the cattle industry” and improve living conditions on the stations. Ironically, this would have meant agreements between government, pastoralists and Aborigines, something taking place only now since the Wik decision.

Labor’s Aboriginal affairs spokesman, Bob McMullan, notes that Pearson’s honesty about the horrors of welfare dependency in Aboriginal communities and his radical solutions like giving social security entitlements to Aboriginal communities rather than individuals are fraught with danger, including One Nation-type dangers of winding back rights.

But Labor has succumbed to this fear for too long. It has not yet engaged in serious public discourse on Aboriginal welfare, leaving itself open to Pearson’s charge that “the left side of politics is strong and correct on rights and the conservative side is strong and correct on responsibilities”.

Another reason for Labor’s silence is its lack of fresh ideas after establishing ATSIC, the embodiment of its self-determination ideal. That vacuum saw Paul Keating renege on the third prong of his promised response to the High Court’s Ameba decision a comprehensive plan to ensure social justice for Aborigines.

As the revolutionary ATSIC endured teething problems, money disappeared before it reached those on the ground. In 1994, an evaluation of Labor’s $250 million Aboriginal health strategy found “little evidence” that it ever existed, “a lack of political will” to get the job done and “a confusing and dysfunctional array of political responses” standing between problem and solution.

The then minister, Robert Tickner, said the Government needed “vision and purpose” to break through, and warned of the pending political mood shift which would fan Hanson’s flame. “The climate of public and government opinion is changing… Now is the time to act,” Tickner said then.

Most Australians are eager for new solutions which benefit from old failures, and would agree with Pearson that it is no longer enough “to just hold on to our ideals as a matter of philosophy and intellectual debate [while] the real society and economy unravels in front of our eyes”.

Keating’s Labor took responsibility for health away from ATSIC and gave it to the health minister. The Coalition’s Michael Wooldridge, deeply committed to Aboriginal advancement, has begun moving some decision-making and responsibility for Aboriginal community health to communities on the ground.

This attachment of rights and responsibilities in a constructive way is what Pearson is talking about.

Last year Peter Reith made an impact with a pilot employment program where private sector employers get a $4,000 subsidy to place an indigenous Australian in paid work for 26 weeks.

Reith’s response to the “special treatment” brigade was the simple, effective statement that Aboriginal unemployment was higher than the average and his job was to ensure equality for all Australians.

It is senseless for progressives committed to the survival of Aboriginal people and their culture to tiptoe around Aboriginal welfare dependence because they fear that engagement would fuel racist flames.

Everyone sees the problem, and without a progressive philosophy to tackle it, the solutions may end up promoting a largely unstated goal of many on the Right assimilation.

Reconciliation is about each culture learning from and adjusting to the other. It should enrich the lives of all Australians. I don’t fear what will happen if progressives publicly debate the future of Aboriginal welfare. I do fear what will happen if they don’t.

How the ALP can win: A conservative sportsloving couch potato’s game plan

To the chagrin of all art-loving, latte drinking, foreign-film watching bleeding hearts out there, 21st Century Australia is dominated by sport, sport and more sport. So when the ALP considers how it is going to dig itself out of its electoral hole it could look at what Australian sporting clubs do when faced with a crisis.

1. Get everyone swimming in the same direction

An age-old adage in Australian sporting clubs is that if performance on the field is consistently bad for a long period of time then something is going wrong off the field. It could be at board level, or with the coaching staff or player recruitment, but if everyone is not moving in the same direction you can hardly expect the players to get it right on the field.

Simon Crean and his leadership group are the players. Is everyone behind them swimming in the same direction? Can they really be expected to get political traction when there are factions within the party actively undermining them?

2. Do we have the structure in place for success on the field?

You can have all the best tactical ideas for on-field performance but if you do not have the structure in place to facilitate the best outcomes you end up butting your head against the proverbial brickwall. The lines of communication need to be open between all levels of the organisation – between the board and the coaching staff, coaching staff and recruiters, and the club and its fans.

Whilst there have been many internal reforms going in the ALP, have they got the most crucial part of their structure right – open lines of communication?

3. Do we have the right people in place?

It’s obvious that you need the right coach, on field captain and leadership group. To keep your fans turning up week in and week out during bad on-field performances is very difficult, but if the fans believe your coach and captain are capable of turning the situation around they’ll give you the benefit of the doubt.

But the fans are only part of it. If the whole organisation is not in agreement on these key positions then it pervades all on and off-field debate.

The most important qualities of sporting club leaders are a core system of beliefs about the club and the ability to get everyone to sacrifice self-interest for the team’s success.

Are Simon Crean and his leadership group able to inspire this in the ALP? Maybe the lack of a structure behind Crean means he hasn’t got a united team, but I don’t think so. The problem is that there is a fundamental rift about the core systems of belief in the party. Can Simon Crean win over everyone in his organisation to his core system of beliefs? If he can, players will put aside personal ambition for party success.

4. Process over Results

This is a very fashionable concept in sporting circles. If we get the process and execution right then the results will follow. This means preparation – diet, physical training and tactical drills. The thinking is that we get right what we can control before we even think about our opponents.

Rather than responding to the issues occupying the day- to the daily news cycle – the ALP should be getting its preparation right. Do the shadow ministers fully, deeply understand what is happening in their portfolio? Do the backbenchers know what their electorates think? Is there a strong process in place to get all the best ideas in the party to the leadership group? Have they sought advice from specialists outside their organisation?

5. Passion

Fans and coaches will forgive a lot of things if the players have passion. You can have all the talent in the world, but if you do not have passion you will never win the trust of the coach or the devotion of the fans.

The ALP committed a heinous sin by adopting the small target, ‘not lose’ strategy. The leadership turned off ALP representatives, members and supportive voters by not showing passion. The Australian public knows what John Howard stands for but do they know what the ALP stands for.

6. Keep it simple, stupid

Whether the message is from the coach to the players, the club to its fans or the club to its sponsors, the adage ‘Keep it simple, stupid’ always applies. It is the hallmark to success in any club because it usually means that everyone can understand the message and sign up to it.

Whether it is a message to voters or within its organisation the ALP has to keep the message simple. Contrast the knowledge nation hodge podge with IT’S TIME.

Maybe Simon Crean should visit Arden St. and ask the boys at his beloved North Melbourne how they keep a financially struggling club alive.

Disclosure: I’m one of those over-represented, much maligned minority groups – conservative white male. Love my footy (any and all footy), cricket, beer, bourbon and horse racing. My left-over brain cells from years of party hard in Sydney’s pubs and clubs have been used to work over-time (without union representation) and to consume history, philosophy and espionage books. I’ve worked in dodgy $2 shops and as a disability support staffer, a failed pool hustler, a battered and bruised bubble stockbroker and a resident jack of all trades in an industrial technology company in the United States. Pet hates – bad jockeys and self-servicing politicians. Ambitions – to write a decent novel one day and to own a Melbourne Cup winner. (Daniel lives in the blue ribbon Sydney north shore seat of Bradfield.)

Journalism not for sale

Dear Colleagues

The ABC had argued in its recent Triennial Funding Submission to Government that we would not be able to maintain our current level of activity without an increase in funding for content.

Having failed to secure that additional funding in the May budget, I foreshadowed the impact this would have on ABC services and programs. You will be aware I had previously announced the closure of our digital multichannel services as a result of funding pressures.

As you will understand, the Corporation must live within its budget funds as appropriated by Parliament. Our primary objective in examining how to achieve this has been to retain programs wherever possible. No decisions were easy.

Every effort was made to determine fairly which programs and services are to be affected, bearing in mind our Charter obligations and my determination to minimise impact on our staff and audience. The five overarching objectives which underlined managements budget strategy were:

– minimise impact on staff
– minimise impact on audience
– maximise achievement of ABCs Charter obligations
– balance the ABCs long terms strategic priorities and its current 3 year funding arrangement with Government, and
– balance the ABCs recurrent activity levels with recurrent sources of funding.

On Thursday of last week the Board approved a budget strategy for the 2003/04 financial year which I believe enables us to achieve the above objectives.

Faced with the task of having to bridge a recurrent funding gap of some $26m, management had made proposals for reductions to programming and non-programming budgets. In brief those reductions covering a full financial year and which include the previous decision in respect of the multichannels, are:

Corporate Support and other non-program functions: $5.04m
Television: $7.11m
Digital multichannels $7.27m
News and Current Affairs: $5.43m
Radio: $0.20m
New Media: $0.05m
Development $1.00m

Although we will endeavour to redeploy as many staff as possible, unfortunately it is anticipated that some twenty to twenty five jobs will be made redundant as a result of our budget pressures. This impact is subject to the agreed consultation process. Those staff that may be impacted directly by the budget outcome have been separately advised by management.

Details of the program and service reductions are provided in the below media release to be issued shortly.

Staff may very well question the need for program and service reduction when the Government has maintained our funding in real terms. As I have endeavoured to explain publicly on a number of occasions this problem we find ourselves having to confront has generally been brought about as a result of:

– The costs of broadcasting and television program acquisition costs increasing at a higher rate than the increase in our funding base,
– The requirement for closed captioning of certain television programs for which the ABC has never received funding for, and
– The investment by the ABC in the operation of digital multichannels again for which we have received no ongoing funding from Government.

Staff will also be aware of expansion in other areas over recent years including Online and NewsRadio, again for which we received no additional funding.

As difficult as any decision is to reduce programs and services, the ABC has no option other than to operate within the level of funds provided by the Parliament.

While the resources of the ABC are diminished, its responsibilities are not.

I am confident that we have made the best arrangements to meet those responsibilities – both to our staff, and to our audiences whilst we continue to grow our audiences and discharge our obligations as Australias National Broadcaster.

It has been recently suggested in the media that the ABCs funding difficulties could be overcome if the ABC were to modify its News and Current Affairs programs, or modify its response to Government complaints. That in return, the ABC may be favoured with additional funding.

Doing that would not protect the ABC, but bring about its demise. ABC journalism is not for sale and I am confident staff understand that.

Furthermore, I think the Australian people understand it, and generations of Australians have placed their trust in the ABC’s independence from political and commercial influence. We must not betray that trust.

If continued funding difficulty is the price of proper editorial independence, then the ABC must be prepared to pay it.

Although it has been an extremely difficult period for ABC staff, both leading up to the announcement of the Federal Budget in May and the period since, I am confident that the professionalism, dedication and resilience of ABC staff will prevail and the Corporation will continue to deliver quality programs to our audiences.

As we progress this matter I will keep staff informed. Consultation with staff has now commenced and consultation with the Unions will commence shortly.

Russell Balding
Managing Director
4 August 2003

Gulliver unbound: can America rule the world?

 

Josef Joffe, a contributing editor of Time magazine and publisher-editor of Die Zeit, delivered the twentieth annual John Bonython lecture at the Centre for Independent Studies in Sydney last night.

There has never been a Gulliver as Gulliveresque as 21st century America. It dwarfs anybody in the present as well as in the past. Of all the former greats, only Rome fits the description although, for precision’s sake, it should be classified as an empire. For at the height of its power, after it had subjugated the lands between the British Isles, Carthage and the Levant, Rome was virtually identical with the then international system itself. Its successors – the Papacy or the Empire, Habsburg-Spain or the France of Louis XIV, 19th century Britain or 20th century Germany – were only would-be hegemons.

True, the sun never set on Charles V’s empire, Britain ruled the waves in the 19th century, and Nazi Germany went all the way to the gates of Moscow and Cairo. But they were vulnerable to combinations of other powers which prevailed over them in the end. Nor was Britain a real exception. To uphold its exalted position, it depended on allies all the way to World War II, when it was almost done in by a single foe, Nazi Germany.

America is unique in time and space. Others might be able to defy the US, but they can neither compel nor vanquish it – except in the meaningless sense of nuclear devastation that will be mutual. The sweep of its interests, the weight of its resources and the margin of its usable power are unprecedented.

None other than Hubert Vedrine, the French foreign minister, has made the point in all its glory – though grudgingly, one must assume. “The United States of America”, he proclaimed, “today predominates on the economic, monetary [and] technological level, and in the cultural area . . . In terms of power and influence, it is not comparable to anything known in modern history.” In short, the U.S. is a hyper-puissance, a ‘hyper-power’.

Indeed, just to mention two numbers. When in the spring of 2002, George W. Bush asked the Congress for a supplemental defense appropriation, the sum requested – $48 billion – represented twice the annual defense outlays of Germany or Italy. If US defence spending proceeds as planned, by 2007 this ‘hyperpower’ will invest more in defence than all other countries combined.

This giant, a kind of Uber-Gulliver, is different from its predecessors in a number of other ways.

First, unlike Rome et al., he can intervene – without the help of allies – anywhere in the world, and almost in real-time, as those B-52 bombers that rose in Missouri, dropped their bomb load over Afghanistan and then returned home, all in one fell swoop, demonstrated. Bases, as during the Second Iraq War, are useful and important, but not vital, as the closure of Turkey to the passage of American troops demonstrated earlier this year. No other power could ever project so much might so far so fast and so devastatingly.

Second, the US economy is the world’s largest, but in a fundamentally different way than, say, Habsburg’s. The Habsburg Empire was like Saudi – Arabia-essentially an extraction economy, a one-horse hegemon. When the silver from Latin America dried up, so did Habsburg’s power. For all of its failings – from the Enron scandal to the rising current account deficit – the American economy seems better positioned to conquer the future than any of its current rivals, for at least two reasons.

One, it is more flexibly organised, hence better prepared to respond to ever more rapid shifts in demand and technology. Two, it enjoys an enormous competitive advantage in the acquisition of today’s most important factor of production – knowledge. It is not just the global predominance of Harvard and Stanford, Caltech and MIT, but something more profound and less obvious.

This is a culture that keeps drawing the best and the brightest to its shores – which, by the way, is true for the English-speaking nations in general. No longer is it Metternich, Hitler or Stalin who are driving talent across the Atlantic. It comes entirely unpropelled, attracted by the wealth of opportunity and the speed of advancement. How this most precious resource will be able to clear the barriers of the Patriot Act is an issue America has not yet begun to tackle.

A third mainstay of American preponderance is cultural. This is another significant contrast with past hegemons. Whereas the cultural sway of Rome, Britain and Soviet Russia ended at its military borders, American culture needs no gun to travel. If there is a global civilisation, it is American. Nor is it just McDonald’s and Hollywood, it is also Microsoft and Harvard. Wealthy Romans used to send their children to Greek universities; today’s Greeks, that is, the Europeans, send their kids to Roman, that is, American universities – and to British boarding schools.

Why this peculiar twist? Maybe, it is the fact that America is the ‘first universal nation’, one whose cultural products appeal to so large an audience because they transcend narrow national borders. It all began a hundred years ago when Russian Jews from the Pale started making movies in Hollywood that interpreted the ‘American Dream’ to the rest of the world.

To recapitulate: This Uber-Gulliver packs a threefold set of uniquely big muscles – military, economic and cultural – and there is nothing on the horizon of political reality that suggests the speedy demise of his hegemony.

Certainly, it will not be the kind of over-extension that felled Rome, Habsburg et al. In the last hundred years, average military spending as proportion of GDP has been four percent – with the Second World War and the Vietnam War as significant exception. Four percent is a far cry from the estimated 25 percent spent by the Soviet Union in the 1980s, the decade before its collapse.

After Bipolarity: Must Go Down What Comes Up?

Nonetheless, history and theory suggest that this cannot last. In the international system, power will always beget counter-power, usually by way of coalitions and alliances among the lesser players, and ultimately war, as in the cases of Napoleon, Wilhelm II. and Adolf I. Has this game already begun? The answer is ‘No, but’.

It is ‘No’ for two reasons. First, America irks and domineers, but it does not conquer. It tries to call the shots and bend the rules, but it does not go to war for land and glory. Maybe, America was simply lucky. Its ’empire’ was at home, between the Appalachians and the Pacific, and its enemies – Indians and Mexicans – easily bested. The last time the US actually did conquer was in the Philippines and Cuba a hundred years ago.

This is a critical departure from traditional great power behaviour. For the balance-of-power machinery to crank up, it makes a difference whether the others face a usually placid elephant or an aggressive T. rex. Rapacious powers are more likely to trigger hostile coalitions than nations that contain themselves, so to speak. And when the U.S. attacked Afghanistan and Iraq, it was not exactly invading an innocent like Belgium.

Nonetheless, Mr. Big is no pussycat, and he does throw his weight around. Why is it so hard to balance against him?

My answer: Counter-aggregations do not deal very well with the postmodern nature of power. Let’s make no mistake about it. ‘Hard power’ – men and missiles, guns and ships – still counts. It remains the ultimate, because existential, currency of power. But on the day-to-day transaction level, ‘soft power’ is the more interesting coinage. It is less coercive and less tangible. It grows out of the attraction of one’s ideas. It has to do with ‘agenda setting’, with ‘ideology’ and ‘institutions’, and with holding out big prizes for cooperation, such as the vastness and sophistication of one’s market.

‘Soft power’ is cultural-economic power, and very different from its military kin. The US has the most sophisticated army in the world, but it is in a class of its own in the soft-power game. On that table, none of the others can match America’s pile of chips; it is American books and movies, universities and research labs, American tastes high and low that predominate in the global market.

This type of power – a culture that radiates outward and a market that draws inward – rests on pull, not on push; on acceptance, not on imposition. Nor do the many outweigh the one. In this arena, Europe, Japan, China and Russia cannot meaningfully ‘gang up’ on the US like in an alliance of yore. All of their movie studios together could not break Hollywood’s hold because if size mattered, India, with the largest movie output in the world, would rule the roost. Nor could all their universities together dethrone Harvard and Stanford. For sheer numbers do not lure the best and the brightest from abroad who keep adding to the competitive advantage of America’s top universities.

Against soft power, aggregation does not work. How does one contain power that flows not from coercion but seduction?

Might it work in the economic sphere? There is always the option of trading blocs-cum-protectionism. But would Europe (or China or Japan) forego the American market for the Russian one? Or would Europe seek solace in its vast internal market alone? If so, it would forgo the competitive pressures and the diffusion of technology that global markets provide. The future is mapped out by DaimlerChrysler, not by a latter-day ‘European Co-Prosperity Sphere’.

This is where the game has changed most profoundly. Its rivals would rather deal with America’s ‘soft power’ by competition and imitation because the costs of economic warfare are too high – provided, of course, that strategic threats do not re-emerge. To best Gulliver, Europe et. al. must do their work-out at home.

‘Soft’ Balancing

These two reasons help to explain why ‘hard’ balancing – alliances and war – has not set in against the American Uber-Gulliver. But remember the ‘No, but’. The ‘but’ is a shorthand for saying that ‘soft balancing’ against Mr. Big has already set in.

Is there a date? It is Christmas Day 1991, when the hammer-and-sickle flag over the Kremlin was hauled down for the last time, when the Soviet Union committed suicide by dissolution. From this point onward, the structure of international changed from bipolarity to unipolarity. Gulliver’s power was no longer neutralised and stalemated by another player of equivalent weight. The ropes were off, so to speak, and that had political consequences.

What is ‘soft balancing?’ The best example is the run-up to the Second Iraq War when a trio of lesser powers – France, Germany and Russia – all ‘ganged up’ on No. 1 diplomatically in their effort to stop the Anglo-American move against Saddam Hussein. What was their purpose? To save Saddam Hussein? No, of course not. It was to contain and constrain American power, now liberated from the ropes of bipolarity.

And why not? Assume this American victory, swift as it turned out to be, is also sustainable – that it intimidates rather than inflames Arabs and Iranians, relieves dependence on dangerous clients such as Saudi Arabia and Egypt, and finally loosens up the dysfunctionalities of Arab political culture that spawned Al Qaida. Such an outcome will finally consecrate the US as arbiter over the Middle East, over its oil and politics. This prospect can hardly enthuse the lesser players, for it would certify what is already the case de facto: the global primacy of the United States.

So it should not come as a surprise that America’s rivals and quondam allies would try to balance against No. 1 by enmeshing him in the ropes of institutional dependence, that is, the UN Security Council. This was a classic instance of ‘soft balancing’ against No. 1 – spawned by the profound shock to the international equilibrium caused by the demise of No. 2, the Soviet Union.

Another kind of balancing, let’s call it ‘surreptitious balancing’, had begun much earlier, in the mid-1990s, when the US regularly found itself alone and on the other side of such issues as the ABM Treaty or the International Criminal Court. Au fond, all of these duels were not about principle, but power. If the United States wanted to scratch the ABM Treaty in favor of Missile Defense, Europe, China and Russia sought to uphold it on the sound assumption that a better defense makes for a better offense, hence for richer US military options than under conditions of vulnerability.

And so with the International Criminal Court (ICC). In the end, even the Clinton team correctly understood the underlying thrust of the ICC. Claiming the right to pass judgment on military interventions by prosecuting malfeasants ex post facto, the Court might deter and thus constrain America’s forays abroad. All the Liliputians would gain a kind of droit de regard over American actions.

Europe and others cherished this expansion of multilateral oversight precisely for the reason why the United States opposed it. Great powers loathe international institutions they cannot dominate; lesser nations like them the way the Lilliputians liked their ropes on Gulliver. The name of the game was balancing-on-the-sly, and both sides knew it, though it was conducted in the name international law, not of raw power.

Can Gulliver Go It Alone?

To recapitulate. One, Gulliver is an Uber-Gulliver. Unique in time and space, he has the largest pile of chips on all significant gaming tables: military-technological, economic and cultural. Second, hard balancing, the anti-hegemonial tool of choice in history, has not set in because this Gulliver, for the time being, is more of an elephant than a T. rex. Third, as the last decade has shown, the international system will exact its revenge, and so, ‘soft balancing’ and ‘balancing-on-the-sly’ has already set in, as international relations theory correctly predicted once bipolarity – the mutual stalemating of nos. 1 and 2 – was dead. Now, to my fourth and final point: Can Gulliver go it alone?

The answer is no. Given No. 1’s exalted position in the international hierarchy of power, one must assume that he would want to remain what he is – Gulliver forever. If so, he has two, and only, two choices. One would seek to undercut or outmaneuver countervailing coalitions, a latter-day British grand strategy, so to speak. The other is a strategy that would emphasise cooperation over competition, a kind of retake of the Golden Age of American diplomacy of the early postwar decades.

Strategy I is the ‘Rumsfeld Strategy’ en vogue right now, one that follows the Secretary of Defence’s famous injunction: “The mission determines the coalition, and not the other way round.” This is the logical counter to the attempts on the part of nos. 2, 3, 4, 5 etc. to tie down Gulliver with the ropes of institutional dependence, where it is ‘one nation, one vote’. The essence of the game is to pick ever changing coalitions of the willing within which the word of No. 1 is the writ of the whole. This strategy actually antedates Don Rumsfeld; George Bush the Elder enacted it in the First Iraq War and Bill Clinton assembled a NATO posse for the Kosovo intervention. The rule here is: Act only with those you can dominate.

A complementary strategy is ‘counter-counter-balancing’ to neutralise the kind of anti-American coalition France, Germany and Russia tried to organise in the run-up to the Second Iraq War. Against this ‘Neo-Triple Entente’, the Bushies engineered the ‘Wall Street Eight’ and the ‘Vilnius Ten’. And so, on January 30, Messrs. Chirac and Schroder woke up to an op-ed piece in the Wall Street Journal/Europe where the leaders of Britain, Spain, Italy, Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Denmark and Portugal told Paris and Berlin in so many words: “We are not amused that you are trying to gang up on the United States. Saddam must be disarmed, by force if need be.”

Repeated more harshly by the ‘Vilnius-10’ on February 5 (“We are prepared to contribute to an international coalition to enforce…”), the message was that 18 European countries (from A like Albania to S like Slovenia) were not ready to take on the ‘hyperpower’ – and even less ready to submit to the French and Germans as would-be gang leaders.

A clever counter-move, but such a strategy – balancing a la Britain – has not been America’s greatest forte. Nor will it take care of the underlying dynamics of the post-bipolar world. Great power will keep generating counter-power sooner or later. Better, and probably more economical in the long run, is a strategy that undercuts the incentives for ganging up – to soften he hard edge of America’s overwhelming power with the soothing balm of trust. In his State of the Union Address of 2003, George W. Bush did not hold out such relief when he asserted that, in the end, “The course of this nation does not depend on the decisions of others.”

Hence, Grand Strategy II – updating the Golden Age of American diplomacy. America’s core role then was institution-building, as illustrated by a whole alphabet soup of acronyms: UN, IMF, GATT, OEEC/OECD, NATO, World Bank, WTO, PfP, plus a host of subsidiary Cold War alliances like ANZUS, SEATO and CENTO. Think of these not just as international institutions , but as international public goods, and the point is that these institutions took care of American interests while serving those of others. This was an extraordinary break with centuries of power politics. For previous hegemons were in business for themselves only.

What is the advantage of such a strategy? I would argue that nos. 2, 3, 4 … will prefer cooperation with no. 1 to anti-American coalitions as long as the US remains the foremost provider of such international public goods – call them security, free trade, financial stability and an orderly procedure for conflict resolutions.

The essence of public goods is that anybody can profit from them once they exist – like a park in the neighbourhood or an unpolluted river. That gives the lesser players a powerful incentive to maintain the existing order and to accord at least grudging acceptance to the producer of those benefits. At the same time, it diminishes their incentives to gang up on him.

While the others surely resent America’s clout, they have also found it useful to have a player like the United States in the game. Europe and Japan regularly suffer from America’s commercial hauteur, but they also suspect that the US is the ultimate guarantor of the global trade system. Britain and France were only too happy to let American cruise missiles bludgeon the Serbs to the negotiating table in 1995 and 1999. The Arabs hardly love the US, but they did cooperate when George Bush mobilised an international posse against Saddam Hussein in 1990 because they could not contain him on their own. And so again in 2001 when Bush the Younger harnessed a worldwide coalition against terrorism.

When lesser powers cannot deter China in the Straits of Taiwan, or persuade North Korea to denuclearise, it is nice to have one special actor in the system who has the will and the wherewithal to do what others wish but cannot achieve on their own. Indeed, he is indispensable. In the language of public goods theory: There must always be somebody who will recruit individual producers, organise the startup and generally assume a disproportionate burden in the enterprise. That is as true in international affairs as it is in grassroots politics.

But now you will ask: Why continue to pay a disproportionate share of the bill? Here are some answers. By providing security for others – in Europe, the Middle East and the Pacific – the US has also bought security for itself. Stability is its own reward because it prevents worse: arms races, nuclear proliferation, conflicts that spread.

Enlarging NATO, though costly to the American taxpayer, brings profits to both Poland and the United States because anything that secures the realm of liberal democracy benefits its leading representative.

Shoring up the World Trade Organisation (WTO), even when it pronounces against Washington, is still good for America because, as the world’s largest exporter, it has the greatest interest in freer trade.

Are the costs of ‘public goods’ production intolerable? The problem is that the bulk of the world’s great institutions were built during the Cold War when it was clearly in the interest of no. 1 to shoulder the burden and sign the checks. Since then, it is no longer so clear that the United States puts more resources into international institutions than it seeks to draw from them.

America’s old penchant for free trade is now diluted by preferences for ‘managed trade’, which is a euphemism for regulated trade. Having regularly castigated the EU for its protectionist agricultural policy, the US has now handed out billions in largesse to its own farmers, adding a nice dollop for steel producers, too. And if it cannot achieve consensus, the US will act unilaterally – or bilaterally, as most recently in the Second Iraq War.

The costs of a ‘communitarian’ grand strategy are clearly high. First, Gulliver has to pay a disproportionate share of the institutional maintenance fee. Second, he will have to resist those domestic forces – steel, farmers – who would maximise their welfare at the expense of global welfare. Third, he will have to expend an inordinate diplomatic effort to persuade and cajole. Finally, he may sometimes find himself immobilised by the Lilliputians.

On the other hand, the costs of a ‘Rumsfeld Strategy’ may be worse. As the US diminishes its investment in global public goods, others will feel the sting of American power more strongly. And the incentive to discipline Mr. Big will grow.

Short of that, the aftermath of the Second Iraq War seems to suggest that it is easier to go in by yourself than to leave by yourself. There are just too many players in this game who would love to see the US and Britain fail, starting with the remnants of the Baathist regime and continuing with Iran, the Arab dictatorships and the Palestinians. Presumably the Neo-Triple-Entente that tried to stop the war would not mind either if the US had its nose bloodied in the Middle East. The long and the short of this is: The most sophisticated military panoply in history cannot quite substitute for international legitimacy.

But let’s look beyond Iraq and generalise the point. The most interesting issues in world politics cannot be solved even by an Uber-Gulliver acting alone. How shall we count the ways? Nuclear proliferation in Iran and North Korea, international terrorism, free trade, global financial stability, mayhem in places like Liberia, the Congo or the Sudan, climate control, the AIDS epidemic in Africa, China’s transition from totalitarianism to the rule of law and perhaps even democracy, the political pathologies of the Arab Middle East that gave us Al-Qaida. These are all issues that, almost by definition, require collective responses.

So Gulliver’s choices seem all to clear. Primacy does not come cheap, and the price is measured not just in dollars and cents, but above all in the currency of obligation. Conductors manage to mould 80 solo players into a symphony orchestra because they have fine sense for everybody else’s quirks and qualities – because they act in the interest of all; their labour is the source of their authority.

And so a truly great power must do more than merely deny others the reason and opportunity for ‘ganging up’. It must also provide essential services. Those who do for others engage in systemic supply-side economics: They create a demand for their services, and that translates into political profits also known as ‘leadership’.

Power exacts responsibility, and responsibility requires the transcendence of narrow self-interest. As long as the United States continues to provide such public goods, envy and resentment will not escalate into fear and loathing that spawn hostile coalitions. But let’s put this in less lofty terms.

Real empires routinely crush their rivals. But America is only an ‘imperial republic’, as Raymond Aron mused decades ago. Presumably, democracies pay ‘decent respect to the opinions of mankind’ because they cherish that respect for themselves. They are better off leading by heeding because they cannot sustain the brutish ways of Rome for any length of time.

Unwilling to conquer, this ’empire’ still needs order beyond borders. The objective is the right ‘milieu’. To achieve it, America must sometimes use force; to sustain it, the sword is not enough – and too costly, to boot. But to build the right coalitions for peace, the United States must not forsake the ‘co’ in ‘coalition’ – as in ‘consensus’ and ‘cooperation’. As Gulliver learned, it is hard enough to live even as friendly giant among the pygmies. It is even harder to escape their slings and arrows when strength is untempered by self-restraint. For power shall be balanced.

Democracy’s meaning

G’Day. The themes we explored in July – Howard’s anti-democratic agenda, spin, lies, the suppression of free speech, unholy alliances – are rolling right into into August. I’ve inducted ABC managing director Russell Balding into Webdiary’s Taking a stand honour roll for his fiery commitment to editorial independence no matter what Alston and co throw at him or how much they try to starve the ABC to death (ABC slashes shows but defies Alston). Get this: “If continued funding difficulty is the price of proper editorial independence, then the ABC must be prepared to pay it,” he said in a memo to staff. It’s digging in time, folks.

This week education minister Brendan Nelson, the bloke who threatened to cross the floor to preserve a free media when Howard wanted Packer to take over Fairfax in 1997 but says nothing at all on Howard’s current desire to see Packer buy Fairfax and Murdoch buy a TV network, has been exposed gutting a report on the state of higher education (Ugly details cut from uni policy report). This story was a Sydney Morning Heraldscoop, perhaps one of those stories you won’t hear about if Howard’s cross media plan gets through the Senate next time.

Nelson’s media minder is none other than Ross Hampton, the bloke who did the spin and suppress work for Peter Reith during the children overboard cover-up, refused to give evidence to the Senate inquiry and, of course, kept his Liberal Party job.

While Nelson censors, Howard misleads, again. He’s been exposed misleading Parliament, one of those little things that used to trigger a ministerial resignation (PM misled Parliament on ethanol talks, says Crean).

On cross media, Packer has taken a stake in the top-rating online jobs search site Seek (Farewell Monster, hello Seek.) There’s now three major competitors – Packer, Fairfax and Murdoch. Wouldn’t it be great if Packer took over Fairfax? Down to two players, and that equals duopoly and that equals monopoly profits. The government’s cross media agenda is beyond scary – it would transform this nation’s democracy, politics, business world and sports world into playthings for the big two.

July’s top five referring sites (except for news.google) were whatreallyhappenedbushwatchthesquizbunyipblogspot and sievx.

The ten most read Webdiaries in July were:

1. Faultlines in Howard’s plan for absolute power, July 8

2. Howard’s roads to absolute power, June 30

3. The new global mosaic, July 29

4. It Matters!, July 22

5. Webdiary’s ethics, July 23

6. Howard worries liberals, too July 3

7. Good one John, but why stop at the ABC?, July 25

8. Once bitten, twice bitten?, July 17

9. Anger as an energy, July 22

10. Australian crimes against humanity, July 8

This Webdiary is about democracy and how citizens might help save it, so I thought you’d be interested in re-reading John Howard’s preamble to the constitution which he put to the people at the same time as the republic question. It’s empty words, of course – Howard hates the idea of a citizen’s bill of rights because that would limit his power to trample them.

With hope in God, the Commonwealth of Australia is constituted as a democracy with a federal system of government to serve the common good. We the Australian people commit ourselves to this Constitution

* proud that our national unity has been forged by Australians from many ancestries;

* never forgetting the sacrifices of all who defended our country and our liberty in time of war;

* upholding freedom, tolerance, individual dignity and the rule of law;

* honouring Aborigines and Torres Strait Islanders, the nation’s first people, for their deep kinship with their lands and for their ancient and continuing cultures which enrich the life of our country;

* recognising the nation-building contribution of generations of immigrants;

* mindful of our responsibility to protect our unique natural environment;

* supportive of achievement as well as equality of opportunity for all;

* and valuing independence as dearly as the national spirit which binds us together in both adversity and success.

Daniel Moye’s ‘Understanding boundaries’ in Why conservatives fear John Howard has got me thinking. Daniel, who describes himself as a conservative, set out four issues of concern in Howard’s way – an unnecessary reduction in civil rights, misleading conduct on selling the war on Iraq, actively suppressing dissent, and lessening government accountability and transparency.

Harry Heidelberg, a small ‘l’ Liberal, concurs with Daniel’s four points, as do I, a novice Greens voter. I wonder – what say Daniel, Harry, greenie Jack Robertson and ALP member Guido Tresoldi got together to nut out the issues they all agreed were both crucial to democracy and under threat from John Howard. They could come back with their list and the rationale behind it for publication on Webdiary. The parameters of the discussion could perhaps be set by a question Daniel poses in a piece published below: “What is at the heart of democracy that makes it so sustainable, valuable and worth fighting for?”

They could, if they wished, imagine it this way. You all live in a community in Australia. Naturally you disagree on many things. Are there issues of concern to all of you that you could imagine working together on in your community to keep your local, state and federal politicians honest and let your community know what’s going on?

A fantasy: ‘Save our democracy’ groups develop all around Australia to work together on the ground. There’d be local websites, local input and questions to political representatives.

I first discussed the gradual emergence of ‘unholy alliances’ in Faultlines in Howard’s plan for absolute power, a piece republished in part in a new bi-monthly local magazine in the Tweed called The Mindreader. It was set up by local dissidents to expose the developer backed and funded “Balance’ team which controls Council. The Four Corners transcript of the dire state of play in the Tweed is at Ocean views. I’ve seen one issue ofThe Mindreader, in which opposition councillors – Liberal, Labor, National and Green – got together to advertise their common goals, namely a level playing field for residents and transparency in decision making. Imagine independent local community papers run by local citizens all over the place – now wouldn’t that be good for democracy!

Today Harry Heidelberg’s response to Daniel Moye’s ‘Understanding boundaries’, a piece by Daniel on why media diversity and a strong Senate are vital to our democracy, and a response to ‘Understanding boundaries’ by Webdiarist Philip Hewett.

But first, here’s a nice exchange between Harry and Bill Condie, who liked Harry’s Will Howard beat Bush?

Bill: As an old hack who never compliments anyone, can you pass on to Harry Heidelberg my view that his piece was fabulous. Really one of the most intelligent things I’ve read in months. There always has been an uneasy tension in America between people who have read and understood Voltaire and the freaks on the Mayflower. It’s just so very hard to see when Kingaroy seems to win so much more than Surry Hills (an inner city Sydney suburb).

Harry: I am not so sure that Kingaroy wins more than Surry Hills. There’s a Surry Hills revolution taking place in America and George Bush can’t control it no matter how hard he tries. The coasts are going to take back the hard centre! Anyway, I can’t wait to get to Florida, the land of the dangling and dimpled chads, the land where Al Gore was robbed. Without 9-11, there would be an ongoing debate right now about the legitimacy of this president. As it is Bush still may have to face up to that one

***

Harry to Daniel:

Daniel is right. There are certain boundaries, and while as an individual I don’t like to be bound, I quite like it when the powerful are bound. Then there’s the individualism he speaks of. It’s also very Aussie. I shiver when I see people cow-towing to authority.

Those in power need to remember they are duty bound. This lapses after a long period in office and it’s the reason why democracy and the constant urge for change and reinvention is so healthy. People are always insisting they don’t like change – but when they decide it is needed they decide in DROVES.

I’m with Daniel on all his issues:

1. Civil rights. I concur with his slippery slope argument, and don’t have much tolerance for diminution of our rights. Near to zero tolerance actually. The rights are our essence and that’s how we define ourselves. Chuck that out and you’ve lost everything. Simplistic? Not really – check out other places that quickly changed. History proves it can happen when you least expect it.

2. Misleading re Iraq. I am deeply dissatisfied with where we stand on this right now. We need an investigation. The argument is not about whether or not Saddam should be in power. He’s gone and that is good. I need to know what my government stands for. We are at first base on this. The point is what happens next time? This is my own private Vietnam. – I trusted them before but now I’m not sure.

3. Actively seeking to stifle dissent. Of course the ABC is biased. There is nothing new in that. All of the media are biased in one way or another. I don’t trust Alan Jones and I don’t trust the ABC. Sadly – or happily, if you think about it – there remains diversity, and I am happy for the ABC to present an alternative. I don’t get hassled by it at all. Dream on, Government, if you ever, ever believe the ABC will be friendly. This debate is tired and old. Let them do what they like – as long as we have diversity this is fine. Let Australian media be like the rich and deep London newspapers, let the people pick and choose from the smorgasbord knowing the agendas. The scary part is that we are VERY close to imploding on diversity and losing the whole lot. If nothing else, the ABC represents diversity and a refusal to be bullied by business or government. That’s pretty powerful.

4. Reducing government accountability and transparency. This is where I get mad with John Howard. I like the bloody system and he is least qualified to change it. During the Republic debate he said the system has served us well, yet now he wants to trash it by destroying the Senate. He can’t have his cake and eat it – either he likes the Constitution or he doesn’t.

I also find the Senate INFURIATING at times, but I am just that little bit capable of seeing beyond one electoral cycle. It’s also insulting to the people to say it is “wrong”, because PEOPLE VOTE THAT WAY FOR A REASON. Personally I wouldn’t, but others do and it is their RIGHT, which he messes with at his peril!! Leave the Senate alone and leave the States alone. We have an excellent federal system and it is to the shame of John Howard that he seeks to meddle with it.

Imagine that you have to be scared of a so called conservative Liberal trashing the Senate! Times have sure changed, but there’s Buckley’s chance of that one getting up. Aaaah, how ironic – the conservatism of the electorate teaches the “most conservative leader of the Liberal party” a lesson in conservatism. I’m almost of the mind to say “Bring it on” – bring on this stupid referendum and watch it DIE. That would be funny!!

Finally, Daniel worries about a doomsday scenario for the conservatives, as in the UK. The missing ingredient is Tony Blair. Simon Crean is no Tony Blair and noone else in the ALP is within cooee of him. Australian Labor has become pitiful and it is to the detriment of our country that there is no viable opposition.

PS: I’ll always call myself a liberal. In my mind there should be no confusion about that word.

***

What is at the heart of democracy that makes it so sustainable, valuable and worth fighting for?

by Daniel Moye

Two principles lie at the heart of democracy – government of the people, by the people, for the people and one person, one vote. Sovereignty is defined exclusively by the citizen’s will in our democracy.

When the federation of Australia was founded it required that the majority of citizens in a majority of states support the founding of our haven of freedom. We decided that we would inherit the bi-cameral Westminister system of government as well as the common law as the two pillars by which our democracy would stand and fall.

Many of the checks and balances that are heralded today as a principal strength of our and other democracies were put in place to restrain ‘the Crown’ or State, as well as the will of the mob or people.

Plato, John Stuart Mill and the founding fathers of U.S. democracy repeatedly stressed that one of the main problems of democracy was that ‘mob rule’ and its appetites might not necessarily guide society down the right path. Thus, representatives of the people’s will have traditional as well as legal boundaries by which they can enforce our appetites, whether it be our need for security, our pursuit of happiness or control over our destiny.

It may be a quirk of history, but the Fourth Estate – the Press – flourished across Western democracies. Newspapers then and now focussed on high society gossip, the rise and fall of governments, war and peace – all with differing viewpoints. Governments have sought to control this powerful platform to the people’s ear from the start of the first journal. Why they did not succeed totally was as much to do with the suspicion that one day they might face the prospect that their opponents controlled the media, as with sustained resistance by proprietors and journalists alike. While this war has not ended, until quite recently a reasonable truce prevailed.

How is the functioning of our democracy and media diversity connected?

Readers – like media proprietors and journalists – have differing opinions. For the last hundred years or so in Australia different political viewpoints have been expressed in different newspapers. A dockside worker in Sydney might have read a politically conservative Mirror or Telegraph , or if more radically inclined a Daily Worker. A small ‘l’ liberal may have consumed a Sydney Morning Herald or a Sun. Many voices were heard.

A consequence of the diverse media landscape was that governments were able to connect with people on a daily or weekly basis. Citizens felt that they knew what the government was doing or not doing. This has become a critical element to the sustainability of our democracy because it maintains the enfranchisement of the people on an ongoing basis between elections.

What happens if few voices are heard in our democracy? What happens is nothing short of the disenfranchisement of the people.

A stretch, you might say. It is true that citizens will still be able to vote for or against our representatives, but what happens in between times? How do the citizens know what the government is doing and what the consequences will be? What checks are there to the representatives of the people’s will indulging in the worst appetites of the people’s will, even if for the best reasons? These questions do not even encompass the power and push of special interests of media proprietors or of political parties.

It is true that in a democracy the majority rules. But in our continual reaffirming of this noble truism we hide an equally important strength – that minorities have voices and influence too. It is not enough for democracies to let the majority reign supreme – the perils of not representing minority voices goes to the heart of its sustainability. History is littered with discontented minority groups hijacking governments, resorting to violent terrorism or demanding the dismantling of the state.

Media diversity underpins the sustainability of our democratic heritage, and the Senate also performs that function. It goes to the heart of our founding fathers’ vision of federation that all voices in all states of Australia be represented and have influence in Australian society. It is the blackest of betrayals to believe that only the majority of the House of Representatives have control over the Australian destiny.

The vision of our founding fathers is manifest in Brian Harradine gaining funding for Tasmanian issues or Democrats Senators helping the plight of South Australians. Our founding fathers’ visionary compromises have enabled Australia’s society and economy to function in a cohesive way, free from the former them-v-us, NSW-v-Victoria mentality.

Reforming the Senate will not necessarily mean revisiting past interstate battlegrounds but it will provide a slippery slope to new antagonisms. If Tasmanians, for example, believe that they are not getting a fair minority influence on the Australian political scene a ‘Tasmania first’ political party is not impossible. John Howard is obviously not a student of history – if he was he would have recognised how fragile our federation has been in its brief history. Western Australia has sought to leave the Commonwealth on more than one occasion and this, alongside the precarious federation referendums, should temper anyone’s enthusiasm for disenfranchising minority States.

The Senate also underpins the sustainability of the Australian democracy on an individual level. A sizeable proportion if not a majority of Australians are in safe seats. Within that safe seat a significant minority exists which does not want the preeminent party in that seat to represent them. It is through the Senate that this minority is heard and has influence. Some Australians also vote for different parties in the two houses. Thus it is through the Senate that all of us are enfranchised at the same time as the majority’s appetites are checked and balanced.

It may be uncomfortable for all concerned with the future of media diversity and the future of the Senate to form uneasy alliances across the political spectrum, but it is of paramount importance that these battles be won.

As a supporter of the Coalition of the Willing, fighting for democracy abroad and maintaining Australia’s territorial sovereignty, I sit uncomfortably against John Howard. But stand against him I must.

***

Philip Hewett in East Gosford, NSW

Whilst Daniel Moye makes a valid point in relation to Howard’s abuse of the concept of ‘national interest’, he unquestioningly and loosely uses loaded phrases like the ‘War on Terror’ as if they are accepted terms. He speaks of confronting rogue states, which is just more garbage speak to deflect debate from the role of US foreign policy disasters (now also Australia’s own disasters) and the greed of western corporations.

He talks of a post 9/11 world (another mindless catch-phrase) when the September attacks were no more than the trigger for the ultra-conservative (oil executive-dominated) push in Washington who wanted the Iraq scalp. These power greedy men profited and continue to profit from the WTO attacks, and as long as they do so the rest of the world will see only aggressive US self-interest writ large.

If Daniel had spoken of Howard’s’ subservience to US Foreign and Trade policy he would have hit at least one the nail on the head for me – but he didn’t. He presented lies as givens – for example describing the invasion of Iraq as ‘a war’. It was never a war – it was an invasion of a sovereign state, no more, no less – despite the propaganda he has swallowed.

How can an intelligent man believe he can see excellent management of the economy? The economy sits within ‘the national estate’ and it is in free-fall collapse – greenhouse is wildly uncontrolled, our environment is in an uncontrolled downward spiral and species extinction is travelling at the speed of light. Daniel, the economy comes to us at the expense of our national estate, and is Howard’s short-term expediency at work. The rest is smoke and mirrors and Daniel has been beguiled by the lot.

Daniel refers to an undefined long term goal of what the Iraq ‘war’ was trying to achieve. If he can detail that goal he should let us all know, including Howard. And why the euphemism of ‘spin-doctors’ for what are plain and simple propagandists – the former term has none of the ‘tending toward fascism’ baggage, I suppose.

Daniel Moyes would have more credibility in your column if he was less partisan. Cheers from a non-aligned person – I support good governance without the crap our parties wrap themselves in. Fat chance?

Will Howard beat Bush?

 

Related:
- Why conservatives fear John Howard

There seems to be a growing crazy feeling out there that Howard could defeat Bush! Not John Howard but Democrat, Howard Dean.

If this happens, America will be taking the next exit to the left. Off the Bush track and down a different highway.

It has been a big weekend for Howard Dean. All the Sunday US talk shows are talking about him and he’s on the cover of Time and Newsweek.

He’s even started a TV ad campaign in Texas. It opens with “I’m Howard Dean, I’m running for president and I approve this message because I want to change George Bush’s reckless foreign policy…. “. He goes on to ask the question “has anybody really stood up against George Bush and his policies? Don’t you think it’s time somebody did? Visit my web site, join my campaign because it’s time to take our country back”.

Many think Dean is a typical flash in the pan before the primaries start. Maybe so but then again maybe not. Last decade there was a southern Governor by the name of Clinton who many wrote off far too early. The comeback kid.

Dean’s certainly being talked about. He’s in contention and it’s worth considering not only his agenda but his methods. The agenda is very liberal and quite the opposite of the Bush path. He continues to be against the Iraq War:

” It only becomes more and more clear every day what a mistake this administration made in launching a pre-emptive war in Iraq. The evidence mounts that not only did the Administration mislead the American people and the world in making its case for war but that it failed to plan adequately for the peace.”

He maintains an Iraq Truth Center at:

http://www.deanforamerica.com/site/PageServer?pagename=policy_statement_foreign_iraq

The 16 questions for George Bush are quite good:

http://www.deanforamerica.com/site/News2?page=NewsArticle&id=7000&news_iv_ct

Remember, this man could be the next President. He’s also in favour of gay marriage. As governor of Vermont he was early to pass the appropriate legislation allowing it. He outlines huge changes in health and education. He’s liberal all around and presents a clear choice for Americans.

Not a snow balls chance in hell of this guy getting up? I’m not so sure. Those who seek to belittle America more often than not simply don’t understand it. They don’t understand the demographics. I was there in June when it was announced that Hispanics now outnumber Blacks as being America’s largest minority. The point is not that every candidate should speak Spanish, although Howard Dean and George Bush do, the point is that the ever lasting cliche that “America is constantly re-inventing itself” is more true today than ever. America dumbfounds you as it confirms every stereotype and stops you in your tracks as you realise you dont know a damn thing about it at all. The wonderous diversity and complexity! You’ve gotta love it!

Al Gore won the popular vote at the last election. He was supported by both coasts and chunks of the middle. Call it the culture wars, call it what ever you like but America is far from being of one voice on any topic. Its critics too easily fall into the trap of charactarising in the most hideous way they would like it to be rather than the way it really is.

Last night I was stuck in an air conditioned hotel at Frankfurt International Airport in some of the worst heatwave conditions the city can remember. I saw some stupid program on BBC World “What the World thinks of America”. No point in regurgitating it because you’ve heard it all before. They did a run-around of world correspondents and Tony Jones of Australia’s ABC explained to the world why Australians consider themselves to be more “cultured” than Americans. Hhahahahhah yeah really. He made some passing references to the fact that Australians see cheap US talk shows and draw their own conclusions about the American society. I think he even looked down his nose and later sniffed a little. It seems the ABC still takes it’s cues from the BBC! It was superficial crap and once again I felt insulted “by proxy”. Being a friend of America is tough, you need to develop a really tough hide.

The point is that people go on and on about America’s conservatism, conveniently ignoring the coasts and conveniently ignoring that Al Gore won the popular vote in the last elections. To sum up America as illliberal is simply not true. Its all about cognitive economy. People can’t figure out something as big and complex as America so they just resort to lines they learned down pat over the years.

If you don’t like the conservative parts of America then go and live in a liberal part. If you dont like Kingaroy, go and live in Surry Hills. Do we say Australia is Kingaroy or Australia is Surry Hills? Of course not. It’s neither. Just as America is not only defined by San Francisco, California or Omaha, Nebraska.

I actually think the lack lustre economy, ongoing questions about the human and financial cost of Iraq and a bunch of other things will have conservative George Bush in trouble next year. Someone like Howard Dean may just be the man the Democrats have been looking for. He’s engaging, he uses the net, he seems different. Perhaps next year it will seem like time.

He’s raising bucketloads of money and he’s using the internet like no other candidate has before. He has a Blog of his own. He organises “meet-ups” online and all the rest of it.

All gimmicks? Perhaps, but then perhaps not. It depends who wants to engage. So far hundreds of thousands have.

America constantly re-invents itself. Just watch.

***

Clarification: American reader Matt Cezar in Maryland writes:

Harry wrote: “Remember, this man could be the next President. He’s also in favour of gay marriage. As governor of Vermont he was early to pass the appropriate legislation allowing it.”

Governor Dean does not support gay marrianges, he supports civil unions. There is a difference. If he is elected, Gov. Dean will promote civil unions, however the ultimate decision will be left up to the states. Governor Dean never passed legislation legalizing gay marriages. He passed legislation legalizing civil unions for homosexuals.

Why conservatives fear John Howard

 

Can Howard beat Bush? Image by Sydney Morning Herald online news editor Richard Woolveridge.
Related:
- Will Howard beat Bush?

Two Webdiarists sent me pieces of the highest quality over the weekend. Harry Heidelberg offers his take on the extraordinary rise and rise of anti-war US Democrats candidate Howard Dean – courtesy of internet activism. Daniel Moye explores the reasons why genuine conservatives fear John Howard.

Harry’s piece is Will Howard beat Bush? Daniel’s piece, ‘Understanding boundaries’, is published below.

What I love about these pieces is that the writers come across as clear eyed, engaged and intellectually rigorous. Harry, a small ‘l’ Liberal, and Dan, a conservative who votes Liberal, supported the war on Iraq. The aftermath of victory has helped crystalise Dan’s concerns about John Howard’s agenda, and his piece is a call to action by conservatives to reassert a central place for conservative principles in Liberal Party governance of the nation. Harry hasn’t yet revealed his stance on the war in hindsight: his essay is about the strengths of democracy United States’ style as evidenced by the Howard Dean phenomenon.

Dan has agreed to become a Webdiary columnist. I hope his archive will be ready to publish this week. Thank you, Dan.

***

Understanding boundaries

by Daniel Moye

Disclosure: I’m one of those over-represented, much maligned minority groups – conservative white male. Love my footy (any and all footy), cricket, beer, bourbon and horse racing. My left-over brain cells from years of party hard in Sydney’s pubs and clubs have been used to work over-time (without union representation) and to consume history, philosophy and espionage books. I’ve worked in dodgy $2 shops and as a disability support staffer, a failed pool hustler, a battered and bruised bubble stockbroker and a resident jack of all trades in an industrial technology company in the United States. Pet hates – bad jockeys and self-servicing politicians. Ambitions – to write a decent novel one day and to own a Melbourne Cup winner. (Daniel lives in the blue ribbon Sydney north shore seat of Bradfield.)

At a time when John Howard stands supreme upon the Australian political stage it is perhaps ironic that I believe conservative Australians need to reflect upon whether or not the Howard Government is upholding our traditions. By outlining what I think it means to be a conservative Australian and contrasting conservative principles with the recent Howard agenda, I hope to underline the threat that his government poses to our traditional values.

Having been educated in the Humanities, I have come across and flirted with many political ideologies. I settled upon a conservative democratic position because of my belief in two guiding Conservative Principles:

* Conservative philosophy defends the institutions, ideas and freedoms that have served us so well now because conservatives believe that the best traditions of our democracy need to be preserved whenever change is needed to meet new challenges.

2. Conservative philosophy seeks to create a balance between the national interest and that of the individual citizen because it is important that government does not overly intrude upon the aspirations, expectations, energy and enthusiasm of individuals to prosper in our democracy. Conservatives believe that we need a strong government limited to areas where there is a compelling national interest to be served.

Understanding the boundaries between government and the individual, government and the national interest, government and civil society, the national interest and the rights of individual and the national interest and a prosperous economy are at the heart of all meaningful debates in conservative circles.

When assessing these competing interests, conservatives tend to the view that the boundaries need to be skewed towards individual rather than collective responsibility, except where there is a compelling national interest at stake. The areas that encompass ‘national interest’ define not only the debate in conservative circles but also more generally the broad political debate in Australia.

For many conservative Australians, including myself, it is difficult to encapsulate our objections to the Howard Government. I supported the downsizing of government and the further deregulation of the Australian economy and I acknowledge excellent management of that economy, so it is not as if the Howard Government has overwhelmingly got it wrong.

Similarly, presented with the daunting challenges of controlling illegal migration and the threat and reality of War and Terror, John Howard has shown strong leadership.

It is the blurring of the boundary in this government’s mind between ‘the national interest’ and that of the Liberal party that the heart of my objection lies.

Boundary blur one – unnecessary diminution of civil rights

In confronting the domestic challenges of the War on Terror the Howard Government has unnecessarily sacrificed the rights of the individual over the national interest in defending our citizens from terrorist attacks. The ASIO legislation has strengthened already strong powers of surveillance and interrogation and in so doing has removed critical rights of Australians.

It is necessary for government to more actively know more about hostile and potentially violent political terrorists in our post 9/11 world, but are we throwing the baby out with the bathwater by allowing our authorities to hold suspects without charge or representation for an extended period of time? This big government approach, however well meaning, provides an unnecessary slippery slope that less benign future Australian governments could exploit.

The domestic political landscape of the War on Terror sees competing interests jostle – a compelling national interest and the sovereign rights of individual citizens. It is at the boundary between the two that Howard has got it wrong. Whether he got it wrong due to his political or his personal need to do more, or a combination of both, John Howard has unnecessarily further diminished the institutions and ideas that conservatives have strongly defended and that thousands of Australians have died to defend.

Boundary blur two – misleading citizens on the reasons for Australia invading Iraq

The Howard Government quite rightly argued that an active interventionist approach to confront rogue states is the only way to meet the challenges of WMD proliferation and terrorism. But by arguing for intervention in Iraq the way he did he blurred the boundary between ‘the national interest’ and the political interest of the Liberal Party.

By pursuing a political saleable WMD approach to the War on Iraq Howard has put in jeopardy the long-term goal that that war is trying to achieve. Whilst not wholly his fault, Howard has provided unnecessary ammunition to opponents of his approach to the War on Terror and of our crucial relationship with the United States.

Boundary blur three – Actively seeking to stifle dissent

The Howard government has pursued an unrelenting attack on his opponents, including indigenous rights groups, the ABC and non-government organisations with alternative viewpoints. I don’t necessarily support the views such groups profess, but by continuing this war of attrition the Howard Government is encroaching over the boundary between government and civil society.

Just as I do not want large government welfare, I also do not want large government imposing its views on civil society. The health of our democratic tradition depends on breathing space for alternative viewpoints on government policy. This approach is not in the conservative tradition of limiting governmental power and influence.

Boundary blur four – Reducing government accountability and transparency

Whilst not originating with the Howard Government, the continued decline of accountability and transparency under its stewardship threatens the institutions that conservatives have defended for so long. The coterie of spin doctors protecting ministers, the de-toothing of Senatorial inquiries and the attacks upon the functioning of the Senate have all contributed to the cynical attitude of the Australian people to our parliamentary system.

The mandate of the Liberal party does not extend to both Houses of Parliament, and this is not a quirk of the system but a judgement of the Australian citizenry. Any democratic government should never confuse the interest of itself as the governing party with that of ‘the national interest’. This is the most dangerous boundary for a government to cross.

I could extend my argument into other domestic areas like cross media and the narrowing influence of economic rationalism, but I will refrain.

I don’t know whether my concerns will be heard by other conservative voters or by conservative backbenchers, but if they are, I ask conservative voters and politicians to assess mu view that it is not only the destruction of conservative institutions and ideas that are at stake here, but also the long term relevance of conservative politics.

The Liberal Party under John Howard has progressively alienated many conservatives and at the same time widened the gap between himself and the traditional centre of Australian politics. Sooner or later the tide will turn. We conservatives need to consider the current political position of the British Tory party and that of the Conservatives in Canada – do we really want the centre of Australian political life to be dominated by Social Democrats?

Conservatives should understand the boundaries we are creating for Australia and ourselves under Howard. You may support Howard in varying degrees on particular issues, as I do, but let’s not confuse the trees for the forest.